Found one I like for this afternoon...................
4 Units Seattle (+109)
Let's start with the pitching matchup today. For Seattle, Joel Piniero takes the ball. His YTD stats won't scare anyone................3-5, 4.61 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and BAA of .299. But, he has pitched much better lately after a very poor start to the season. Over his last 7 outings, his ERA is 4.50, more than a full run lower than his season figure. His WHIP is a more respectable 1.37 as well. And in his career, his numbers vs the Jays are very good. ERA of 3.44, WHIP of 0.97 and a BAA of just .211. Not bad, not bad.
For Toronto, Josh Towers starts today. YTD he is 6-8, 4.85 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and a BAA of .305.
He has struggled big time lately. In his last 3 starts, his ERA is 9.00, and his WHIP is 2.14. Ouch! Not surprisingly, the Jays have lost his last 3 starts, not to mention 6 of his last 7, and 9 of his last 11. His season numbers at home are also very poor.............5.89 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and a BAA of .348. In his career, he has a 4.44 ERA vs Seattle to go along with a 1.25 WHIP and BAA of .302.
I also had a long look at the bullpens and Seattle has the edge there as well. In their last 3 games, the Mariners available arms have an ERA of just 2.60 and WHIP of 1.27. In their last 3 games, the Jays available arms have a bloated ERA of 7.86 and WHIP of 1.78. Heck, Toronto's closer, Batista has a WHIP of 2.45 in his last 3 outings !!
Pitching Advantage: Seattle
Let's look at the teams themselves now. Even with their 2 straight wins, the Jays are 3-6 in their last 9. The last 8 times they have won two straight games, they have lost the next game 6 times.
Even with their 2 straight losses to open this series, Seattle is 6-4 in their last 10 and that is against teams with a combined record 24 games over .500. The last 5 times, they have lost 2 straight, they have won the next game 3 times.
This game features my W/L parameter as well. This morning's standings show that only 2 out of 30 teams have winning or losing streaks of more than 3 games. So a when a team with 2 or 3 wins in a row (Toronto today) plays a team with 2 or 3 losses in a row (Seattle today), the mathematical odds of both streaks ending are high.
I think we might see gsp adding some umpire help in this one as well.
Advantage: Seattle
On the offensive side of things, both teams are hitting very well right now, scoring lots of runs. All the parameters I break down for batting all came back pretty even, so I'm not going to say there is an advantage one way or the other here.
But, with solid edges in pitching and in team categories, and with them being a $$$$ dog, it's a play.
4 Units Seattle (+109)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
4 Units Seattle (+109)
Let's start with the pitching matchup today. For Seattle, Joel Piniero takes the ball. His YTD stats won't scare anyone................3-5, 4.61 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and BAA of .299. But, he has pitched much better lately after a very poor start to the season. Over his last 7 outings, his ERA is 4.50, more than a full run lower than his season figure. His WHIP is a more respectable 1.37 as well. And in his career, his numbers vs the Jays are very good. ERA of 3.44, WHIP of 0.97 and a BAA of just .211. Not bad, not bad.
For Toronto, Josh Towers starts today. YTD he is 6-8, 4.85 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and a BAA of .305.
He has struggled big time lately. In his last 3 starts, his ERA is 9.00, and his WHIP is 2.14. Ouch! Not surprisingly, the Jays have lost his last 3 starts, not to mention 6 of his last 7, and 9 of his last 11. His season numbers at home are also very poor.............5.89 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and a BAA of .348. In his career, he has a 4.44 ERA vs Seattle to go along with a 1.25 WHIP and BAA of .302.
I also had a long look at the bullpens and Seattle has the edge there as well. In their last 3 games, the Mariners available arms have an ERA of just 2.60 and WHIP of 1.27. In their last 3 games, the Jays available arms have a bloated ERA of 7.86 and WHIP of 1.78. Heck, Toronto's closer, Batista has a WHIP of 2.45 in his last 3 outings !!
Pitching Advantage: Seattle
Let's look at the teams themselves now. Even with their 2 straight wins, the Jays are 3-6 in their last 9. The last 8 times they have won two straight games, they have lost the next game 6 times.
Even with their 2 straight losses to open this series, Seattle is 6-4 in their last 10 and that is against teams with a combined record 24 games over .500. The last 5 times, they have lost 2 straight, they have won the next game 3 times.
This game features my W/L parameter as well. This morning's standings show that only 2 out of 30 teams have winning or losing streaks of more than 3 games. So a when a team with 2 or 3 wins in a row (Toronto today) plays a team with 2 or 3 losses in a row (Seattle today), the mathematical odds of both streaks ending are high.
I think we might see gsp adding some umpire help in this one as well.
Advantage: Seattle
On the offensive side of things, both teams are hitting very well right now, scoring lots of runs. All the parameters I break down for batting all came back pretty even, so I'm not going to say there is an advantage one way or the other here.
But, with solid edges in pitching and in team categories, and with them being a $$$$ dog, it's a play.
4 Units Seattle (+109)
Good luck out there today,
Tiger
