2002 NRL; Wk One

Anders

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Some details and thoughts on the opening Rd of the 2002 NRL competition.

Game One) South Sydney v Sydney Roosters

The return of Souths. Seemingly dead and buried, the legendary club won their way back into the comp thru the court and will be pumped for opening night, with the crowd packed with Green and Red fans. That alone will make Souths a very dangerous dog both ATS and SU.
They have a solid looking pack, featuring Adam Muir, Luke Stuart, Glen Grief and Andrew Hart along with wily hooker Jason Death. Their backline lacks flair and quality though and is a risky proposition with the flaky Owen Craigie pulling the strings.
The Roosters will have Freddie Fittler to themselves this season after retiring from international footie and are looking to revitalise the career of former Raiders fullback Brett Mullins. Classy centre Ryan Cross returns after missing almost all of last year with a broken leg and will be partnered by promising Wayne Bennett-castoff Justin Hodges. Plenty of pace but a question mark remains over their front row.

Game Two) Bulldogs v Wests Tigers

Wests are battling for favouritism for the wooden spoon. Hard to argue with that assessment. They have a blue collar pack, a temperamental centre pairing and a distinct lack of playmakers.
The Doggies surprised most last year by finishing second to the Eels in the regular season. They are tough as nails up front thanks to the likes of Steve Price, Steve Reardon and Darren Smith, have the pace - Luke Patten, Nigel Vagana and Hazem El Masri - to be a long range threat and have a player with the potential to be as good as anyone in the history of the game at standoff in Braith Anasta.

Game Three) Northern Eagles v Newcastle

Little is expected of the Eagles this season; something which is meant to drive them on. They could be a hard side to follow though - Nik Kosef, David Westley, Nathan Long and Steve Menzies will make things interesting in the forwards while much will be expected from Jason Ferris from the Sharks in taking over from the unhappy Brett Kimmorley. The Eagles were good value, strangely enough, as road dogs last year.
The Knights may still be getting over the shock of rolling the Eels in last year's Grand Final. Their pre-season form has been poor while their have been injury worries. But all the ammunition is there for another big year - massive backline ammunition in Tahu, McDougall and Gidley served by the master in Andrew Johns and the revelation of last year, hooker Danny Buderus. Can their pack stand up to being champions in 2002?

Game Four) Nth Qld Cowboys v Brisbane Broncos

Don't write off the Cowboys as easybeats too quickly. Sure, they won't set the world on fire as usual but they have the makings of a dangerous outfit at times. Tim Brasher is back after nearly 2 years out injured, Matt Sing will star at centre while John Doyle and Nathan Fien can be a crafty combination and Nos 6 and 7. Glenn Morrison is a major talent and lots will be asked of John Buttigieg as the rest of the pack look a trifle outmatched.

Game Five) Melbourne Storm v Canberra Raiders

Two teams unlikely to feature at the business end. The Storm have gone backwards in recent yearsmand lack spark but should be better value at home back at Olympic Park rather than at Colonial Stadium.
The Raiders are young and raw and could struggle up front. But Brett Finch and Mark McLinden will need to be closely watched. Michael Robertson has real potential and Clinton Schifcofske is an under-rated fullback.

Game Six) Parramatta Eels v Penrith Panthers

How did the Eels let it slip last year? It's the question they would have asked themselves all post-season after the most dominant team stats-wise in the history of the comp got blitzed in the first half of the final and woke from their nightmare too late. While the NRL's top points-scorer Jason Taylor has retired, the Eels seem to have got even stronger with the acquisition of Adam Dykes from the Sharks and Andrew McFadden from the Raiders. With their powerful and pacy young forward pack a year older and wiser, they loom as a scary proposition. Funnily enough, they were good betting value last year as no spread seemed to tough for them to conquer - don't expect the books to give us that much leniency this year.
The Panthers have John Lang in charge and could be useful dogs early this year. Luke Priddis, Ben Roarty and Martin Lang will bolster the pack while Craig Gower and Ryan Girdler could be a devastating scrumhalf/standoff pair now that a fully fit Gower has swapped jerseys from 9 to 7. Luke Lewis and Luke Rooney are wingers with potential.

Game Seven) St George Illawarra Dragons v Sharks

Two good teams that may be short of greatness. Try-scoring machine Nathan Blacklock and silky centre Mark Gasnier will get outstanding service from the abundantly gifted Trent Barrett as long as Jason Ryles, Lance Thompson and Jason Hooper keep the Dragons going forward.
The Sharks have Chris Anderson in charge after the Kangaroos coach left the Storm and he has got the services of Kimmorley at halfback; moving last season's sensation Preston Campbell to hooker. Matthew Johns returns to Aus to play standoff and feed Colin Best, David Peachey and Chris McKenna but depth up front may be a problem.

Hope this puts everyone in the picture - I'm looking forward to the season's punting.

The extra good news is that I'm covering the New Zealand Warriors - who have the bye first-up - for the paper this year. Hopefully that will notably increase the sources and accuracy of info and analysis throughout the season.

All the best

Anders
 

Whale

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Round 1 = low scoring = take all the unders

Melbourne vs Canberra under 50.5
North Queensland vs Brisbane under 48.5
Bulldogs vs Wests Tigers under 47.5
Parramatta vs Penrithunder 51.5
Northern Eagles vs Newcastle under 49.5
St George Illawarra vs Sharksunder 48.5
Souths vs Roosters under 46.5

Odds from sportstab and centrebet

Easy money ! ;)
 

Anders

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Game One) South Sydney v Sydney Roosters
Souths +6.5/+8.5

Should be a fascinating season opener in front of a sell-out crowd. Can the Rabbitohs' fairytale return continue?
They're up against a dangerous looking Roosters line-up, led as always by Freddie Fitler. Their young centre pairing of Ryan Cross and Justin Hodges could be a lethal attacking partnership with the pace of wingers Anthony Minichello and Shannon Hegarty and former Raiders fave Brett Mullins at the back.
But NRL games are won up front and while Bryan Fletcher and Luke Ricketson give the Roosters punch in the back row, Andrew Lomu and Adrian Morley don't do much for me as first-choice props.
The Rabbitohs have a tough, no-nonsens looking pack, with ex-Knight Glenn Grief and Paul Stringer up front, accompanied by ex-Dragon Andrew Hart, ex-Knight and Blue Adam Muir with Jason Death and smart, hard working hooker.
They have a powerful centre pairing of Russell Richardson (ex-Sharks) and Andrew King (ex-Eagles) while big things are expected of young fullback Wade McKinnon.
I don't expect Souths to set the NRL on fire in their comeback season and injuries could play havoc with their depth and quality later this year. But if the unpredictable Owen Craigie can sieze upon his final chance to perform at this level than they could get off to a good start.
Much of this game will be played on emotion and with the fired-up Rabbitohs getting a very useful points start in front of a sea of red and green at Aussie Stadium, I'll have a dabble on the dogs to start off the season.

PLAY SOUTH SYDNEY +8.5 (One unit)

GLTA :)
 

ronnieseah

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Anders said:
Game One) South Sydney v Sydney Roosters
Souths +6.5/+8.5

Should be a fascinating season opener in front of a sell-out crowd. Can the Rabbitohs' fairytale return continue?
They're up against a dangerous looking Roosters line-up, led as always by Freddie Fitler. Their young centre pairing of Ryan Cross and Justin Hodges could be a lethal attacking partnership with the pace of wingers Anthony Minichello and Shannon Hegarty and former Raiders fave Brett Mullins at the back.
But NRL games are won up front and while Bryan Fletcher and Luke Ricketson give the Roosters punch in the back row, Andrew Lomu and Adrian Morley don't do much for me as first-choice props.
The Rabbitohs have a tough, no-nonsens looking pack, with ex-Knight Glenn Grief and Paul Stringer up front, accompanied by ex-Dragon Andrew Hart, ex-Knight and Blue Adam Muir with Jason Death and smart, hard working hooker.
They have a powerful centre pairing of Russell Richardson (ex-Sharks) and Andrew King (ex-Eagles) while big things are expected of young fullback Wade McKinnon.
I don't expect Souths to set the NRL on fire in their comeback season and injuries could play havoc with their depth and quality later this year. But if the unpredictable Owen Craigie can sieze upon his final chance to perform at this level than they could get off to a good start.
Much of this game will be played on emotion and with the fired-up Rabbitohs getting a very useful points start in front of a sea of red and green at Aussie Stadium, I'll have a dabble on the dogs to start off the season.

PLAY SOUTH SYDNEY +8.5 (One unit)

GLTA :)

when is this match???
any site where i can find out?
 

Anders

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Ronnie - starts in approx 5 hrs from this post.

Cartman - probably passing on both of those although not saying they both won't be winners....Broncos D and the heat in Qld will help one under and I can't see the Tigers scoring many in the other... I have under leans at present for Melb v Canb, Parra v Penrith maybe...

Off to watch the useless Kingz play in Akl and counting my NCAAB cash :D

Back tomorrow :cool:
 

jotster

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hey guys
ill have to go against you fellas, although i realize that the rabbitos will be fired up, i think that fitler will be the difference, craggie is not a good enough organiser, certainly not in fitlers league. if rabbits cover it will be because their forwards play with enthusiasim for the full 80 mins
for me its 3 units roosters -6.5 (tab)

fwiw, ive got a good sized bet on adelaide in the nbl against canberra tonight as well
36ers -3.5 (sportodds)

good luck guys, heres to a big nrl season !!
 

Anders

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again. nice start jotster :)


NRL Wk One)

Geeez, those Rabbitohs were unlucky last night!

Game Two) Bulldogs v West Tigers, Sydney Showgrounds
Bulldogs -12.5

Potential to be a rout like last night. Vast gulf in class between these 2 teams.
Bulldogs have power and mobility up front and pace to burn. Their key man is young standoff Braith Anasta, who was this wk named by almost half the NRL coaches as the player to watch this season.
While the Bulldogs have looked great pre-season, the Tigers have been poor and have little to recommend them. They are weak out wide, workmanlike at best up front and have an untested standoff/scrumhalf pairing.

PLAY BULLDOGS -12.5

Game Three) Northern Eagles v Newcastle Knights, NorthPower Stadium
Eagles +6.5

Eagles beat the 2002 champions twice last season but it's hard to see that happening again despite the Knights' poor pre-season.
Eagles start unknown John Malu at standoff and will rely on the big names in their forwards _ Menzies, Kosef, Long _ to keep the Knights honest.
At time of writing, Ben Kennedy and Adam McDougall were doubtful for the defending champs but they should still have too much firepower with Joey Johns and Buderus pulling the strings to cover this spread.

PLAY KNIGHTS -6.5

Game Four) Nth Qld Cowboys v Brisbane Broncos, Townsville
Cowboys +8

The return of Alfie Langer to the NRL, and Gorden Tallis back from his career threatening spinal injury.
That should motivate the home team, who pushed the Broncos hard on openign day last year. But they lack the depth and the size of the Broncos in the Qld derby.
John Doyle is tagged to start at standoff but injury worries may mean he won't last the 80 mins.
No Wendell Sailor this year sees newcomer Brent Tate on the wing, Shaun Berrigan is Langer's standoff while Brad Meyers comes off the bench to replace Carl Webb in the starting XIII. Expect the Broncos to have too much up front, which will provide the go-forward for the likes of Lockyer, Tuqiri and DeVere.

PLAY BRONCOS -8


Game Five) Melbourne Storm v Canberra Raiders, Olympic Pk
Storm -6.5

Tempting to take the home side here but not sure what to expect from either team yet. Instead I'll play the total. Both teams lack big game breakers so the under has value at what seems like a high tally.

PLAY UNDER 50.5

Game Six) St George/Illawarra v Sharks, Ausse Stadium
Pick 'em

Tight confontation between two very evenly matched sides. Both teams have rugged forward packs and players capable of breaking the game open in their backs (Blacklock, Gasnier and Barrett with the Dragons; Peachey, Kimmorley and Campbell (now at hooker) for the Sharks).
Best value again here probably with the total.

PLAY UNDER 48.5

Game Seven) Parramatta Eels v Penrith Panthers, Parramatta Stadium
Eels +14.5

The "shoulda-been" champs of last season will be determined to erase the memories of their Grand Final defeat.
They have quality in many spots around the field, although new signing Adam Dykes appears likely to miss the match with Daniel Wagon to start at standoff in a new pairing with McFadden.
The Panthers will get to see how effective the Girdler/Gower combo is, while Priddis and Lang should give their forwards a boost too.
Fancy the Panthers to get close in an upset here, and will play the third under of the round too.

PLAY PANTHERS +14.5
PLAY UNDER 51.5


GLTA :)
 

jotster

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hey guys
i had a good feeling that the roosters were a far superior side, like i said fittler was the big difference in the 2 sides, he ran riot in the first half to set it all up, i thought rabbits played better in the second half, but roosters a much bigger and mobile side

i like your pics anders, those being bulldogs, knights, broncos, but ill have to go with parra against the panthers, parra always plays well at home and they should get it done

good luck to all !!

jotster
 

beast2

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Hi All,

Sorry for the late post but have been busy all week beginning a new job.

Here are they Round 1 Plays. I will post them all including one that has just started so as to keep an accurate record.

Newcastle -8.5 d Northern Eagles
Brisbane -8.5 d North Queensland
Canberra +6.5 d Melbourne

Craig
 

Whale

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NZTAB also has totals

Hills had three way totals last year (although none as yet) of which some had value

Canbet may have some up eventually, however maybe they got stung a little last year on them ! lol
 
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