Took it on the chin yesterday with that 1-0 loss. Getting right back on the horse tonight, with a rare favourite.
4 Units Colorado(-122)
I rarely play favourites, and this (-122) is about as high as I ever go, but the research indicates a solid play.
Houston has played better in June after a slow start, but they still are a very poor road team. YTD they are 9-27 away from Houston.
Yes, Colorado has a poor record YTD, but always plays well at Coors Field and this year is no different as they are 20-17 at home, including winning their last 4 straight.
Advantage: Colorado
On the mound tonight for the Astros is rookie lefthander Wandy Rodriguez. He is 3-3 in his 6 starts with an inflated ERA of 7.64. His WHIP is 1.73 and his BAA is .333. He has given up a whopping 7 HR's in just 33 IP. Those numbers don't give much confidence when you're headed to the mound at Coors Field. In his last 4 starts, his ERA is 8.44 and his WHIP is 1.92.
For the Rockies, righthander Jamey Wright takes the ball, and he has been very impressive lately. For the year, he is 4-7, 5.31 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and .301 BAA. But in his last 3 starts, his ERA is a cool 2.18 and his WHIP is 1.16, and in his last 5 starts, his ERA sits at just 2.48 and his WHIP is 1.32 . He has given up just one long ball in his last 5 starts. Pretty good numbers !
I even got a bit of an eye opener when I looked at the bullpens. Yes, Lidge has been good for Houston, but did you know that Brian Fuentes (who?) for the Rockies, has 8 saves, a 1.17 WHIP (lower than Lidge's 1.36) and a BAA of .202 (lower than Lidge's .260) Hmmmm?
Advantage: Colorado
When we look at offence, I see that Houston's numbers don't vary much in the old R/L matchups.
Colorado does hit lefties better than righties, especially for extra base power. Their SL% overall YTD is .414...................against just L's it is .449.
I know that capping the Rockies in their home park takes a bit of a skewed analysis, but these following numbers were just too much to ignore.
Colorado at home this year.............
BA.......................309
OBP.....................378
SL%...................480
Houston on the road this year..............
BA..................206........that's not a typo !
OBP...............276
SL%..............323
Houston has scored exactly one run in 3 of their last 5 road games.
Advantage: Colorado
Like I said, I don't usually play favourites and this number is about at my limit, but all my parameters point in one direction.
4 Units Colorado(-122)
Good luck out there tonight,
Tiger
4 Units Colorado(-122)
I rarely play favourites, and this (-122) is about as high as I ever go, but the research indicates a solid play.
Houston has played better in June after a slow start, but they still are a very poor road team. YTD they are 9-27 away from Houston.
Yes, Colorado has a poor record YTD, but always plays well at Coors Field and this year is no different as they are 20-17 at home, including winning their last 4 straight.
Advantage: Colorado
On the mound tonight for the Astros is rookie lefthander Wandy Rodriguez. He is 3-3 in his 6 starts with an inflated ERA of 7.64. His WHIP is 1.73 and his BAA is .333. He has given up a whopping 7 HR's in just 33 IP. Those numbers don't give much confidence when you're headed to the mound at Coors Field. In his last 4 starts, his ERA is 8.44 and his WHIP is 1.92.
For the Rockies, righthander Jamey Wright takes the ball, and he has been very impressive lately. For the year, he is 4-7, 5.31 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and .301 BAA. But in his last 3 starts, his ERA is a cool 2.18 and his WHIP is 1.16, and in his last 5 starts, his ERA sits at just 2.48 and his WHIP is 1.32 . He has given up just one long ball in his last 5 starts. Pretty good numbers !
I even got a bit of an eye opener when I looked at the bullpens. Yes, Lidge has been good for Houston, but did you know that Brian Fuentes (who?) for the Rockies, has 8 saves, a 1.17 WHIP (lower than Lidge's 1.36) and a BAA of .202 (lower than Lidge's .260) Hmmmm?
Advantage: Colorado
When we look at offence, I see that Houston's numbers don't vary much in the old R/L matchups.
Colorado does hit lefties better than righties, especially for extra base power. Their SL% overall YTD is .414...................against just L's it is .449.
I know that capping the Rockies in their home park takes a bit of a skewed analysis, but these following numbers were just too much to ignore.
Colorado at home this year.............
BA.......................309
OBP.....................378
SL%...................480
Houston on the road this year..............
BA..................206........that's not a typo !
OBP...............276
SL%..............323
Houston has scored exactly one run in 3 of their last 5 road games.
Advantage: Colorado
Like I said, I don't usually play favourites and this number is about at my limit, but all my parameters point in one direction.
4 Units Colorado(-122)
Good luck out there tonight,
Tiger
