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  1. Cortez

    Week 5 leggo!!!

    Week 4: 6-5-1 YTD: 20-23-1 Distracted by MLB this week so keeping my NFL board relatively small (for me)... TEN +1 CLE +6 STL +9 WASH +6.5 (CANCELLED) Happy Thanksgiving from your friends up north!
  2. Cortez

    Week 4 leggo!!!

    Week 3: 1-10 :00x25 YTD: 14-18-1 Last week is but a distant memory. Thank god for TNF! 0-3 Baltimore is a public road favorite in prime time? You know what that means... PITT +3 (PUSH) No Big Ben? No problem!
  3. Cortez

    Week 3 leggo!!!

    Week 2: 7-5 YTD: 13-8-1 Nearly 70% of bets on the G-Men and they went from being 4 point favorites down to 3. Would have preferred to have the extra insurance point, but I still like this play a fair bit. WASH +3 (LOSS) As always, sprinkling the money line.
  4. Cortez

    Week 2 leggo!!!

    Week 1: 6-3-1 YTD: 6-3-1 Locked these in already for week 2: DEN +3 (WIN) STL -3 (LOSS) BUF PK (LOSS)
  5. Cortez

    Week 1 leggo!!!

    Let's get this party started... Pitt +7 (PUSH) GL to all
  7. Cortez

    Week 10 plays

    Last week: 4-6 Season: 41-53-1 I've been tracking units all year, but fuck it, I don't have the time or stomach to do it anymore. Hopefully nobody loses any sleep over this shake up. This week so far: CIN -6.0 (1u) DET -3.0 (1.25u) NO -4.5 (1.25u) BUF +2.0 (1u) STL +7.0 (1.25u) CAR +6.0 (1.25u)
  8. Cortez

    Week 9 plays

    Last week: 6-7 (-3.25u) Season: 37-47-1 (-20.44u) Going 6-7 last week felt like I won the 6-49. I ended up hitting some nice big live bets on the Lions and Colts (not posted or counted towards unit total) so I actually had a plus week for a change. Now seems like as good a time as any to go...
  9. Cortez

    Week 8 plays

    Grabbed these early: SD +7.5 (1.5u) CIN -2.5 (1.5u) Last night Manning breaks the record and blows out a "top team" (I use the term loosely) in prime time. Denver defense looked good, offense looked virtually unstoppable. If you ask 99% of the North American public right now, this team looks...
  10. Cortez

    Week 7 plays

    Last week was one of the worst weeks I've ever had, if not the worst. Was too depressed to even think about NFL for a couple of days so I haven't updated my record yet. I had a few additional plays that I couldn't post on here because it was Thanksgiving weekend up in here and I was busy with...
  11. Cortez

    Week 6 plays

    Last week: 5-8 (-6.53u) Season: 25-26-1 (-3.92u) Got these locked in so far: Cin -6.5 (1.5u) Atl -3.0 (1.25u) NYJ +10.0 (1.5u) PIT +2.0 (1.25u) Stl +3.5 (1.5u) Have each of these alternate line plays for 0.25u as well (will be counted in unit total, but not in overall record): NYJ +7.0 +135...
  13. Cortez

    Week 5 plays

    Last Week: 4-5 (-1.29u) Season Total: 20-18-1 (+2.61u) Two good weeks followed by two bad weeks to start the season. Must mean I'm due for another good one. Not sure what got into me but I made a bunch of plays early this week. Made a bunch of them on Sunday but haven't been able to post...
  14. Cortez

    Week 4 plays

    Week 3: 4-7 (-3.54u) Season Total: 16-13-1 (+3.90u) Some pretty tough losses last week (NYJ, CLE, STL) and some flat out misreads (TB and CAR), so all in all I can't be too disappointed with the result. Didn't like last week's card from the beginning, totally my fault for making so many plays...
  15. Cortez

    Week 3 plays

    Week 2: 6-3 (+4.97u) Season Total: 12-6-1 (+7.44u) Already played this for week 3: NYJ -1.5 (1u) NYJ -2.5 (0.5u)
  16. Cortez

    Week 2 plays

    Season Total: 6-3-1 (+2.47u) Couple early ones for next week: BAL -2.5 (1.5u) Like this one a lot. One of my favorite situations is when a team has off field drama (of course there are exceptions). Drama usually doesn't mean jack squat come game time. If anything this should bring the...
  17. Cortez

    Need help with hedging

    I originally posted this in the General Discussion forum, but it was suggested to try posting it here to... Prior to the US Open I made several futures (all "to win tournament outright"), and now that we're into the semi's I'm sitting pretty but want to hedge out to ensure a nice profit. I'm...
  19. Cortez

    Need help with hedging

    Prior to the US Open I made several futures (all "to win tournament outright"), and now that we're into the semi's I'm sitting pretty but want to hedge out to ensure a nice profit. I'm fairly new to betting futures like this so I'm not sure what the best strategy is when hedging. Here's what I...
  20. Cortez

    Week 1 plays

    Here we go again... GB +5.5 (1 unit) GB ML (0.25u) There are a lot of reasons to take Seattle tonight, but I gotta go with my gut. I liked the hawks a lot last year and know how effective coach Carroll is at getting the best out of his guys, but I feel like McCarthy/Rodgers & Co. are going to...
  21. Cortez

    Div Winners

    Cannot wait for the season to start. First order of business: place a few beauty futures! Taking each of these teams to win their respective divisions... Cincy (+180) - A lot of people like Pitt to rebound this year but I'm not buying it. Balty could contend here like they do every year, but...
  22. Cortez

    To Risk or to Win?

    I have always bet "to risk", but apparently everyone else on the planet bets "to win". Can someone please explain to me why it is better to bet "to win"? The only difference is you're either paying juice when you win or when you lose. I always thought the idea of losing juice on a loss just...
  23. Cortez

    Rounding up for extra value

    Let's say you're betting a game at odds of -105. If you place a $0.10 bet and win, you make $0.095 profit, which gets rounded up to $0.10. You've essentially just increased your odds from -105 to +100, a difference of 5%. So instead of placing a $100 bet, wouldn't you be better off placing...
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