4-team teaser to close out the week

Ernie_Money

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Aug 27, 2006
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NFL 4-team teaser (13 points each):

laying $700 to win $500 (ties push)

Baltimore +14
Chicago -3
Indianapolis +16
New England +12


Reasoning:

1) McNair back, but more importantly is the fact that Baltimore has lost 2 straight and the bye week can rejuvenate them and re-motivate them to get back on the winning side and regain some momentum, while the bye week for the Saints is bad timing as they have been red hot and their bye may have stymied their momentum. Maybe the magical season continues this week for the Saints, but by more than 2 touchdowns? I hope not.
2) Having a nice scare on Monday night 2 weeks ago is just the dose of reality the Bears needed going into the bye week to make sure they don't repeat that pathetic performance of 6 turnovers and no offensive TDs in that miracle win vs. Arizona. San Fran will have to pay this week as the Bears will want to re-establish their dominance and show everyone that the Monday Night game was a fluke.
3) The Colts have always been a great teaser team under Peyton Manning, especially in meaningful games and especially as a Dog. I checked the weather and it's supposed to be in the 60s with no rain, so the Colts offensive attack will only have to worry about Denver's awesome defense and not the field or weather conditions. I think Denver wins this, but by more than 16? Unless this is a mauling, Manning won't quit and can backdoor this teaser number even if they do get down by 21 points. I hope they never get that far behind.
4) Tom Brady and the Patriots were more or less written off this season, and yet, suddenly, they are emerging as a force to be reckoned with. The Vikes can win this, but like Manning, Brady won't quit, either, and can back-door this teaser number if the Pats fall behind by 14 or 17. If this teaser is still alive come Monday night, I may hedge.


Week 9: 8-3, +$580
Week 8: 3-5, -$696
Week 7: 5-2: +$636
Week 6: 5-1, +$750
Week 5: 4-4, +$681
Week 4: 3-6, +$110
Week 3: 3-3, -$575
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913
 

Ernie_Money

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 27, 2006
78
1
0
Hedging the last leg of my teaser, taking:

Minnesota Vikings -7.5, laying $200 to win $700

Reasoning:

This is a hedge. I guarantee myself a winning week here. Football is a great game, but it can be a crazy game where crazy things happen. Oakland beats Pittsburgh in a must-win game for the Steelers. Dallas wins by 21 over the Panthers at Carolina. I simply refuse to have a losing week after going 8-3. Can Minnesota beat New England by more than 12 (I have NE +12 in the last leg of my teaser bet)? I doubt it. But why take a chance?

If the Vikes win by more than 12, I win $580 for the week.
If the Vikes win by exactly 12, I win $1280 for the week.
If the Vikes win by 8, 9, 10, or 11, I win $1780 for the week.
If the Vikes win by 7 or less or lose, I win $880 for the week (the most likely scenario).

I have no desire to sweat tonight. So I will make Week 9 a winning week and enjoy the game.

Week 9: 8-3, +$580 (1 bet pending)
Week 8: 3-5, -$696
Week 7: 5-2: +$636
Week 6: 5-1, +$750
Week 5: 4-4, +$681
Week 4: 3-6, +$110
Week 3: 3-3, -$575
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913
 
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