- Nov 16, 2006
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I'm going to put anything related to the 2013 MLB season in this thread.
Here are my projections for Sunday's games. In addition to a predicted line and total I've added:
-team totals
-total runs/hits/errors
-chance of scoring a run in the first inning (pct and ML)
Projections are based on a bunch of team/player factors. I use them to help with handicapping not as a blind follow.
(Numbers get a little bunched in this format but you'll see next to each team a run score and a money line if that team is projected to be the favorite. )
4/7 projections
Away-- Washington Nationals Stephen Strasburg -115 3.7
Home-- Cincinnati Reds Johnny Cueto 3.63
Projected Game Total 7.33
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.83
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 47.43% 111
Away-- Miami Marlins Jose Fernandez 3.52
Home-- New York Mets Aaron Laffey -152 4.14
Projected Game Total 7.67
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.42
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.56% 106
Away-- Chicago Cubs Jeff Samardzija 2.97
Home-- Atlanta Braves Tim Hudson -181 4.02
Projected Game Total 6.99
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.24
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.28% 116
Away-- Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Kennedy 3.74
Home-- Milwaukee Brewers Yovani Gallardo -113 3.79
Projected Game Total 7.53
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.17
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.09% 108
Away-- Pittsburgh Pirates Jeff Locke 3.07
Home-- Los Angeles Dodgers Hyun Jin Ryu -164 3.87
Projected Game Total 6.94
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.14
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.09% 117
Away-- St. Louis Cardinals Adam Wainwright 3.09
Home-- San Francisco Giants Matt Cain -125 3.31
Projected Game Total 6.4
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 23.2
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 44.27% 126
Away-- San Diego Padres Edinson Volquez 5.17
Home-- Colorado Rockies Jhoulys Chacin -137 5.57
Projected Game Total 10.75
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 30.81
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 59.04% -144
Away-- Oakland Athletics Brett Anderson -149 4.3
Home-- Houston Astros Lucas Harrell 3.72
Projected Game Total 8.03
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 26.05
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 49.79% 101
Away-- New York Yankees C.C. Sabathia 2.89
Home-- Detroit Tigers Justin Verlander -190 4.08
Projected Game Total 6.97
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.2
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.21% 116
Away-- Boston Red Sox Jon Lester 3.75
Home-- Toronto Blue Jays R.A. Dickey -128 4.02
Projected Game Total 7.77
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.6
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.92% 104
Away-- Minnesota Twins Pedro Hernandez 3.83
Home-- Baltimore Orioles Jason Hammel -168 4.69
Projected Game Total 8.52
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 26.9
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 51.46% -106
Away-- Cleveland Indians Justin Masterson 2.84
Home-- Tampa Bay Rays David Price -192 4.06
Projected Game Total 6.9
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.07
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 45.94% 118
Away-- Seattle Mariners Hisahi Iwakuma 3.33
Home-- Chicago White Sox Chris Sale -141 3.79
Projected Game Total 7.12
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.46
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.71% 114
Away-- Los Angeles Angels Jered Weaver 4.28
Home-- Texas Rangers Yu Darvish -123 4.48
Projected Game Total 8.76
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 27.33
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 52.28% -110
Away-- Kansas City Royals James Shields 3.29
Home-- Philadelphia Phillies Cole Hamels -140 3.74
Projected Game Total 7.03
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.31
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.41% 115
Here are my projections for Sunday's games. In addition to a predicted line and total I've added:
-team totals
-total runs/hits/errors
-chance of scoring a run in the first inning (pct and ML)
Projections are based on a bunch of team/player factors. I use them to help with handicapping not as a blind follow.
(Numbers get a little bunched in this format but you'll see next to each team a run score and a money line if that team is projected to be the favorite. )
4/7 projections
Away-- Washington Nationals Stephen Strasburg -115 3.7
Home-- Cincinnati Reds Johnny Cueto 3.63
Projected Game Total 7.33
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.83
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 47.43% 111
Away-- Miami Marlins Jose Fernandez 3.52
Home-- New York Mets Aaron Laffey -152 4.14
Projected Game Total 7.67
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.42
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.56% 106
Away-- Chicago Cubs Jeff Samardzija 2.97
Home-- Atlanta Braves Tim Hudson -181 4.02
Projected Game Total 6.99
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.24
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.28% 116
Away-- Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Kennedy 3.74
Home-- Milwaukee Brewers Yovani Gallardo -113 3.79
Projected Game Total 7.53
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.17
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.09% 108
Away-- Pittsburgh Pirates Jeff Locke 3.07
Home-- Los Angeles Dodgers Hyun Jin Ryu -164 3.87
Projected Game Total 6.94
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.14
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.09% 117
Away-- St. Louis Cardinals Adam Wainwright 3.09
Home-- San Francisco Giants Matt Cain -125 3.31
Projected Game Total 6.4
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 23.2
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 44.27% 126
Away-- San Diego Padres Edinson Volquez 5.17
Home-- Colorado Rockies Jhoulys Chacin -137 5.57
Projected Game Total 10.75
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 30.81
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 59.04% -144
Away-- Oakland Athletics Brett Anderson -149 4.3
Home-- Houston Astros Lucas Harrell 3.72
Projected Game Total 8.03
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 26.05
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 49.79% 101
Away-- New York Yankees C.C. Sabathia 2.89
Home-- Detroit Tigers Justin Verlander -190 4.08
Projected Game Total 6.97
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.2
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.21% 116
Away-- Boston Red Sox Jon Lester 3.75
Home-- Toronto Blue Jays R.A. Dickey -128 4.02
Projected Game Total 7.77
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 25.6
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 48.92% 104
Away-- Minnesota Twins Pedro Hernandez 3.83
Home-- Baltimore Orioles Jason Hammel -168 4.69
Projected Game Total 8.52
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 26.9
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 51.46% -106
Away-- Cleveland Indians Justin Masterson 2.84
Home-- Tampa Bay Rays David Price -192 4.06
Projected Game Total 6.9
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.07
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 45.94% 118
Away-- Seattle Mariners Hisahi Iwakuma 3.33
Home-- Chicago White Sox Chris Sale -141 3.79
Projected Game Total 7.12
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.46
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.71% 114
Away-- Los Angeles Angels Jered Weaver 4.28
Home-- Texas Rangers Yu Darvish -123 4.48
Projected Game Total 8.76
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 27.33
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 52.28% -110
Away-- Kansas City Royals James Shields 3.29
Home-- Philadelphia Phillies Cole Hamels -140 3.74
Projected Game Total 7.03
Total Runs/Hits/Errors 24.31
Chance of Scoring 1st Inn. 46.41% 115