2 Totals...and Some Unconventional Reasons Why

factsman

factsman
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Jun 23, 2004
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What Does It Take To Win Consistantly,week After Week Month After Month,year After Year.?
Is It Cutting And Pasting Stats Or The Teams History On 1 Of 10 Sites Available To The Public On The Net?
If So Then We Would All Be On The Same Teams Every Night And If All The Stats And Trends Held Up There Would Be No Books, The Plyers Would Win Every Day,well Its Not That Easy As I Wish It Were.i Was Introduced To Forum Posting About 2 Months Ago
Some Of You That Followed My Posts Would Know When I Just
Posted My Plays With No Explanation I Was Flat Out Nasty Winning At A Very High Pecentage, But When The Guys Started Asking For Reasons Why I Liked The Games And Asked How Could You Like That Game I Actually Changed My Forum Plays To Games That Made Sense To Play Instead Of Games That I Truly Felt Would Win.
I Always Said The Stats And Trends And The Pubic Opinion Money And The Look At What Happened Last Time Nonsense
May Validate A Play But Is Not Neccesarily A Winner. Don?t Get Me Wrong It Makes For Good Reading But Not For Good Winning.
I Played The Yankees Yesterday And Lost Based On The Odds I Calculated For Theyankees To Lose To 2 Lefthanders In The Same Week Were About 82% In My Favor Yesterday The Yankees Were In A Spot To Win , Yet They Lost. I Also Liked The Braves Based On The Fact That The Only Way They Were Going To Lose Is The Worst Hitting Team In The Nl Would Have To Outscore Them
They Didn?t I Won. And I Closed With The Orioles As A Dog Playing A Dray Team Scoring Just 3 Runs A Game And I Didn?t See The Orioles Not Being Able To Put Up Some Runs That One Lost
In 20 Years Of Doing This Ive Learned If You Cant Spot A Winner
At First Glance And You Need To Dig And Try To Validate Your Wager Your In Trouble From The Get Go?..here Is How I Simplify
What I Do
Yankees-drays Over10??alex Graman Made His 1st Start Ever In The Majors In April And Froze On The Mound He Got Pounded 7 Runs 9 Hits And 2 Walks Gone After 4.2 Innings?.unless He Found His Balls In The Last 3 Months He Will Freeze Again And Give Up Some Runs. But The Great News Is Bell For Tampa Bay Has To Face A Lineup In The Yankees Where 5 Starters Are Hitting Over 500 Off Him And That?s Not Including Jeter ,arod,posada And Giambi
Bells Era Is 11.21 Vs The Yanks And The Yankee Bats Open Up Tonight It Goes Over I Mean Way Over

Mets ?marlins Total 8 A Little Different Twist Here D-willis Has A 5-0 Record With A Era Of 1.05 Vs The Mets That?s Scary. But That Ends Tonight No Way The Law Of Averages Can Have Willis
Maintain That Kind Of Success Lets Factor The Marlins Are Playing Bad And The Mets Are Hitting The Ball?..the Lawa Of Averages Show Us Willis Gets Smoked Here Tonight And With Scott Erickson On The Hill Fresh Out Of The Minor Leagues
It Seems To Be A High Scoring Game With 3 Homers Minimum
So Yes The Oublic Will Ride The D-train On His Career Record Vs The Mets But They Will Be Surprised On How The Mets Catch Him Tonight

Summary Yankees -tb Over 10 As The Yankeed Will But Up Yankee Numbers And The Rays Get The Luxury Of A Minor League Pitcher Who Chokes In The Majors

Mets ?marlins Over We Get Another Pitcher In Erickson Coming Up From Triple A And Willis Who Is Ripe To Get Clubbed By The Hot Hitting Mets This Over 8 Is Easy

Best Of Luck All
Factsman
 

factsman

factsman
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Jun 23, 2004
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DAM THE ONE NIGHT I PINPOINT THE TOTALS DEAD AIM not one reply...
hope the views helped guys will hope to continue the totals tomm
facts
 

pd1

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Feb 24, 2001
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Thanks for the info. I agree 100%. When you have to explain your plays, most of the time it is easier to rely on stats. When I am doing well it is because I have a feel for the game not because this team has won on 8 straight Tuesdays with a full moon against a Russian left hander.
Nice night :clap:
 

factsman

factsman
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Jun 23, 2004
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ty guys and i did take some heat for the met total because of yhe lack of hitting on the marlins and willis just owning the mets.
and i look at the game within the game....since willis faced the mets they have had more hrs then just about anyone they add hidalgo camreon is not hitting 150 anymore and willis was ripe to be had......plus we had our insurance policy with erickson who we all know had to give up a few. so i liked the play alot
just as i did the yankee total with another minor leaguer coming up who we all saw crumble under pressure in his 1st start
we knew he would have a rough go...they call that stage fright
gl and thanks all
 

factsman

factsman
Forum Member
Jun 23, 2004
139
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tampa florida
dam i hit send to fast...lol

I LOVE the 1st half yankee under 5 +105 to be honest i cant see 5 runs being scored in 9 inings let alone 5

nice play for the 1st half
facts
 
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