7/1 Fights any thoughts?

[patlives]

Got these lines at one of the books I play with, any thoughts guys?

Clarence Adams pk -800 Over 9? +100
08:00PM 702 Manuel Sepeda pk +500 Under 9? -140
**** Broadcast on ESPN2 - 9.5 Rounds = 9 complete rounds + 1 minute 30 seconds of round 10 ****
Tue 7/1 703 Kelly Pavlik pk -1800 Over 3? +120
08:00PM 704 Rico Cason

 

[fletcher]

Bones Adams is worth a small shot under the 9.5 at -140 he could use the tko or ko in the mid rounds.

 

[patlives]

Thanks Fletcher!

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adams-Sepeda over 8.5 -140 1 unit

Bones Adams 41-6-3 (19)
Manuel Sepeda 15-6-2 (5)

I agree with Fletcher that Bones needs a
solid KO to get his career back on track.
But after losing his last three fights, I think
he would probably be content with a win
no matter how he gets it.

Notes:

Sepeda has only been stopped once (Phillip N'Dou)
in 6 losses (17%)

N'Dou has twice the power of Adams

Adams only has 19 ko's in 41 wins (46%)

18 of his 19 ko's were to opponents with either
less than 10 career fights, or less than 50%
win/loss record.

The only KO Adams has to a guy with more
than 10 fights and more than 50% wins, is
Andres Fernandes 15-5, who had been KO'd
three times prior to the Adams fight.

Although I think Bones will win this fight easily,
I'm banking on Sepeda's chin, and Adam's lack
of power to push this over the 8.5 rounds.

GL BL