12/15 value plays

[jderrida]

Well, in response to Randercity's post about college hoops, I will post a couple of good value plays:

UAB @ VCU -2

Statistical reason:
Sagarian VCU 79.28 vs UAB 74.83 = 4.5 + home court = VCU -8 vs -2 listed.
VCU def % =34.8; UAB def %=33.3
VCU def 3pt% = 27.1; UAB def 3pt%= 40.5
Rebounding margin favors VCU by 4
UAB is without Guard Troy Johnson doesn't guard against the "3" very well.

Kent -10 @ Youngstown St

Statistical reason:
Sagarian Kent 80.06 vs Youngstown 59.14 = 21-home court= -17 line vs -10 listed
Kent def %= 34; Youngstown def %= 43
Kent def 3pt%=42; Youngstown def 3pt%= 55.7
Rebounding margin favors Kent by 3
Not into playing road favs, but I would look at this one.

Other games to look at

B. Green -3
Drake PK

Anyway, I hope the analysis helps.

Good luck,
JD

[This message has been edited by jderrida (edited 12-15-2001).]

 

[jderrida]

Also,

Drake vs Iowa St.
Drake=76.6;Iowa St=73.72 = -3 +home court= Drake should be -6.5 vs the Pk listed
Drake has a stronger schedule and playing @ home.

B. Green @ Evansville
B. Green=81.03;Evansville=68.42 =-12.5 + home court= B.Green should be -9 vs the -3 listed
B. Green has a stronger schedule rating

Tenn @ Memphis
Tenn=81.53; Memphis 78.76 = -3 + home court = Memphis PK vs Tenn +8 listed

So, then,
I would recommend playing/investing in these 5 games:

Kent -10.5 (early buy-in)
VCU -1 (late buy-in)
Drake PK
Tenn +8
B. Green -3

Also, I would look at playing:
SF +1 (early buy-in--line SF -1 now)
Loyola Mar +5 (early buy-in--line Loy Mar+4)

Good luck today,
JD

 

[jderrida]

Well, 4-1 on my suggested plays and 1-1 on my opinions. Anyway, I hope the analysis helps, but really winning CBB just requires a little home work and confidence in your own plays. Using this system is really quite simple and requires very little time investment for return on your money. I hope Radercity's post and fellow players who were struggling made some coin today.

GL in the future,
JD