Colorado at Detroit......3 PM EST
The Play: 4 units (over 5.5,+110)
I rarely play totals for my 4 unit plays but this one today just looks too good to pass by.
We have the top two scoring teams in the Western Conference as Colorado averages 3.29 gls/gm and Detroit averages 3.07 gls/gm. They are among the leaders in shots on goal with the Wings at 32.3 sh/gm and the Avs at 29.2 sh/gm. In fact the Wings have averaged a whopping 36.0 sh/gm over their last 6 games.
Both teams have excellent Power Plays, both right at 22.0%, a very good number. On the Penalty Kill, Detroit is good at 86.1% but Colorado has struggled at just 82.8%.
The Wings are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 at home and the last 4 games between these teams have all gone over..........final scores were 5-3, 4-3, 5-3, and 4-2. Colorado is 17-17 O/U on the road TY while Detroit is 21-16 O/U at home TY.
David Aebischer is expected to get the call in net for the Avs today as they rest Patrick Roy for the season finale tomorrow and it wouldn't surprise me a bit to see Scotty Bowman put in his backup netminder as well, so as to not give the Avs any psychological edge should the two meet later in the Playoffs.
The fact that this game is an afternoon tilt also backs up an over play as for some reason (totally unknown to me) a greater percentage of afternoon games go over than regular night games.
The last factor to support the over is the fact that this game means absolutely nothing to either team, as they are set as the number 1 and number 2 seeds in the West. Since they cannot meet until the Western Final and have met so many times before in emotionally charged games, I feel that this game will hold no special meaning. Therefore, I don't expect a grind-it-out, dump and chase, defensive minded, playoff type game.
On the contrary, I expect both teams to open it up and have some fun. Yes, there is a chance that some key players might be rested, but that key player could very well be a top defenceman or a good checking forward so that's really a non-issue for me.
4 Units (Over 5.5,+110)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
The Play: 4 units (over 5.5,+110)
I rarely play totals for my 4 unit plays but this one today just looks too good to pass by.
We have the top two scoring teams in the Western Conference as Colorado averages 3.29 gls/gm and Detroit averages 3.07 gls/gm. They are among the leaders in shots on goal with the Wings at 32.3 sh/gm and the Avs at 29.2 sh/gm. In fact the Wings have averaged a whopping 36.0 sh/gm over their last 6 games.
Both teams have excellent Power Plays, both right at 22.0%, a very good number. On the Penalty Kill, Detroit is good at 86.1% but Colorado has struggled at just 82.8%.
The Wings are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 at home and the last 4 games between these teams have all gone over..........final scores were 5-3, 4-3, 5-3, and 4-2. Colorado is 17-17 O/U on the road TY while Detroit is 21-16 O/U at home TY.
David Aebischer is expected to get the call in net for the Avs today as they rest Patrick Roy for the season finale tomorrow and it wouldn't surprise me a bit to see Scotty Bowman put in his backup netminder as well, so as to not give the Avs any psychological edge should the two meet later in the Playoffs.
The fact that this game is an afternoon tilt also backs up an over play as for some reason (totally unknown to me) a greater percentage of afternoon games go over than regular night games.
The last factor to support the over is the fact that this game means absolutely nothing to either team, as they are set as the number 1 and number 2 seeds in the West. Since they cannot meet until the Western Final and have met so many times before in emotionally charged games, I feel that this game will hold no special meaning. Therefore, I don't expect a grind-it-out, dump and chase, defensive minded, playoff type game.
On the contrary, I expect both teams to open it up and have some fun. Yes, there is a chance that some key players might be rested, but that key player could very well be a top defenceman or a good checking forward so that's really a non-issue for me.
4 Units (Over 5.5,+110)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
