colo at l.a.
chacon vs. baldwin
chacon has about a one run era advantage, taken from recent form. people in l.a. are nice and very sportsmanlike, so put 2 and 2 together and colo +145 gets the nod here. it is pretty even really, with a slight advantage for chacon, nullified by la's home advantage. this should be a pickem except for l.a.'s hot numbers of late.
clev at detroit
burba vs. sparks
again, sparks holds a nice era advantage over burba (about 2), is in the comfort of home, and about the only drawback is that sparks has been tagged on his last two games, both vs. the yankees, so i am putting those aside in view of the race situation with the yankees. despite that, his recent era is still much better than burba.
detroit +135
k.c. at oakland
wilson vs. zito
i flipped when i saw the line on this one, sure that it was a typo. either we are getting set-up, or this has to be the biggest bargain for sunday.
wilson's last 4 show a less than 2 era, whereas zito is right around 6. wilson has gone 7 and 8 innings in his last two, allowing only 1 run each game. zito has been blasted in his last 2, going 4.2 and 2 innings, allowing 5 and 6 earned runs, in that order.
i would normally call this a best bet based on so much value, but the possibility of being taken for a ride is very real. still, k.c. +200 or thereabouts.
pep
chacon vs. baldwin
chacon has about a one run era advantage, taken from recent form. people in l.a. are nice and very sportsmanlike, so put 2 and 2 together and colo +145 gets the nod here. it is pretty even really, with a slight advantage for chacon, nullified by la's home advantage. this should be a pickem except for l.a.'s hot numbers of late.
clev at detroit
burba vs. sparks
again, sparks holds a nice era advantage over burba (about 2), is in the comfort of home, and about the only drawback is that sparks has been tagged on his last two games, both vs. the yankees, so i am putting those aside in view of the race situation with the yankees. despite that, his recent era is still much better than burba.
detroit +135
k.c. at oakland
wilson vs. zito
i flipped when i saw the line on this one, sure that it was a typo. either we are getting set-up, or this has to be the biggest bargain for sunday.
wilson's last 4 show a less than 2 era, whereas zito is right around 6. wilson has gone 7 and 8 innings in his last two, allowing only 1 run each game. zito has been blasted in his last 2, going 4.2 and 2 innings, allowing 5 and 6 earned runs, in that order.
i would normally call this a best bet based on so much value, but the possibility of being taken for a ride is very real. still, k.c. +200 or thereabouts.
pep
