4 Unit Play For Saturday

Tiger

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Jul 14, 1999
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Found one I really like on tonight's menu..............

4 units Oakland(-104)


Two teams that appear to be going in opposite directions meet tonight in Oakland, and I'll take the team that looks to be on the upswing at virtually a pick'em.



Let's start by looking at the two teams. Oakland finally seems to be turning things around winning 4 straight before losing to the dominant Roy Halladay last night. In those 4 wins they scored 11, 5, 10 and 5 runs, so it looks like their offence has awoken. Toronto did win the series opener last night behind Halladay, but have lost 5 of their last 8 , and are actually 1-5 in their last 6 games NOT started by ace Halladay. Advantage: Oakland.


On the mound tonight are two starters with some ugly stats.

Ted Lilly goes for the Jays..........
3-5................7.60 ERA.........1.78 WHIP

Joe Blanton goes for the A's.............
0-5.............6.66 ERA.............1.64 WHIP

Not much to choose from there, but if we delve a little deeper, we see that Lilly is 0-3 on the road with a 9.92 ERA and 2.20 WHIP. He has a career ERA vs the A's of 8.56. Blanton has only seen Toronto once but he pitched very well, giving up only 1 ER in 6 IP with a .83 WHIP.

Oakland is 2-1 in his last 3 starts, 3-1 in his last 4 home starts, and the A's have actually won 6 of their last 8 home games.

On the batting side of things, I've already mentioned the A's scoring 31 runs in 4 games before last night. On the other hand, Toronto has scored 3 runs or less in 5 of their last 8. Advantage: Oakland

The Jays hit lefties and righties about equal, but Oakland's numbers are better against lefthanders, which they face tonight in Ted Lilly.................their team batting average and slugging percentage are both 30 points higher.

So, we have a hotter team, with the better bats, and at worst, a saw-off on the mound, playing at home in a pick'em game. I'm in.


4 units Oakland (-104)


Good luck out there today,
Tiger
 

ditchdigger

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May 22, 2005
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your right that is ugly. the over might also be a play by looking at the piichers.

ill take oak as well

best of luck

dd
 

Tiger

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ditchdigger....................I had a look at the over for this game and frankly was scared off because I'm not convinced the Blue Jays can hold up their end of it.

In their last 8 games, they have scored 4 or more runs only 3 times, and without Halladay on the mound, they have scored 3 or less in 5 of their last 6.

In night games, Oakland's numbers are almost identical to their total numbers , but Toronto at night has lower numbers in batting average, OBP, and slugging % than their overall numbers.

Not to mention, the over is pretty costly right now

Over 9, -125, or -130 in most outlets.

GL whatever you decide.
 

The Mover

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Mar 22, 2000
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Detroit,Mi
Tiger... played Oakland before I left for work this morning. Glad to see you on it..also thanks for taking the time for the write up. GL
 

ditchdigger

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May 22, 2005
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thanks for the info tiger. much appreciated.

best of luck and have a great weekend

dd
 
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