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    Week #5

    There does seem to be a little value 1.5 points on a few of these games, but not as much as in previous weeks. This week no O/U looks like the all are very close to the number. (missing 1/2 point on key number in the direction I would want to go). Also as I posted before I'm done with...
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    Week #4

    Here are my week four picks mostly done using computer modeling. Actually feel good about this week. Note no O/U all look too close to put money on. Comments are welcome. Cleveland +6 Denver -7 Carolina +7 Jacksonville -3.5 (not getting suckered in by this 1/2 point) S.D. +3 Vikings +3...
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    Week #3

    Two games stand out to me, with bad lines. SD @ Ar => SD -1, My calcs say SD -5 NYJ @ Miami => Over 41 1/2 My calcs say 44 Also calc Miami should be favored by more but don't like giving up that many points in any game. Also calc that Tampa Bay should be favored vs St...
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    Longest TD SF?

    I very seldom bet props but one can get Longest TD with San Fran for -115. Given the different types of teams these are isn't that pretty much a SF given?
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    FWIW My Week 1 picks

    I have lurked here for a couple years and been doing well with the additional info I gain from this site. So this year I will post my picks as well. Maybe I can help somebody out too. Week #1 Straight Bets 1 unit each Denver +3 Jets -3 Min/Chi Under 41 Stl/Denver Under 52 2 Team 6...
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    Handicapping Software recommendations

    A couple years ago, I tried out a handicapping software during the free trial, but never bought it. It worked nicely, letting you build your own handicapping models and running them against past years to see how well they did. Can I get some suggestions of packages to take a look at. I really...
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