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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Wild Card Week

    I cannot recall a worse ATS year for the model, with a paltry 49%-win rate. SU was a tad better than expected, hitting more than 73%, but it was still a disappointment. The O/U win rate at 56%, on the other hand, came out of nowhere, and I’ll keep it running for the playoffs. Below, I’ve added...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 18

    Not sure how to fix it, but the problem is apparent: the model’s margins of victory are not good enough. It can and does predict straight-up winners, but it likes too many losers (dogs), and that doesn’t bring home the bacon. Got a lot of work to do, but that will have to wait for next summer...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 17

    Totals going 37-22-2!! Trust me, all I did before I started posting O/Us in Week 13 was to tweak the algorithm a tiny tad, updated the officiating variable, and voilà – what was old is new again. I keep waiting for the balloon to pop, but it just keeps going – LOL. As far as the model’s ATS...
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