Still can decide O/U. I dont understand why the o/u line keeps going up when there is a 90% certanty that Raja Bell will not play. Espn and Sportsline comments are that him being out of game 2 desarticulated the game for the suns. What do you guys think? Isnt usually that when a starter will not play O/U lines tend to go down not up? considering that he is a 3 point shooter and a good one, by the way.
Something is weird in tonights game
- Thread starter ryno
- Start date
Barbosa speeds up the game more than Bell does, and actually shoots a better 3pt %
Just an observation on the total...
I personally think the Over is golden tonight.
Just an observation on the total...
I personally think the Over is golden tonight.
You Know something... You are absolutly right, Raja Bell is not such a factor concerning point on the board, what they are saying is that in game 2 dallas actually dis was to close the perimeter, so Nash could not get in the inside an csore easy layups as he did all night long in game 1, they actually let the 3 point shooters to shot from behind the arc, the good things for the Mavs was that phonex was Ice cold shooting from the 3 pt line, I saw suns last game at home vs clippers I believe they actually broke the team 3 pt shooting for a playoff game. My point is that if dallas tries same estrategy as game 2 this could get ugly, is not the same shooting for a three on your court than in the road. The problem is how good will the mavs shooting be on the road?
Don't really know why every love the over. Can't really predict how Phoenix is going to shoot from beyond the 3pt line. If they hit 15-27 like they did their last home game, the over will be a easy winner. If they don't, then the under will hit. I personally like the under because IMO I only have to win 1 Q. If Dallas can slow Pho down or if either team has a bad shoot Q, then the under will be close.
How will Avery adjust. Will he let Nash get his and Defend the 3s or will he double team Nash and let everyone else beat the Mavs.
Dallas has more firing power, that is no secret, if Stackhouse and
J Terry can contribute more than the last game. I feel Dallas will win this game.
How will Avery adjust. Will he let Nash get his and Defend the 3s or will he double team Nash and let everyone else beat the Mavs.
Dallas has more firing power, that is no secret, if Stackhouse and
J Terry can contribute more than the last game. I feel Dallas will win this game.
Ok. So this is what I figured out.
First of all I am taking
Dallas EV and
Under 221
After further review, I considered the following:
1.- Raja Bell played 38 mpg and scored 20 ppg against LAC in his home court (4 games). Question: who is going to take care of those 20 pts and who will be rotating in those 38 min? Eddie House?
2.- From the 4 games played at pho two of those games 2 and 5, in the last quarter the suns scored 18 and 17 points respectively. I believe that was a fatigue factor. I believe this will happen again as the suns will only have a 7 man rotation and with their style of game they WILL get tired.
3.- I think avery johnson will let steve nash run all he wants in the first half, so to speak to get him tired, and in the second half there will be a huge adjustment.
4.- In the 4 games played in pho against LAC. 3 pointers standed for 27% of the total scored points of pho excpt in game 7 where they shot an amazing 55% 45 points from behind the arc.
5.- Raja Bell will make a diference in not playing this game, ask your self a question? what will the O/U line be if he was playing Eddie house has made 6 points in the playoff appereance, again WHO IS GOING TO SUBSTITUTE those 20 points and those 38 minutes of play.
Conclusion, the game will be close for the first 30 min, expect a change in the second half of the third quarter, good chances of high scoring in the first half 113 perhaps this will be decided in the last seconds, BUT the game will stay under 221 as I believe Pho will not score more than 22 points in the 4 quarter.
I hope this could help some of you guys that still can decide.
Good luck
First of all I am taking
Dallas EV and
Under 221
After further review, I considered the following:
1.- Raja Bell played 38 mpg and scored 20 ppg against LAC in his home court (4 games). Question: who is going to take care of those 20 pts and who will be rotating in those 38 min? Eddie House?
2.- From the 4 games played at pho two of those games 2 and 5, in the last quarter the suns scored 18 and 17 points respectively. I believe that was a fatigue factor. I believe this will happen again as the suns will only have a 7 man rotation and with their style of game they WILL get tired.
3.- I think avery johnson will let steve nash run all he wants in the first half, so to speak to get him tired, and in the second half there will be a huge adjustment.
4.- In the 4 games played in pho against LAC. 3 pointers standed for 27% of the total scored points of pho excpt in game 7 where they shot an amazing 55% 45 points from behind the arc.
5.- Raja Bell will make a diference in not playing this game, ask your self a question? what will the O/U line be if he was playing Eddie house has made 6 points in the playoff appereance, again WHO IS GOING TO SUBSTITUTE those 20 points and those 38 minutes of play.
Conclusion, the game will be close for the first 30 min, expect a change in the second half of the third quarter, good chances of high scoring in the first half 113 perhaps this will be decided in the last seconds, BUT the game will stay under 221 as I believe Pho will not score more than 22 points in the 4 quarter.
I hope this could help some of you guys that still can decide.
Good luck
another think I forgot to menthion, tomorrow you "gringos" will be celebrating Memorial day so no Job tomorrow, Line keeps going up because there are more casual gamblers than any other day,many people flew to vegas this weekend, and remeber the casual gambler doesnt like to watch low scoring games, so those $50 $100 dllr bets from ocasional gamblers do make a difference in moving the line, most people that didnt had the chance to go to vegas gather ina barbeque and they will probably watch the game and ask their fellow friend that has an account on the offshore to place a bet for him on the over. The smart money was place at the moment game 2 was over. So dont let be mistaken because of the line movement.
The Suns played the contest without defensive-minded guard Raja Bell, who suffered a calf injury in the series opener and reportedly will be sidelined until at least Game Five.
Leandro Barbosa started in Bell's place and scored just eight points on 3-of-15 shooting, making him 4-of-22 from the field in the series.
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Leandro Barbosa started in Bell's place and scored just eight points on 3-of-15 shooting, making him 4-of-22 from the field in the series.
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....................................................................ryno said:
Well Pho had 16 in the 3 period and 20 in fourth so things worked out for the under. I played it with you so thanks for the 100.
In watching the game last night at Phonix I noticed something. And that is that Dallas is clearly the better team. Dallas will take this series.
KOD
