NFL Wk. 9.

[MrChristo]

Chic @ NO under 34 (1.92)

Pissed I missed the 34.5, but still a good number for the under here, imo.
Bit of a low number, but the Bears have scored 7, 10 and 16 (but 10 really) on the road so far.
They throw at only 4.8 y/pass, and are quite happy to put the game in the hands of their RB's and defense.
NO's defense should be good enough to slow the Bears up enough to leave this one well under 34.

NE +3 (2.20!)

Debated whether to take the 3 at a stupid price or a ML @ 2.70.
I've said all along the Indi are poor, and here it starts.
NE seem to need a decent running game to open up their passing attack..they have lost @ Carolina (2nd in run D), San Diego (3rd in run D) and @ Denver (5th in run D).
Now they face Indi at home, allowing 4.5 y/rush (26th). Indi who haven't played anyone worth playing yet so far!
I really think that NE win this game SU, but getting 2.20 for the +3 is a bit crazy imo, so I'll jump at it now.

oh....and I even have trends to support both plays!!....

League: 11-4-1 (Av. WIN 3.8) any home dog, off an ats loss as home 7+ fav. [NE]
8-0 SU (Av. WIN 12.1!!) if total is 40+

(Never back a road fav with a crap defense...against a decent team anyway! )

League: 3-11 under (av. total 36.3..av. score 30.4) any away fav, total <40, off an upset SU win an away dog of 3 or less. [Chic]
0-9 under (av. total 35.1...av. score 24.2) if total <37!

Chicago are 1-6 under so far this year, 4-12 in the last 3 years when playing a team with a losing record, and 5-14 under in all road games in the last 3 years.

 

[MrChristo]

SD -6 (2.00)

Schottenheimer challenged his team to 'start again' last week, and I think they will be keyed up to get another win before their BYE week.
The Jets have been poor so far, scoring only 20 once @ 13.1 ppg...and with Testaverde still ?? things can only get worse!
SD run for 4.4 ypc to 3.2....7.2 ypp to 5.6...have 27 TD's to 11....24 sacks to 12 and have allowed just 12 sacks to the Jets 25.
SD have beaten much beater teams than the Jets on the road so far, and they would really like to be 5-4 going into their bye.
In the last 3 years, SD are 13-3 ats against losing teams, so they get the job done when they are supposed to. Hard to see this one beng any different.

Washington -3 (2.04)

Again, a bit pissed I didn't grab the PK when it first appeared, but still a pretty strong play at 3 or less, imo.

League: 28-25-1 (Av. win 6.2) any home fav off 21+ ats loss as an away dog. [Wash]
8-1-1 (Av. win 11.9) if opp is off a 10+ ats loss. (1-0 this season)

Well, I said last week that Washington are about the best team in the NFL, and they get belted!!...but I'm sure we can allow for one bad game here and there. (Besides, it was a very emotional day for NY, the first game after the death of their owner)
But back home against a very over-rated Philli team, who are 1-3 on the road (and the win was very lucky against a poor KC), they should be able to get back on the right track.
The Eagles' pass happy offense got them into trouble again last week, and now they must face the NFL's best pass D, allowing just 150 y/game @ 5.3 y/pass.
Teams that can't run are always a good go against on the road, and Philli is no different.
Washington will play much like Denver this week, lots of tough running and strong defense, and I won't be surprised to see a similar result.

Will take TB +3 if it blows out that far, but I doubt it will.

Good Luckk all

 

[PAWAQATSI]

NE +3 (2.20!)

(Never back a road fav with a crap defense...against a decent team anyway! )

"decent team " :scared

Pats didn't look too flash against the Bills C !!!!

...and do ya reckon Bomber and I weren't crappin' our pants during the last few minutes of that game.....to cover our teasers!!!
We were dancing around like little schoolgirls at the end of it!! dance2 dance2

LMAO :mj07:

Always happy to throw my $$$ at the Champs.....but after Sunday night....it stops right here!!


GL mate :mj14:

 

[baby johnson]

personally think ne is decent as is buffalo

 

[MrChristo]

lol, PAWA!

At least you two were happy...I had to suffer through the last 6 1/2 minutes watching in disbelief as Buffalo tried to play perfect ball control football to score in the last minute!!

I kept thinking to myself...They'll take a shot here...They'll take a shot here...only to see another crappy run play for 3 yards!!
And then to pass the ball 4 yards on a 4th and 7....good lord!....

Anyway....You guys don't think the Pats were looking ahead to this week?
They played as poorly as I've seen in a long time and still got the job done when it was needed.

PS, I bet I know how bomber went and 'celebrated' too, PAWA! :lol:

 

[PAWAQATSI]

PS, I bet I know how bomber went and 'celebrated' too, PAWA! :lol:

Funny thing is.......I haven't heard from bomber since just after the game.

I've got a horrible feeling that he went on a celebratory bender and is now locked up in some stinking Malaysian jail cell!!

Perhaps he tried to perform an act on one of the locals that even they won't tolerate!!! :mj07:

Come in bomber......where are you mate??

 

[bombercoops]

LMAO! You guys crack me up! :mj07: No doubting the size of the sweat in that pats game the other day ay paw! Still can't believe we covered that! And funny you bring it up christo as the celebration unfolded just as you may have imagined it- or not imagined it, lol, so :clap:
No need for any :jerkit:

but plenty of :142hump: going on! lol!

Looking forward to yet another early monday morning fellas if i don't come down with anything before hand!

 

[bombercoops]

Taking the champs with you 'C' but going the other way on the redskins game. Philly have been far from good this year but I think the 7-0 run the last 7 vs wash continues this week. Redskins' D aside from last week is very good but Brunell should have shut things down when Aikman did- along time ago! Tight philly win for mine mate.
BTW, tested your theory by having a quiet JD/coke at 6am last monday morning- went down as well as everything else has on this trip! Quick and enjoyable!

 

[MrChristo]

Oakland @ KC under 52.5 (1.88)

League: 1-14 under (av. total 39.8...av. score 30.7...0-15 under this number. ) as a home 3+ fav, off a 3- ats loss as away <7 dog, if opp is off a 7+ ats win. [KC]

League: 2-12 under (av. total 43.9...Av. score 35.4) home 3+ fav, off a 3- ats loss as away 3+ dog, if total 42+ [KC]
1-5 under (av. total 44.9...av. score 38.0) if total 44+

League: 6-12 under (Av. total 39.6...av. score 33.1) away 3+ dog, off a 7+ ats win as away dog of 3 or less. [Oak]
0-3 under (Av. total 47.5...av. score 32.3!!!) if total 44+

Last weeks Oakland game @ Tenn, which of course was a score-fest...there weren't all that many total yards....
Collins: 17-29 for 238 (8.20 y/pass)....93 rushing yards @ 4.2
McNair: 26-42 for just 229 (@ 5.4)...140 on the ground @ 5.4

I mean decent numbers sure, but hardly a 34-25 scoreline.

1 TD was a 2 play run after a turn-over 34 yards out.
A fumble return for TD (a sack in the endzone), and an INT returned for a TD.

Roaf out, Green likely out, Moss lkely out...First meeting was 17-23...
I know both defenses are just horrible, but I think this one comes in as an 'unexpected' under. :scared