2002: #2 Don't Laugh Pick of the Week

[Joe De]

Lost my 1st pick this year..not use to that..I'll do better as the season progresses.
ARKANSAS STATE +20 wins S/U Over MTSU

I'll add more to this thread during the week

 

[Joe De]

ADDING:::::::::Maryland+3......numbers are coming up strong on this game

 

[Joe De]

ADDING::::::::::Georgia ..3 +' another strong play

 

[Joe De]

ADDING:::::::::ittsburgh+1...again strong play

 

[hawkeye]

i'll take the 3 opposite--alabama, mid tenn and west va-gl

 

[jcjrbowl]

Wow
Cannot say I agree at all with those picks but for what its worth I live in Syracuse and they are very difficult to play or play against Ex. Auburn, this is the Orangeman homecoming tough to play in the dome might want to reconsider that play

 

[Thegridiron]

Joe:

I dont know what system you are using but I think that your plays are 1-3 tops. The only one I remotely agree with is Ark State, but I would never play the game because it's a game between two bad teams that in no way anyone can handicap. MTSU has played a tough schedule while Ark State is clearly unproven. I think pitt will get absolutely crushed at syracuse. Georiga and Bama flip a coin, WVU-Maryland, one team that is senior laden playing a rebuilding Maryland team spells possible trouble. Joe there are better games out there to play

 

[Joe De]

Hello gridiron, hawkeye, and jcjrbowl.....sincerely appreciate your input...nevertheless these plays stand on there on merits...all come up with a positive numbers...that concludes a potential dogwinner...i've got a system i've used for 4 years....it's not 100% but sure hits in the 70% range for all season...

We are in some strange territory the last 2 years with teams playing outside their conferences,ie..ala-okla, rutgers-tenn, etc..gets dificult to capp these games...the only thing is the power ratings ,sagarian and a host of others...schedule of difficulty.. the system i use combines all these and more...wihch is not open for discussion..

I believe you can capp a bad team as well as a good team(top25)
I believe there are normally in 12 weeks of college games..the money is made on the least followed teams....BETTER VALUES...example..Wisc/Penn St..2 point variance..these two teams are well matched...there is no value and a flip of a coin you'll hit 50% which is not good enough to generate a profit...Ark state getting 20+ points against a team that has no business giving 3 touchdowns,,,my numbers show them winning at home straight up.

Another thought, i play early in the week in increments , i don't throw everything at the game at one time...also i have no problem on game and admit a mistake ....i'll buy back in a heartbeat...Fla State i had to eat the juice..10 minutes before the game..better to lose $50 vs $500.

By the way, i'm not much on other sports, i've failed to generate a profit..throughout the years..College Football handicapping is a hobby..i play to win...but not to earn a living...in essence i have a very simple system that works..

Gentleman feel free to critique any of the plays posted...GO HAWKS..(I'm not on them this week)/////best regarda

 

[Joe De]

ADDING:::::::::South Fla-2 vs N. Texas..

 

[hawkeye]

i understand your reasoning--just disagree but good luck

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Joe De:

It's eery, but I agree w/ u on every play except ArkSt. I'll take a longer look at that gm, but really had no opinion.

Thx and GL.

 

[Uncle Les]

I like your Pitt play. I know it is Syracuse HC and all, but Pitt is tough against the run and that is all Syracuse can do. Their QB has been pretty horrible practically the whole year. The dome is a tough place to play in but i will still Pitt +1.5

 

[Master Capper]

Joe:

I will have to look at the Ark St game, didnt Middle Tenn just lose to a Div2 school? I liked Cuse earlier but may pass the game, Pitt has really not impressed me with their offense. I like S florida and Geo, but I am more than likely going with WVU especially if the line continues to fall, Maryland will have to beat them in a shootout, WVU has a hell of a offense this year.

 

[Joe De]

ADDING:::::::::::Eastern Michigan +11'

 

[Joe De]

ADDING::::::::::::Hawai/BusyState..UNDER64'...Boise coming off a bye or longer..way too much idle time ///could be a little rusty...Hawai DOES HAVE A DEFENSE...spread looks like 4-5 points off.to the high side..good luck

 

[Joe De]

ADDING:::::::::::Houston +11....or 10'

 

[Joe De]

ADDING.........Hawaii +5
UTEP+17 or more

 

[Joe De]

ADDING::::::::::::USC UNDER 48'

 

[freelancc]

GOOD DAY JOE... KEEP UP THE GREAT WORK..:toast:

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Joe De:

Gotta give credit where credit is due. ArkSt: massive dog that wins outright, and you called it.

Nice job, my friend.