Today?s Picks
* DeMar DeRozan O 29.5 Pts (-120)
* Projection: 36.9
* L10 Performance: Over 10 | Under 0
* LOWESS Trend: 38.29
* Matchup: When Kyle Lowry was out between 1/17 and 2/1, Miami gave up 29 PPG to opponent guard-forwards who played at least 35 minutes.
* Since January 17, Miami is right in the middle of the league for opponent 2PT FG%. However, they have the third highest personal fouls per game, meaning DeRozan should get an extra few points at the line.
* Miles Bridges O 3.5 Ast (-108)
* Projection: 5.13
* L10 Performance: Over 8 | Under 2
* LOWESS Trend: 4.94
* Matchup: Milwaukee allows the ninth most assists per game this season.
* In games with an O/U above 238, Charlotte averages the second most assists in the league, right at 29.5 per game.
* Patty Mills U 12.5 Points (-120)
* Projection: 8.71
* L10 Performance: Over 2 | Under 8
* LOWESS Trend: 7.64
* Matchup: Toronto allows the eighth fewest points per game since the start of the new year and is right in the middle third of the league for every significant 3PT statistic.
* Since the Harden trade, Mills has only had one game above 45% eFG and is coming off of back-to-back games with no field goals made.
I have a full video breakdown with charts on these picks!
* DeMar DeRozan O 29.5 Pts (-120)
* Projection: 36.9
* L10 Performance: Over 10 | Under 0
* LOWESS Trend: 38.29
* Matchup: When Kyle Lowry was out between 1/17 and 2/1, Miami gave up 29 PPG to opponent guard-forwards who played at least 35 minutes.
* Since January 17, Miami is right in the middle of the league for opponent 2PT FG%. However, they have the third highest personal fouls per game, meaning DeRozan should get an extra few points at the line.
* Miles Bridges O 3.5 Ast (-108)
* Projection: 5.13
* L10 Performance: Over 8 | Under 2
* LOWESS Trend: 4.94
* Matchup: Milwaukee allows the ninth most assists per game this season.
* In games with an O/U above 238, Charlotte averages the second most assists in the league, right at 29.5 per game.
* Patty Mills U 12.5 Points (-120)
* Projection: 8.71
* L10 Performance: Over 2 | Under 8
* LOWESS Trend: 7.64
* Matchup: Toronto allows the eighth fewest points per game since the start of the new year and is right in the middle third of the league for every significant 3PT statistic.
* Since the Harden trade, Mills has only had one game above 45% eFG and is coming off of back-to-back games with no field goals made.
I have a full video breakdown with charts on these picks!
