2005 Preseason top 25 power ratings.
These are my top 25 preseason power ratings. These are ?raw? ratings before fall practice that I put together after spring practice; these are good ballpark numbers. I have been working on a reliable set of power ratings for several years as I am always trying to make them sharper and more accurate. I use post fall practice numbers to help me come up with my own point spread and have been fairly successful. Out of all the college games that were played last year I was only five percent behind the opening line [reflected actual score] that was posted at the Stardust. Not too bad I think for a struggling amateur trying to improve his handicapping skills. These numbers reflect: Recruiting, Impact players, Talent, Programs, Returning starters, Starters lost, Experience, Class, Winning/Losing history, Conference, X-factor,and Kentucky wind-age. As you see it has a high element of subjective factors. What this does not include: Results of fall practice, Coaching, Schedules, Injuries, Dismissals, Playing surface, Home field advantage, Travel distance, Weather, Emotional or Situational factors, and the X-factor.
I hope you find this a little helpful and enjoyable. Constructive comments are always welcomed.
Best Wishes
Devil Dog
PS. I put some comments after a few of the teams but I must confess that I had a few cool brews when I was doing this.
1.Texas-168 Great talent combined with experience. If Young improves his reads and cuts down on his ints. They could win it all. The Brown factor bothers me.
2. USC-167? How can you not like this team? Talented, top coach, top program, explosive players, solid defense that will only get better. Can they withstand what seems to be ?Death by 1000 cuts??
3. LSU-166 Maybe the best team here in the last five years. Needs continued QB improvement. This team is loaded; the RBs are scary and deep. I?m not crazy about Miles.
4. Michigan-165 Another strong Wolverine team. After 11 yrs. I still don?t know if I like Carr or not.
4. Ohio St.-165 Another top team from Columbus. What has happened to their running game? If they can keep Haw rFr. out of jail and if Pittman So. Can stay healthy the running game will be much improved.
5. Georgia-164? Mature team with experience. QB Shockley needs to step up. I have always liked Mark Richt.
6. Auburn-163 QBs are always a factor; you don?t need a great one, only one that doesn?t make too many mistakes and can handle ?onus.? The heat is off Tuberville for now.
6. Miami Fla.-163 This team always has top talent. One of the best stop units in the nation. Tends to be a little overrated at times. Coker 44-6.
7. Florida-162? I think Meyer is a great fit for the Gators. Plenty of talent and experience; thank you Ron.
8. Purdue-158 This is a very good team. Tiller is responsible for the Big Ten?s transformation in the way they have to defend the passing game. Rushing yards will improve this year.
9. Tennessee-157? A fine and experienced Volunteer team that could go to the big dance. Am I the only one that isn?t too keen on Fulmer? He does produce many winners. I like this QB Ainge; he seems like the real deal to me.
10. Colorado-156? Klatt needs to make better decisions. This is Barnett?s best team yet here at Colorado. Hope no one files a law suit on me for saying that.
10. Oklahoma-156? Top talent, top program, I still believe they are still thinking about the butt-whipping they took last year in the Orange bowl. Can you imagine giving USC any points at all?..Hello.
11. Virginia Tech-156 Beamer ball is always formidable. Can Vick stay out of the Dog House? Hard to improve on Randall?s numbers but team will have a different chemistry.
11. Penn St.-156 And you thought Paterno had left for a rest home. Miami Fla. Made that mistake.
11. Boston College-156 Surprised me too. Maybe you need to take another look @ the BYU game before you lay your money on the Cougars. O?Brien has done a great job here and this looks like a good physical team.
12. N.C. State-155 Do you think they will have a ?17 in turnovers this year? And what about all that penalty yardage?
13.Clemson-153 Bowden had better not lose too many games this year.
14. Iowa-152? Ferentz. How can you not like this top coach and his team? Depth does seem thin in some areas.
15. Alabama-152 Shula?s best team.
15. Oregon-152
15. Miami Oh.-152 A very talented top MAC team. Top program. But this seems a little high.
15. Minnesota-152
15. Texas A&M 152 Not quite an A team yet [ ask Tennessee] but will make plenty of noise this year.
16. Florida St.-151? Top program but if anything else happens down there Bowden will need a prescription for Ativan.
17.Louisville-150? Media Darling. I have questions about their defense.
18. Texas Tech 150 If you are a wide receiver this is the program for you. That?s not UFOs over Lubbock, it?s footballs.
19. Washington- 148?
20. Virginia-148
21. Notre Dame-147? I always think about Knute Rockne and the Four Horsemen when this fine school in mentioned.
22..Arkansas-147 This is a dangerous team.
22. North Carolina 147 This team?s schedule scares me and I fought in Southeast Asia.
22. Oregon St.-147
22 Washington St-147
23. Michigan St. 146 I always seem to overrate these guys every year.
24 Arizona ?145
24.Syracuse-145
25. Fresno St. 144?
25 Iowa St.-144?
25. Utah- 144? I know you were looking for this one.
Best Wishes
Devil Dog
These are my top 25 preseason power ratings. These are ?raw? ratings before fall practice that I put together after spring practice; these are good ballpark numbers. I have been working on a reliable set of power ratings for several years as I am always trying to make them sharper and more accurate. I use post fall practice numbers to help me come up with my own point spread and have been fairly successful. Out of all the college games that were played last year I was only five percent behind the opening line [reflected actual score] that was posted at the Stardust. Not too bad I think for a struggling amateur trying to improve his handicapping skills. These numbers reflect: Recruiting, Impact players, Talent, Programs, Returning starters, Starters lost, Experience, Class, Winning/Losing history, Conference, X-factor,and Kentucky wind-age. As you see it has a high element of subjective factors. What this does not include: Results of fall practice, Coaching, Schedules, Injuries, Dismissals, Playing surface, Home field advantage, Travel distance, Weather, Emotional or Situational factors, and the X-factor.
I hope you find this a little helpful and enjoyable. Constructive comments are always welcomed.
Best Wishes
Devil Dog
PS. I put some comments after a few of the teams but I must confess that I had a few cool brews when I was doing this.
1.Texas-168 Great talent combined with experience. If Young improves his reads and cuts down on his ints. They could win it all. The Brown factor bothers me.
2. USC-167? How can you not like this team? Talented, top coach, top program, explosive players, solid defense that will only get better. Can they withstand what seems to be ?Death by 1000 cuts??
3. LSU-166 Maybe the best team here in the last five years. Needs continued QB improvement. This team is loaded; the RBs are scary and deep. I?m not crazy about Miles.
4. Michigan-165 Another strong Wolverine team. After 11 yrs. I still don?t know if I like Carr or not.
4. Ohio St.-165 Another top team from Columbus. What has happened to their running game? If they can keep Haw rFr. out of jail and if Pittman So. Can stay healthy the running game will be much improved.
5. Georgia-164? Mature team with experience. QB Shockley needs to step up. I have always liked Mark Richt.
6. Auburn-163 QBs are always a factor; you don?t need a great one, only one that doesn?t make too many mistakes and can handle ?onus.? The heat is off Tuberville for now.
6. Miami Fla.-163 This team always has top talent. One of the best stop units in the nation. Tends to be a little overrated at times. Coker 44-6.
7. Florida-162? I think Meyer is a great fit for the Gators. Plenty of talent and experience; thank you Ron.
8. Purdue-158 This is a very good team. Tiller is responsible for the Big Ten?s transformation in the way they have to defend the passing game. Rushing yards will improve this year.
9. Tennessee-157? A fine and experienced Volunteer team that could go to the big dance. Am I the only one that isn?t too keen on Fulmer? He does produce many winners. I like this QB Ainge; he seems like the real deal to me.
10. Colorado-156? Klatt needs to make better decisions. This is Barnett?s best team yet here at Colorado. Hope no one files a law suit on me for saying that.
10. Oklahoma-156? Top talent, top program, I still believe they are still thinking about the butt-whipping they took last year in the Orange bowl. Can you imagine giving USC any points at all?..Hello.
11. Virginia Tech-156 Beamer ball is always formidable. Can Vick stay out of the Dog House? Hard to improve on Randall?s numbers but team will have a different chemistry.
11. Penn St.-156 And you thought Paterno had left for a rest home. Miami Fla. Made that mistake.
11. Boston College-156 Surprised me too. Maybe you need to take another look @ the BYU game before you lay your money on the Cougars. O?Brien has done a great job here and this looks like a good physical team.
12. N.C. State-155 Do you think they will have a ?17 in turnovers this year? And what about all that penalty yardage?
13.Clemson-153 Bowden had better not lose too many games this year.
14. Iowa-152? Ferentz. How can you not like this top coach and his team? Depth does seem thin in some areas.
15. Alabama-152 Shula?s best team.
15. Oregon-152
15. Miami Oh.-152 A very talented top MAC team. Top program. But this seems a little high.
15. Minnesota-152
15. Texas A&M 152 Not quite an A team yet [ ask Tennessee] but will make plenty of noise this year.
16. Florida St.-151? Top program but if anything else happens down there Bowden will need a prescription for Ativan.
17.Louisville-150? Media Darling. I have questions about their defense.
18. Texas Tech 150 If you are a wide receiver this is the program for you. That?s not UFOs over Lubbock, it?s footballs.
19. Washington- 148?
20. Virginia-148
21. Notre Dame-147? I always think about Knute Rockne and the Four Horsemen when this fine school in mentioned.
22..Arkansas-147 This is a dangerous team.
22. North Carolina 147 This team?s schedule scares me and I fought in Southeast Asia.
22. Oregon St.-147
22 Washington St-147
23. Michigan St. 146 I always seem to overrate these guys every year.
24 Arizona ?145
24.Syracuse-145
25. Fresno St. 144?
25 Iowa St.-144?
25. Utah- 144? I know you were looking for this one.
Best Wishes
Devil Dog
