got a couple nice birthday presents the last 2 days... rutgers fumbling away 2 punts but still winning and uconn benefitting from one of the worst calls most of us have ever seen... and i'll gladly accept the charity. 
let's see if i can piss it all away today...
buffalo (+3.5) 1 unit. :scared oh my, this is tough. but 'cuse is 0-4 ATS at home this year. they jumped out to a 14-0 lead over rutgers last week, only to get steamrolled after that. the bulls actually come in here on a 2-game win steak, and would like nothing more than to knock off the big east team a couple hours down I-90.
indiana (+7) 2 units. i'm gonna regret saying this, but i've been on the right side of every penn state game i've played so far this year. these guys are not good enough to be laying 7 on the conference road.
vanderbilt (+13.5) 2 units. oh boy, look what i found... the ol' double digit rushing dog (or whatever it's called). vandy averages 148 ypg on the ground (3.86 per carry) vs 128 ypg (3.69 per carry) for south carolina. and vandy gives up 149 ypg (4.07 per carry), while sc gives up 182 ypg (4.38 per carry). i don't remember the numbers on this, but i know it hits at a high rate.
navy (+3) 1 unit. over the last 2 seasons, the 'dog in wake forest games is 15-2 ATS. 22-6 over the last 3 years. 36-14 over the last 5.
tenn/alabama over (55.5) 1 unit. any time i see 70% on the under, i have to take the over.
notre dame (+17.5) 1 unit. :scared :scared did i just say notre dame? oh geez, i did. well, they have covered a couple straight games now (needing a missed extra point to cover against BC, not that i'm bitter about that or anything), and usc has been scuffling. we all remember what it took for usc to win at nd two years ago.
florida/kentucky over (63) 1 unit. also like the gators here, but i think the over is the better play. uk's defense is suspect, to say the least. and last week's game had to take a lot out of them. i expect florida to move the ball at will all game. and you know kentucky will score.
illinois (+1) 2 units. not quite ready to believe michigan has fixed all their woes. despite last week's slip-up, this illinois team is for real. i look for a solid win for the illini.
let's see if i can piss it all away today...buffalo (+3.5) 1 unit. :scared oh my, this is tough. but 'cuse is 0-4 ATS at home this year. they jumped out to a 14-0 lead over rutgers last week, only to get steamrolled after that. the bulls actually come in here on a 2-game win steak, and would like nothing more than to knock off the big east team a couple hours down I-90.
indiana (+7) 2 units. i'm gonna regret saying this, but i've been on the right side of every penn state game i've played so far this year. these guys are not good enough to be laying 7 on the conference road.
vanderbilt (+13.5) 2 units. oh boy, look what i found... the ol' double digit rushing dog (or whatever it's called). vandy averages 148 ypg on the ground (3.86 per carry) vs 128 ypg (3.69 per carry) for south carolina. and vandy gives up 149 ypg (4.07 per carry), while sc gives up 182 ypg (4.38 per carry). i don't remember the numbers on this, but i know it hits at a high rate.
navy (+3) 1 unit. over the last 2 seasons, the 'dog in wake forest games is 15-2 ATS. 22-6 over the last 3 years. 36-14 over the last 5.
tenn/alabama over (55.5) 1 unit. any time i see 70% on the under, i have to take the over.
notre dame (+17.5) 1 unit. :scared :scared did i just say notre dame? oh geez, i did. well, they have covered a couple straight games now (needing a missed extra point to cover against BC, not that i'm bitter about that or anything), and usc has been scuffling. we all remember what it took for usc to win at nd two years ago.
florida/kentucky over (63) 1 unit. also like the gators here, but i think the over is the better play. uk's defense is suspect, to say the least. and last week's game had to take a lot out of them. i expect florida to move the ball at will all game. and you know kentucky will score.
illinois (+1) 2 units. not quite ready to believe michigan has fixed all their woes. despite last week's slip-up, this illinois team is for real. i look for a solid win for the illini.
