need advice on this game?

JIMMYBOY

JIMMYBOY
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Who do you like on this game Fresno State 18-8 vs Louisiana Tech 9-17. I think they want the money on Fresno. Is this a Trap?

thanks
 

gsp

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I show that the fav at gametime wins. I also show this game as a pk which surprises me. Another thing I use shows LT wins by as many as 8. If I'm around at gametime I'll go with the fav.
 

TONYDAHORSE

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Feb 17, 2007
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02/22/2007
20:00 ET Fresno State
Louisiana Tech

Current Line
Louisiana Tech -1.0 -1.0

Public
78% Louisiana Tech
 

alliecat

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I like LT in this spot. Don't let 18-8 vs 9-17 fool you. These are two pretty evenly matched teams, both are around .500 in the conference. LT didn't shoot the ball very well and still only lost by 6 at Fresno (mostly because of dominance on the offensive boards). I think LT doesn't shoot the ball that bad this time at home and probably wins the game. If this was the Saturday portion of WAC's version of the eastern swing, I would pound this game. I will probably pound NM State when they host Fresno this weekend. The 2nd game of this travel set is always the killer. The WAC teams that have the NMSU/LT Thurs/Sat. set are 0-6 SU vs them. Nevada's only conference loss is Saturday at NMSU. Fresno and Utah St. are making this swing this weeek. Take LT small and NMSU big (I would probably play it up to 10)
 

IntenseOperator

DeweyOxburger
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I show that the fav at gametime wins. I also show this game as a pk which surprises me. Another thing I use shows LT wins by as many as 8. If I'm around at gametime I'll go with the fav.

GSP

Would you not rather go with the fav as set by Vegas instead of the fav possibly set by the public?
 

gsp

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I don't care who sets the line at gametime. In the Gtown/Vill game GT was favored until right before gametime. My stuff called for the dog. GT was favored from the opening line until right before the game. An hour before the game I took Vill +1. At gametime Vill was -1. I saw most of the game. Vill up 10 early and loses by 3. The stuff I do couldn't care less where the line comes from. The public wins a few, Vegas wins a few.
 

loskelly

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meaningless

meaningless

trap game, public betting, who opens the line and where it is now is all meaningless to what is going to happen tonight. Take whoever YOU think is going to win and don't be fooled or swayed by the hype, cause that's all it is, HYPE
 

big papi

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Just look at the teams La Tech has beat at home and then look at how bad Fresno St is on the road!:mj07:

Only way to go is LA TECH!
 

IntenseOperator

DeweyOxburger
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trap game, public betting, who opens the line and where it is now is all meaningless to what is going to happen tonight. Take whoever YOU think is going to win and don't be fooled or swayed by the hype, cause that's all it is, HYPE

I get a lot of info off line movement and when that movement occurs. I can guarantee you it has been very useful for me. I especially take note of what the line was originally set at.

For ex: This game is either Fresno St or no play. Most likely a no play for me. Wouldn't be surprised at all if the fav ends up being Fresno St despite the masses hitting L Tech pretty good to this point.

different strokes for different folks

at the end of the day, it's a very good idea to keep an open mind
 

loskelly

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that's is true but in a game like this where it's essentially straight up you have to go with the facts of basketball, not all the hoopla
 

JIMMYBOY

JIMMYBOY
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I am taking fresno on this one and follow intense operator adivice.

thanks for all your comments on this one

good luck whatever you choose to play, the whole idea is to kill the books

jimmyboy
 
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