monday ncaa total: central michigan at vanderbilt ......

gman2

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not big on complaining about bad beats, because theyre inevitable. but got fu.cked in the ass nicely by miami/swms under 130. 28-20 at halftime, then a 43-41 2h that culminated with 17 points in the final 1:30.

13-5 on the game totals now, but still not at all happy about sunday :cursin:

central michigan chippewas over 145.5

vandy should have their way on the interior against the chips front line. both teams proficient in my 'big three' (field goals, 3pt, free throw%). vandy goes 46% /41% /69%, while cmu goes 45% / 39% / 74%. defensively, both allow 45%+ from the field, which pretty much explains why both teams are expected to be mediocre in their respective conferences. chips dont bother to play defense on the road, allowing 100 to evansville, 81 to kent, and 77 to minnesota. those are 3 teams that arent exactly offensive juggernauts either. to put those 3 road defensive efforts into perspective -- only one of those teams (evansville) averages more than 71ppg. i had an initial reservation on this over because of how toledo fared into their trip to vandy (thinking vandy's unusual gym setup attributed to the rocket bricks) but it looks like toledo cant shoot straight in any gym right now --- america, puerto rico, wherever. bottom line: two teams with some good shooters and not much defensive intensity. i think we'll see 155-157 points (something like vandy 84-71)

central michigan 2nd half over 73
vandy getting whatever look they want. cmu is just frigid. that doesnt necessarily have to change, but i think it will. i think the 2nd half will be more of what i originally expected. chips can shoot it, they just cant defend.
 
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Bill

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Thanks for the info. Last night when I made my picks, OLY did not have totals. I think you have convinced me to toss a C at the over.

I agree about the F'ing on the Miami game. I took a loss by 1/2 point on the Washington game. They shot an unbelievable 12 of 21 from the line. :cursin: :cursin:

Thanks,
Bill
 

Bill

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changed my mind. Sitting on the sides only.

Just call me chicken sh*t.

Bill
 

gman2

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thisisbad:

obviously value is lessened a bit, but i think its gonna be in the 150s, so wouldnt sweat the 2 pt jump too much if thats the only line you can bet into. gl man.
 

ageecee

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my over 70 1st half is already toast only 5 minutes into the 1st half

look for high scoring in 2nd half
 

Bill

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ageecee said:
damn C. Mich is 0 for 11 and all there points have come on FT's

All on FT is easy when you only score 5.

This was my Best Bet! What does that tell you about my capping skills? :142lmao: :flush:

GL

Bill
 

Bill

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Line was 19. Vandy trying to give it away but the Chips want no part of it. This is the poorest they have ever shot. Need one hell of a 2nd half.
 
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