- Oct 17, 2010
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Lots of potential activity lined up for Wednesday (will mostly be looking in the 2H).
Playing overnight:
BOS -3.0
Not buying the Knicks hype against a rested Celtics squad. Knicks have played the 2nd easiest schedule in the league according to my numbers (untested in my opinion). I think the line should be closer to -6, but Vegas knows they will have plenty of NYK action. Only a 1 unit play, but really stands out to me.
Waiting:
I need Houston to show +5.0 or more (off the board currently) to take them on the ML. They had a nice win against Sacramento, so we'll probably see this open closer to +3.5-4.0; will likely need some OKC action to push it higher. Admittedly, my dog money lines have been horrendous this year; dragging down my bankroll this season by more than 13 units. I am trying my hardest not to jump ship on them completely...however, I know that variance can be crazy sometimes.
Portland ML will be a play tomorrow unless for some reason the line drops to below +5.0 or lower (highly unlikely).
Keeping an eye on Sacramento tomorrow. Expect the line to open +10 at the VERY lowest...if it sits near +10 all day, I might take a stab at the big ML payout. Anything higher (I really expect NOH -13.0) and no play for me.
Also, last tidbit of info...that Miami line looks a bit crazy at -17.0, but I actually have it capped at -21.0 (and that doesn't account for the LeBron revenge factor).
Good luck...will check back with these plays I am watching tomorrow afternoon and also post my power ratings for 12/15 later.
Playing overnight:
BOS -3.0
Not buying the Knicks hype against a rested Celtics squad. Knicks have played the 2nd easiest schedule in the league according to my numbers (untested in my opinion). I think the line should be closer to -6, but Vegas knows they will have plenty of NYK action. Only a 1 unit play, but really stands out to me.
Waiting:
I need Houston to show +5.0 or more (off the board currently) to take them on the ML. They had a nice win against Sacramento, so we'll probably see this open closer to +3.5-4.0; will likely need some OKC action to push it higher. Admittedly, my dog money lines have been horrendous this year; dragging down my bankroll this season by more than 13 units. I am trying my hardest not to jump ship on them completely...however, I know that variance can be crazy sometimes.
Portland ML will be a play tomorrow unless for some reason the line drops to below +5.0 or lower (highly unlikely).
Keeping an eye on Sacramento tomorrow. Expect the line to open +10 at the VERY lowest...if it sits near +10 all day, I might take a stab at the big ML payout. Anything higher (I really expect NOH -13.0) and no play for me.
Also, last tidbit of info...that Miami line looks a bit crazy at -17.0, but I actually have it capped at -21.0 (and that doesn't account for the LeBron revenge factor).
Good luck...will check back with these plays I am watching tomorrow afternoon and also post my power ratings for 12/15 later.
