Hello guys...................found an afternoon game that fits all my paramaters today......................
4 Units Atlanta(+120)
Baltimore comes into this one on the skids. They have dropped 4/5 overall and 8 of their last 10 road games. Looks like they may be coming back to the pack after a very good start.
Atlanta is going the opposite direction. They have won 6 of their last 8 and sport a fine 22-12 mark at home YTD. They also are 10-3 in their last 13 vs the Orioles.
Advantage: Atlanta
Baltimore sends leftie Bruce Chen to the mound today and he has struggled for a while now. He has lost 3 of his last 4 decisions, and the Birds have lost 4 of his last 5 starts.
His numbers on the road have been awful. Let's compare his home and road stats..............
Home......4-1.............2.42 ERA........205 BAA........1.06 WHIP
Road........2-4...........5.27 ERA.........299 BAA........1.44 WHIP.
In 13 career IP vs the BRaves, his ERA is 5.54 and his BAA is .302
For Atlanta, righthander Roman Colon gets his first career start and I'm sure that fact alone is why the Braves are an underdog in this one.
His career stats are unimpressive, but in very limited action (just 37 career IP....all in relief).
He is a big kid..............6' 6 and 225 lbs, with a live arm who I think will thrive on pitching more than one inning at a time. He is especially tough on righthanded hitters.............224 BAA and 1.15 WHIP and the Orioles have lots of those........Matos, Mora, Tejada, Sosa, Gomez and both catchers.
I have also found over the years that veteran teams (like Baltimore) have lots of trouble when they see a young pitcher for the very first time, and they have never seen Colon.
Advantage: Atlanta
Let's look at batting now. As I've said before, when looking at offensive numbers in an interleague game, it's kinda like comparing apples to oranges, so I like to look at some different angles.
Baltimore's overall offensive numbers are virtually the same as their numbers against righthanders. But Atlanta's numbers vs lefthanded pitchers take a good sized jump when compared to their overall stats.
Batting average........overall is .255.......vs L is .271
OBP..................overall is .322..........vs L is .339
SL%.............overall is .422.............vs L is .455
The Orioles have averaged 4 runs per game over their last 8. The Braves have averaged 6.1 runs per game over their last 10.
Advantage: Atlanta
With all my paramaters pointing in one direction and that team playing at home as a good $$$ dog, it's a play.
4 Units Atlanta (+120)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
4 Units Atlanta(+120)
Baltimore comes into this one on the skids. They have dropped 4/5 overall and 8 of their last 10 road games. Looks like they may be coming back to the pack after a very good start.
Atlanta is going the opposite direction. They have won 6 of their last 8 and sport a fine 22-12 mark at home YTD. They also are 10-3 in their last 13 vs the Orioles.
Advantage: Atlanta
Baltimore sends leftie Bruce Chen to the mound today and he has struggled for a while now. He has lost 3 of his last 4 decisions, and the Birds have lost 4 of his last 5 starts.
His numbers on the road have been awful. Let's compare his home and road stats..............
Home......4-1.............2.42 ERA........205 BAA........1.06 WHIP
Road........2-4...........5.27 ERA.........299 BAA........1.44 WHIP.
In 13 career IP vs the BRaves, his ERA is 5.54 and his BAA is .302
For Atlanta, righthander Roman Colon gets his first career start and I'm sure that fact alone is why the Braves are an underdog in this one.
His career stats are unimpressive, but in very limited action (just 37 career IP....all in relief).
He is a big kid..............6' 6 and 225 lbs, with a live arm who I think will thrive on pitching more than one inning at a time. He is especially tough on righthanded hitters.............224 BAA and 1.15 WHIP and the Orioles have lots of those........Matos, Mora, Tejada, Sosa, Gomez and both catchers.
I have also found over the years that veteran teams (like Baltimore) have lots of trouble when they see a young pitcher for the very first time, and they have never seen Colon.
Advantage: Atlanta
Let's look at batting now. As I've said before, when looking at offensive numbers in an interleague game, it's kinda like comparing apples to oranges, so I like to look at some different angles.
Baltimore's overall offensive numbers are virtually the same as their numbers against righthanders. But Atlanta's numbers vs lefthanded pitchers take a good sized jump when compared to their overall stats.
Batting average........overall is .255.......vs L is .271
OBP..................overall is .322..........vs L is .339
SL%.............overall is .422.............vs L is .455
The Orioles have averaged 4 runs per game over their last 8. The Braves have averaged 6.1 runs per game over their last 10.
Advantage: Atlanta
With all my paramaters pointing in one direction and that team playing at home as a good $$$ dog, it's a play.
4 Units Atlanta (+120)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
