Riff I also appreciate what you do. I have another set of numbers I use and when they agree with you it is an automatic play. Have hit the last 9 plays that have agreed. Also your plays are here early and am able to beat the line moves. Again thanks for all you do.
Thanks to All of you who have posted today.... I appreciate it.
This particular observation caught my attention. It really doesn't do anyone much good to post a play after tremendous line movement (especially for steam moves) but as you can tell, I feel it's imperative to get the best number possible, and anyone doing this for a living or trying to make a decent wage, should have access to the best number and it's the main reason I try to post as early as possible.
I guess it should be pretty obvious that I don't put much stock into line movements, as I make my plays as soon as possible, especially when weak lines are posted. I realize that there is a significant time difference (between East Coast and West) and I don't have any answers, as it's the nature of the beast. I guess if you want access to the best possible line, you better set an alarm clock :00x10
The only time I have ever bought back bets was when Musca pointed out a key injury that I had overlooked (it's one of my weaknesses) because frankly, I don't have time to explore every injury and sometimes there are mixed messages like the So Dak St game the other night. It's really a major factor, but there is more involved than just the aches and pain of one player, because then you need to take a look at the bench and see how those teams played without a Star contributor and it gets very convoluted.
There is a guy in Reno that does pretty well when he sees major movement in all sports (based on obvious bias due to an announced injury) and will often bet against the movement, as he believes most teams which announce an injury, doesn't affect the overall performance of the team and often teams will play harder without that piece of the puzzle. He has more cahones than I do, but it works for him.
Anyway, I have spent more time today posting when I have a ton of work to do for Saturdays Card.
Just want to let you guys know that I do appreciate the positive feedback and thanks (pat on the back) as it reinforces my fortitude in continuing to post. I guess I'm saying "Thanks" for saying "Thanks" :mj03:...... Gl
