Thanks for the well wishes yesterday everyone. Much appreciated !!
Found one I like today.................................
4 units Minnesota(+118)
New York Yankees finally broke off their losing streak last night with an extra inning win over these Twins, but let's not lose sight of the fact that they did lose 6 in a row before that, scoring a TOTAL of 12 runs in those 6 games. They are only 1 game over .500 YTD, and are 12-14 on the road.
Minnesota is a very good team sitting 10 games over .500 YTD, are 17-11 at home, and 9-5 vs the AL East. They are 11-6 their last 17 games overall and have won 8 of their last 12 home games. Advantage: Minnesota
Let's look at the pitchers today.
Kevin Brown goes for the Yankees.
He is 4-5.............5.14 ERA.................1.57 WHIP...................325 BAA.
On the road, those numbers are even worse...................6.52 ERA...............1.76 WHIP.........336 BAA. It is noteworthy that his career ERA on the road is a full run higher than at home.
For the Twins, we have Carlos Silva.......3-3.............3.09 ERA.........1.19 WHIP. He has suffered from lack of run support to keep his record at .500 YTD. But if we look at his last 3 outings, his ERA is a sparkling 1.88 and his WHIP is a microscopic 0.88.
If we also bring in the bullpens, the numbers also favour the Twins. Bullpen pitchers available for NY today have a combined ERA of 7.36 and WHIP of 1.69 in the last 3 games. Available bullpen pitchers for Minny have a combined ERA of 0.59 and WHIP of 0.78 in thier last 3 games.
Advantage: Minnesota
Let's look at batting now. The YTD numbers are close, but if look at New York's road numbers against Minnesota's home numbers we have more advantages in the Twins favour.
BA...........291 Minny to .260 NY
OBP............356 Minny to .339 NY
SL%.........455 Minny to .400 NY.
NY has scored 16 runs in thier last 7 games (2.3 runs/gm)....................Minnesota has scored 19 runs in thier last 4 games (4.75) and 46 runs in their last 11 games (4.2)
Advantage: Minnesota
With all my parameters pointing at one team and that team playing at home and being a good $$$ dog, it's a play.
4 units Minnesota (+118)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
Found one I like today.................................
4 units Minnesota(+118)
New York Yankees finally broke off their losing streak last night with an extra inning win over these Twins, but let's not lose sight of the fact that they did lose 6 in a row before that, scoring a TOTAL of 12 runs in those 6 games. They are only 1 game over .500 YTD, and are 12-14 on the road.
Minnesota is a very good team sitting 10 games over .500 YTD, are 17-11 at home, and 9-5 vs the AL East. They are 11-6 their last 17 games overall and have won 8 of their last 12 home games. Advantage: Minnesota
Let's look at the pitchers today.
Kevin Brown goes for the Yankees.
He is 4-5.............5.14 ERA.................1.57 WHIP...................325 BAA.
On the road, those numbers are even worse...................6.52 ERA...............1.76 WHIP.........336 BAA. It is noteworthy that his career ERA on the road is a full run higher than at home.
For the Twins, we have Carlos Silva.......3-3.............3.09 ERA.........1.19 WHIP. He has suffered from lack of run support to keep his record at .500 YTD. But if we look at his last 3 outings, his ERA is a sparkling 1.88 and his WHIP is a microscopic 0.88.
If we also bring in the bullpens, the numbers also favour the Twins. Bullpen pitchers available for NY today have a combined ERA of 7.36 and WHIP of 1.69 in the last 3 games. Available bullpen pitchers for Minny have a combined ERA of 0.59 and WHIP of 0.78 in thier last 3 games.
Advantage: Minnesota
Let's look at batting now. The YTD numbers are close, but if look at New York's road numbers against Minnesota's home numbers we have more advantages in the Twins favour.
BA...........291 Minny to .260 NY
OBP............356 Minny to .339 NY
SL%.........455 Minny to .400 NY.
NY has scored 16 runs in thier last 7 games (2.3 runs/gm)....................Minnesota has scored 19 runs in thier last 4 games (4.75) and 46 runs in their last 11 games (4.2)
Advantage: Minnesota
With all my parameters pointing at one team and that team playing at home and being a good $$$ dog, it's a play.
4 units Minnesota (+118)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
