DeMar DeRozan O 28.5 Pts (-120)
Anthony Edwards U 24.5 PR (-114)
Marcus Smart O 20.5 PAR (-105)
I have a full video breakdown with charts on these picks!
- Projection: 36.95
- L10 Performance: Over 9 | Under 1
- LOWESS Trend: 36.92
- Matchup: Atlanta allows the fourth most points to opponent starting guards (min. 32 minutes).
- Some folks are worried about LaVine?s return, but DeRozan?s performance in the past month has not been affected by LaVine?s time. When Lavine has played in the past month, DeRozan is still averaging nearly 32 points per game on 20 field goal attempts.
Anthony Edwards U 24.5 PR (-114)
- Projection: 19.14
- L10 Performance: Over 3 | Under 7
- LOWESS Trend: 20.01
- Matchup: Memphis allows the fifth fewest points and rebounds to opponent starting guards.
- Since January 1, Anthony has stayed under this total in 54% of games with 3 games being under 10. I doubt he will go that low, but the tough matchup against a Memphis squad that is looking to keep their momentum from before the All-Star Break won?t be easy.
Marcus Smart O 20.5 PAR (-105)
- Projection: 23.32
- L10 Performance: Over 7 | Under 3
- LOWESS Trend: 21.58
- Matchup: Brooklyn allows the seventh most PAR to opponent starting guards.
- Since Christmas, Smart has hit this over in 68.4% of games. Prior to a game derailed by injury against Philly, Smart had three straight games with at least 26 PAR.
I have a full video breakdown with charts on these picks!
