UAW 400 Las Vegas

[toastonastick]

Was browsing the lines and had to make a small value play here.

Clint Bowyer +20000 1/4 unit. thats 200-1

He was 11th quick at the test at vegas, and the guy has skills. Worth a small play for sure.

Got it at Sportsbook.com Doubt it will be up there very long, get it while you can.

Nextel cup ytd +31.30 units

 

[william13]

good luck .. this off week sucks ! the 48 looking good ...

 

[Looselugs]

Trying these qualifying matchups

Rocket Ryan over Dale Jr -120 (I can`t believe this matchup!)
Newman has a average starting spot of 6th last year while Jr averages 25th.
Dale out qualified Newman only 3 times last year (Daytona, Infineon Raceway and New Hamshire).This line will not stay at this price very long. I went in for 10 units.


Denny Hamlin over Dale Jarrett -117
Biffle over Jeff Burton -120
Also parleyed these together +493 all at sia

gl

 

[toastonastick]

nice find with Newman.!

 

[Looselugs]

Ok I had a little time to take a deeper look at the matchup with Newman and Dale Jr.I went back to last year and used 1.5 mile tracks and throwed in Darlington 1.366 mile track.And it looks like this
Atlanta Newman qual 1st Jr 35th
Chicago Newman 2nd Jr 25th
Darlington Newman 2nd Jr 39th
Homestead Newman2nd Jr 40th
Kansas Newman 11th Jr 38th
Las Vegas Newman 1st Jr 34th
Lowe's Newman 1st Jr 15th
Texas Newman 1st Jr 11th

Newman qual 11th at Kansas and would not comment after qual (which is rare).After the race he blamed his poor finish (23rd) to his qualifying effort! This man is a qualifying nut to say the least.

Just hope its not one of those Harvick with Jarrett match ups issues which Harvick decided to run backwards all day.It was`nt that Jarrett ran that good.It was Harvick ran that poor.

This is one of them rare wagers that , If I lose it was still a good bet!

 

[william13]

alright lugs ... A 10 unit play.... looks solid ! vegas must get alot of action on jr .. only reason i can see with the -120... my guess -150/160 sounds like a true line for that match up .. :mj03:.............. luck to you $$$$$$.....

 

[Looselugs]

thanks toast and william. Its nice to have support.

I feel there going to take this matchup down long before qualify.

adding a parley
Newman over Jr -120 in qual with
Harvick to win Mexico 200 6-1 odds 10.8 to1

Feel free to throw me a bone in the Mexico 200.

 

[Looselugs]

Looking at this race there are 3 solid players here J Johnson,Tony Stewart and M Kenseth.That being said I`ll try a race parley,

Tony Stewart over Biffle and J Jordon +250 sia

Stewart brings back the same car he ran at California .

Tony has ran 6 races average finish 6th.
Gordon has ran 6 races average finish 17th.
Biffle has ran 2 races average finish 23rd.

GL

 

[toastonastick]

couple more numbers on the race this weekend:

Previous winners at Las Vegas:
Jeff Burton (2) Matt Kenseth (2) Mark Martin (1) Jeff Gordon (1) Sterling Marlin (1) Jimmie Johnson (1)
Races won from the pole: 0 of 8 events (0%)
Races won from in top 10: 2 of 8 events (25%)
Races won from outside top 10: 6 of 8 events (75%)

 

[toastonastick]

First play:

J. McMurray +1500 1 unit

 

[Looselugs]

toast I took another look at sportsbook.com they have Kyle Busch at 51-1!!! He finished 2nd here last year.

 

[toastonastick]

Damn, they do that sometimes. Its like they'll put a insane number out there till get a decent play on it then its gone. I hope you got some of that?

 

[Looselugs]

Insane is right! I never noticed the book was there until you posted.I just went back and looked if the line on Bowyer had moved and seen Kyle Bush at 50-1! And he was 3rd fastest in practice today.

I`ll have to keep an eye on this book.

 

[toastonastick]

in case you missed it. Happy hour details

Ive got it sorted by average speed. not fastest lap

 

[Looselugs]

I like this one

Reed Sorrenson over David Stremme and Brent Sherman +262 sia

GL

 

[toastonastick]

couple of matchups:

M.Martin +120 over T. Stewart 2units
K.Harvick+130 over C. Mears 2 units

 

[toastonastick]

M. Kenseth -110 over Carl Edwards 3 units

 

[toastonastick]

R. Newman + 160 over C.mears 2 units

 

[toastonastick]

To Win:

M.Martin +1200 1 unit

KKahne +1000 1 unit

 

[toastonastick]

Heres what I have so far

To win:

C.Bowyer +20000 1/4 unit
J.McMurray +1500 1 unit
M.Martin +1200 1 unit
K.Kahne +1000 1 unit

Matchups:

M.Martin +120 over T. Stewart 2units
K.Harvick+130 over C. Mears 2 units
M. Kenseth -110 over Carl Edwards 3 units
R. Newman + 160 over C.mears 2 units