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    NFL Week 17

    Nightmare last week, as I posted the opposite side on one of the posted picks -- actually played ARZ +1 EV, but posted CAR +1 EV. Don't know why this happens, but I seem to do it on a regular basis. Swore a couple of years ago I'd never mess up again, but lost focus for just one tiny moment...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    3-0 this week will put SPTW back over 60% for the 4 years it's been running. Hey, it could happen. SPTW is a contrarian thread for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    SPTW is a contrarian thread for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet on. Typically, you agree with some and disagree with others, but every so often one comes up that...
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    NFL Week 16

    Fell below 60% for the first time in 3 years last week. Week 16 traditionally has been get-well time in the past, as the betting public's infatuation with must-win favs usually leads to a few sitting ducks on the pond, but nothing much this year. Not a single middle shot, either. I'm feeling...
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    NFL Week 15

    Our TV mysteriously stopped working a couple of days ago, so my wife and I are going up to Tahoe to watch the games there. Well, actually, I watch the games and she plays poker. That's why I'm posting this foolish swill early, not because I'm enthusiatic about the chances of any of these...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    SPTW is a contrarian thread for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet on. Typically, you agree with some and disagree with others, but every so often one comes up that...
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    NFL Week 14

    These picks suck. I've had a bellyful of playing the worst teams in the league every week. But what else can I do? Save yourself -- you don't have to go in the tank with these worthless plays: DAL +5.5 +100 JAX +3.0 -110 STL/NO UN 51 +100 Last Week: 2-1 66.7% (+1.0 units) YTD: 33-20 62.3%...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    SPTW is a contrarian thread for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet on. Typically, you agree with some and disagree with others, but every so often one comes up that...
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    NFL Week 13

    Can't imagine any of these witless guesses getting me to the window. You'd be better off setting yourself on fire than playing worthless picks like: KAN +9 +100 (Aces Gold) SEA +6 +100 (Aces Gold) SF/STL UN 54.5 +100 (Gameday) In the accounting department, I'm adding season-wins covers by...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    SPTW is a contrarian thread for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet on. Typically, you agree with some and disagree with others, but every so often one comes up that...
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    NFL Week 12

    DAL +8 EV (Aces Gold) ARZ +13.5 -110 (BetWorld) SDO +3.5 -110 (Aces Gold) Last Week: 2-3 40.0% (-1.2 units) YTD: 26-19 57.8% (+5.89 units) 2000-2001: 77-48 61.6% (+26.7 units) Good luck, George.
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    SPTW is a contrarian concept for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet on. Typically, you agree with some and disagree with others, but every so often one comes up that...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    Nice 3-1 last week. Picking up steam now, let's keep it going. SPTW is a contrarian concept for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet on. Typically, you agree with some...
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    NFL Week 11

    Severe tire damage last week. Pathetically trying to recover with this worthless turkey: GB/DET UN 47.5 (Infinity) Last Week: 1-5-1 16.7% (-4.12 units) YTD: 24-16 60.0% (+7.09 units) 2000-2001: 75-45 62.5% (+27.9 units)
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    NFL Week 10

    Can hardly believe the crap I'm playing this week. Four favs? Two big public teams? This is what happens when greed and incompetence meet -- I couldn't choose between the obviously overmatched dogs and the flat, overpriced favs, so played them all hoping for a miracle. That makes for way too...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    SPTW is a contrarian concept for players of mechanical systems only. If you're such a handicapper, you know there's a moment each week when you see a list of all the teams your system wants to bet on. Typically, you agree with some and disagree with others, but every so often one comes up that...
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    NFL Week 9

    Couple of bad signs for this week: 1) the upcoming month is usually the worst-performing segment for my methods, and 2) everyone I know agrees with my plays. Surely this is the week I eat it with these worthless picks: KAN +4.5 -110 (SIA) SEA +7.0 -110 (SIA) Last Week: 3-1 (+1.9 units) YTD...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    SPTW is a contrarian concept now in its 4th year around the forums. It tracks teams picked by mechanical systems -- models, formulas, angles, etc -- that are too ugly to play. If you have a pick this week that fits the description -- one your system says to play but that you don't want any part...
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    NFL Week 8

    None of my plays this week has a chance, but I'm not letting that stop me. My worthless picks for week 8 are: DAL +10.5 EV (Aces Gold) JAX +3.5 -110 (Aces Gold) NYJ +7.0 -110 (SIA) DET/SF UN 47.5 EV (Gameday) Last Week: 1-1 (-0.1 units) YTD...
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    Stupid Play Of The Week

    Third straight 66%+ outing last week with a solid 4-2. Thanks to all who contributed. One more decent week should put us back over 60% long-term. SPTW is a contrarian concept now in its 4th year around the forums. It tracks teams picked by mechanical systems -- models, formulas, angles, etc --...
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