here is a system that i got from another site...thought i would share it here....
NFL Biggest Loser/Winner System Plays - 8-0-1 & 11-1 Now
SYSTEM 1 BIGGEST LOSER: Taking the top two point losers every week so far and then grading them their following game - so you have the points they lost by and then the result in their next game.
ATS Record so far: 15-4-2 with 5 SU dog wins
Top points losers: 9-1-1 with 4 SU dog wins
2nd top points loser: 6-3-1 with 1 SU dog win
ATS record if favored the following game: 8-0-1
ATS record if a dog of less than 7 the following week: 6-1-1
System hit a bump in the road last week with Buffalo Bills +4 and Houston Texans +4 - both games the teams were leading in the 4th Q but ended up with a loss and tie.
Week 13 Biggest Losers & Winners:
Atl 27 Det 7
Indy 26 Pitt 7
This weeks plays are:
Top Point Loser - Detroit by 20 against Atlanta so take Detroit +3 at home against the Vikes (I like this play with an interim coach that will try to make a case for being kept long term - players love this guy too.)
2nd top Point loser - Pitt by 19 against Indy so take Pitt -3 at home against the Bengals - love this play as it falls in the now favored scenario of 8-0-1
(Also Pittsburgh: 11-5 ATS vs. division opponents)
SYSTEM 2 BIGGEST WINNER: Play against top two point winners from prior week for 1st half of this week as long as line is less than -6.
LOGIC: Team just scored a bunch of points in a blowout victory, might not practice as hard following up to next game, other team may practice harder knowing they are playing someone that just blew the doors of another team.
FINE TUNING: Eliminate larger than 6 point favourites - may just be a complete mismatch game if the line is greater than 6 IMO.
Last weeks plays Wash & NE - Wash covered the spread and ML, but NE lost outright and did not cover.
ATS Record if line is less than -6: 11-1
ML Dog Plays (if you can play halftime money lines - Olympic has em): 5-2-1
Only one play for the system this week
Carolina -1 1st Half - big play for me as I think Carolina will beat up on the Falcons.
The 2nd play is eliminated (tenn +9 1st half) since the line for the game is larger than 6 but that is a lot of points for a half even for Indy sonsidering they are coming off a monday night tough game against the steelers - might have to consider it as a small play.
Plays this week:
Det+3 **
Pitt -3 ***
Car -1 1st half *****
NFL Biggest Loser/Winner System Plays - 8-0-1 & 11-1 Now
SYSTEM 1 BIGGEST LOSER: Taking the top two point losers every week so far and then grading them their following game - so you have the points they lost by and then the result in their next game.
ATS Record so far: 15-4-2 with 5 SU dog wins
Top points losers: 9-1-1 with 4 SU dog wins
2nd top points loser: 6-3-1 with 1 SU dog win
ATS record if favored the following game: 8-0-1
ATS record if a dog of less than 7 the following week: 6-1-1
System hit a bump in the road last week with Buffalo Bills +4 and Houston Texans +4 - both games the teams were leading in the 4th Q but ended up with a loss and tie.
Week 13 Biggest Losers & Winners:
Atl 27 Det 7
Indy 26 Pitt 7
This weeks plays are:
Top Point Loser - Detroit by 20 against Atlanta so take Detroit +3 at home against the Vikes (I like this play with an interim coach that will try to make a case for being kept long term - players love this guy too.)
2nd top Point loser - Pitt by 19 against Indy so take Pitt -3 at home against the Bengals - love this play as it falls in the now favored scenario of 8-0-1
(Also Pittsburgh: 11-5 ATS vs. division opponents)
SYSTEM 2 BIGGEST WINNER: Play against top two point winners from prior week for 1st half of this week as long as line is less than -6.
LOGIC: Team just scored a bunch of points in a blowout victory, might not practice as hard following up to next game, other team may practice harder knowing they are playing someone that just blew the doors of another team.
FINE TUNING: Eliminate larger than 6 point favourites - may just be a complete mismatch game if the line is greater than 6 IMO.
Last weeks plays Wash & NE - Wash covered the spread and ML, but NE lost outright and did not cover.
ATS Record if line is less than -6: 11-1
ML Dog Plays (if you can play halftime money lines - Olympic has em): 5-2-1
Only one play for the system this week
Carolina -1 1st Half - big play for me as I think Carolina will beat up on the Falcons.
The 2nd play is eliminated (tenn +9 1st half) since the line for the game is larger than 6 but that is a lot of points for a half even for Indy sonsidering they are coming off a monday night tough game against the steelers - might have to consider it as a small play.
Plays this week:
Det+3 **
Pitt -3 ***
Car -1 1st half *****
