NBA Fri 031210- Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

darkchild

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My first post ever on this awesome forums but I've been a long time reader.

Won my bets on Portland and Orlando but lost on O/U with the ATL game so 2-1 for me yesterday.

Early leans for Friday:
Almost locked in
Utah -1
Lakers -1.5


and for the other games..

Spurs -5
Nets +11.5
Pacers +9.5

let's get the discussion going!
 

BillyBatts

IlliniBill
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Mar 31, 2009
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Leans

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Darkchild.....
Welcome. Always nice to have new faces.

Good luck tonight

My early leans
Clips +10 (possible POD)
Celts-9
Bulls-Heat over 190.5
NY-Memp over 210
Wolves +6
Hornets +5
Jazz +1

Love the card today, and may be a big card for me:00hour
 
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Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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North Carolina
NBA:

Portland -1.5 1/2 unit
Milwaukee -1 action
Cleveland -7.5 action
LAL -2 action
LAL/Phx Over 213 action
SA/MN Over 203 1/2 unit

College:

Maryland -4 1/2 unit
Mich St -3 1 unit
Pacific -3 1/2 unit
BYU pk action
Washington -8.5 action
Akron -3.5 action
SDSU/NM Over 135 action

Best of luck to all today.
 

frogster

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Hello to all. WOW did I get smashed last night on taking CHI + the points, they were never in the game. So far I am 3 - 5 and that sucks.

Tonight I like UTA -1 and O 195.5 also POR -1 and O 194. GL to all.
 

axp59

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Oct 8, 2008
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im curious as to where axp59 went?

I'm on and off line. I do stop by to tail some plays since I rarely cap these days.

I have an iffy play tonight. The number is a bit tight which is probably why I'm not seeing much love here for this game.

I wish I got the +8 on the NYK but had to settle for the +7.5. The OKC ML is the parlay pair for the evening IMHO. I'm looking to get some value back instead of paying for the hook to get the number back to +8

My only play is a unit parlay NYK+7.5/OKC ML -800

BOL fellas
 

grindstone

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I'm on and off line. I do stop by to tail some plays since I rarely cap these days.

I have an iffy play tonight. The number is a bit tight which is probably why I'm not seeing much love here for this game.

I wish I got the +8 on the NYK but had to settle for the +7.5. The OKC ML is the parlay pair for the evening IMHO. I'm looking to get some value back instead of paying for the hook to get the number back to +8

My only play is a unit parlay NYK+7.5/OKC ML -800

BOL fellas


Hey AX hope all is well guess I was lucky and got NYK + 8 early. What about the NYK/Mem U211.5? It opened at 210.5 and has climbed up to 212.

One play for me
NYK + 8
 

axp59

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Hey AX hope all is well guess I was lucky and got NYK + 8 early. What about the NYK/Mem U211.5? It opened at 210.5 and has climbed up to 212.

One play for me
NYK + 8

I was hoping this goes up a little more before tip but may have peaked. you locked on this GS?
 

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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What about the NYK/Mem U211.5? It opened at 210.5 and has climbed up to 212.

GS,
Bill like this one topping the number. Getting a High/High on this @ 209. Might be a bit of a gamble but so is NYK+. Bad night to jump back on the horse. LOL Letting my NYK play ride and re-eval at tip for the total.
 

Joe_Vienna

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Mar 18, 2009
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17 - 16 kurby

Tough card tonight!! :violin:
Hope we caaash!!!

Wizards @ Pistons O191.5 (POD)
Knicks @ Grizzlies U212.5
Blazers @ Kings O192.5

edit: also playing Spurs -7 :)
BOLTA :toast:
Joe
 
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barts185

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This was for a game yesterday, but in case anyone wants to save it, figured I would pass it along. :142smilie

Maybe it's a sign of how warped I am that I thought it was funny that someone would amend a query that came up with 10 games in 14 years to cut out a few games.

Play on Home favorites of -5 or more with 1 day of rest if they were a 10 point or more home favorite in their last game and scored 110 or more vs an opponent that scored 100 or more as a home dog in their last game. This system has popped up 10 times since 1995 winning all 10 times straight up covering 8 times and winning by an average 106-88 score. pretty sure Orlando qualifies tonight.

So someone does the query which comes out

H and line<=-5 and rest=1 and p:H and p:line<=-10 and p:points>=110 and op:points>=100 and op:HD

And it comes out to 8-2 (9-2 after last night).

But, apparently 10 games since 1997 is too much action, so the guy who answered with the query then added

If you add the phrase "and tS(ats margin>0, N=4)>1", this eliminates teams that have covered 1 or fewer games of their last 4, you end up with 7-0 against the spread.

H and line<=-5 and rest=1 and p:H and p:line<=-10 and p:points>=110 and op:points>=100 and op:HD and tS(ats margin>0, N=4)>1


So there you have it, 7-0 since 1997 (8-0 after last night), 1 game every 2 years or so.

So make sure the check every day for something that comes around once every couple of years :rolleyes:
 
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BillyBatts

IlliniBill
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Mar 31, 2009
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Leans

Leans

Shopping for numbers and will have my o
plays here in a bit:burnout


How bout those Illini :00hour
 

JBrilman

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Mar 18, 2009
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So make sure the check every day for something that comes around once every couple of years :rolleyes:

:mj07:

Probably just watching again tonight boys. BOL!

I am already salivating though for 2 upcoming games next week.

Washington Wizards will play there 4th game in 5 nights on Monday @ Utah then turn around and play there 5th game in 6 nights the next night in Denver, all after playing Detroit tonight and Orlando tomorrow.


Monday I will play anything less than -13 and I could care less what the spread is Tuesday in Denver I will pound the Nuggets first half and game.
 
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