Thursday Night College Line Movement

[bleedingpurple]

You have A&M @ Okie State. Line opened at OKIE St. - 3.5

My first reaction was that I like Texas A&M. I think they are a more balanced team and play better defense..

Now the site I am using has 83% of public on Okie St and the line at one of my books dropped to -3. I know many people here are going to say, "the public wins too." And they do win too (minimal), but it seems the primetime games have all gone in favor of Vegas this year..

Reverse line movement has been money this year. I know it is too early to tell, will have to wait until game day to see what really happens with betting percentage and such.. Just keeping an eye on it for now..

Anyone have an opinion about the game..

 

[joefrog91]

A&M has not impressed me much this year. Okie St has been scoring a lot of points this year. If the game was at Kyle Field, I would have leaned towards A&M. However, this game is in Stillwater and OSU should win by 9.

 

[layinwood]

I would say Okie St all the way and the reason is because over the last 10 years or so A&M has really struggled to stop the Leach offense. Okie St is now running that offense and doing it very well.

 

[Corley1011]

The last 2 thursdays the public and favorite have covered... NCST and Miami... I like A&M here too

 

[elmer fudd]

should be very high scoring with okst by 7++:0074

 

[joefrog91]

The last 2 thursdays the public and favorite have covered... NCST and Miami... I like A&M here too

That's all I had to see is you on A&M, Corely. Fading you every week. :142smilie

Just kidding. Good luck to you this week.! :toast:

 

[Corley1011]

Hey I don't blame you... I've been terrible on thursday...

 

[bleedingpurple]

The public is still punding A&M and yet the line is still -3 most places and has dropped to -2.5 in some.. Some took the line off a 3 to 2.5??? They rarely, rarely do that.. Somebody knows something that I don't.. Actually I think the Aggies are the better team but the public doesn't. I am taking the Aggies for a medium sized play..

I used to hate this theory but it works.

 

[LonghornMM]

OSU -3 is a very, very strong play. I follow the Big 12 really close and I had this game circled when the schedules came out. IMO this line is way off and should be OSU -10 or -11. A&M has a history of getting blown out in high profile TV games and I don't see this game being any different. They won't be able to stop the Pokes offense. Boone Pickens Stadium is a pretty tough place to play and tonight it will be rockin'.

This will be my largest play of the CFB season. OSU covers this easily.

 

[bleedingpurple]

OSU -3 is a very, very strong play. I follow the Big 12 really close and I had this game circled when the schedules came out. IMO this line is way off and should be OSU -10 or -11. A&M has a history of getting blown out in high profile TV games and I don't see this game being any different. They won't be able to stop the Pokes offense. Boone Pickens Stadium is a pretty tough place to play and tonight it will be rockin'.

This will be my largest play of the CFB season. OSU covers this easily.

I understand and that is why I hate OSU in this spot.. It is too easy with the line movement.. Just like Monday night with the Packers.. Pack much better than the Bears.. We will see what happens. If I lose, I lose.. :0008

 

[bleedingpurple]

There it went at my book.. Okie st just a 2.5 pt favorite now and ML DROPPED A&M to PLUS $120

This makes absolutely no sense.. The public is on the Cowboys both ML and ATS.. I know public wins but usually the spread goes up not down..

The books need A&M and I will side with the books. Not making the same mistake I made ever again on Monday night..This play may lose but I will keep on hitting the reverse line movement games..

 

[LetItRide1033]

hopefully this gives us a head start for the weekend. good luck.

 

[Corley1011]

If you look at the last 3 weeks on Thursday Night the public heavy favorite and the under have covered... I think this streak comes to an end tonight

 

[bleedingpurple]

If you look at the last 3 weeks on Thursday Night the public heavy favorite and the under have covered... I think this streak comes to an end tonight

Yep but the last 3 weeks there was no reverse line movement which really seals the deal for me in this one..

 

[bleedingpurple]

hopefully this gives us a head start for the weekend. good luck.

I bet just about every day so there are no weekend head starts.. Just keeping a little above.
:mj07:

 

[LonghornMM]

I understand and that is why I hate OSU in this spot.. It is too easy with the line movement.. Just like Monday night with the Packers.. Pack much better than the Bears.. We will see what happens. If I lose, I lose.. :0008

Big difference though. OSU is at home and Stillwater is a pretty tough place to play at night on national TV. I think they win easily. We'll see tonight.

 

[bleedingpurple]

Now they are doing everything they can to get more money on Okie st..

Okie state -3 +104 :shrug: A&M -124

More convinced that A & M is the play..

 

[bleedingpurple]

Big difference though. OSU is at home and Stillwater is a pretty tough place to play at night on national TV. I think they win easily. We'll see tonight.

We will.. You are capping the game.. I am capping the spread and monney movement.. Don't know which is better..

I will stay on the side of Vegas but GL to you..