(7-5-1) College / (5-1-1) small

bosbabiesarm

BO
Forum Member
Dec 29, 2003
2,356
13
0
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Da Ville, Ohio
Auburn -3 @ Florida


My two favorite things when it comes to football gambling, value and #3. I get them both here, plus Game Day is in the Swamp.
FPI rankings list these numbers.
Overall ?O? ?D? Special-teams
Auburn 9 28 6 6
Florida 8 25 4 12
I know Strength of schedule for Auburn, has been tougher & have bye.
FPI gives Auburn 53.2% chance of outright win. That percentage equates a money line to -115.
Most gambling sites are offering Auburn at as much as -150(fan duel):shrug: So what gives?
I?ll tell you, this is where value comes in. Because of Auburn?s comeback win over Oregon and blowout victory versus Mississippi State, Or buddies in the desert know they can put a higher number on Auburn because the last thing we remember seeing was how well Auburn looked and we can?t remember Florida even playing a game but both are 5-0. :SIB
Auburn ?O? line has allowed 31 TFL (88th), they Have put the ball on the ground 12 times allowing five sacks and two interceptions. Nix Is completing 57% of his passes, And they jumped out to 14-0/21-0 leads versus A&M & Miss. St. I do not expect them to jump out on Florida like that. :nono:
Florida is getting healthy at the perfect time Coach Mullen says they?re going to be 100%, Henderson will be starting at corner. Trask is an upgrade at QB, Completing 77% of his passes.
Defensively Florida has 45 TFL?s and have picked or deflected 29 passes in five games. With LSU on deck the gators know they have to win this one in the swamp. TD?s Should be hard to come by, barring any major mishaps.:0002
Gators 🐊 go to 6-0 in the swamp. They haven?t played each other since 2011.

Win

GATORS +3 (16-13) :firing::firing::mj23::mj23:
 
Last edited:

Betone

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 24, 2004
16,251
275
83
65
Monument, CO
I expect the line to begin to drop so anybody who is betting on the Tigers I would wait and get under 3.
I bought the half point Auburn -2.5 (115), (Homer pick)....this game is a tough one to cap as you mentioned most of these kids were in grade school the last time they both met. The Auburn O line is going to determine whether Auburn wins or loses, they are the questionable group on the squad this year. GL brother, at least one of us will win this one! :0008
 

bosbabiesarm

BO
Forum Member
Dec 29, 2003
2,356
13
0
51
Da Ville, Ohio
I bought the half point Auburn -2.5 (115), (Homer pick)....this game is a tough one to cap as you mentioned most of these kids were in grade school the last time they both met. The Auburn O line is going to determine whether Auburn wins or loses, they are the questionable group on the squad this year. GL brother, at least one of us will win this one! :0008


💯bet. Both teams bring ?A? games, NO game changing turnover. I feel very confident that it?s a FG game( should bought .5 ) I have home team, haven?t been locked up in 3 Physical grinders :SIB. Gators ?D? are being interviewed by ESPN ? How does it feel that everyone says Auburn has the better ?D?. Look 👀 for a HUGE play on that side of ball. I don?t think Auburn QB can play from behind, that?s were gators 🐊 need to be. Take a lead into halftime and then don?t come out in Oregon Duck uniforms :142smilie
Vegas is giving me 3 pts, and when Vegas gives I?m gonna take. Pick?em should be #
GL to you also brother
 

BASON

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 26, 2002
4,380
48
48
Rehoboth Beach
Well, I am against you on this one. I simply do not think Florida is very good. Everything just always seems to fall their way against average or bad teams, but now they are finally playing a good team.
 

bosbabiesarm

BO
Forum Member
Dec 29, 2003
2,356
13
0
51
Da Ville, Ohio
Well, I am against you on this one. I simply do not think Florida is very good. Everything just always seems to fall their way against average or bad teams, but now they are finally playing a good team.

Looks like I may be talking to my volleyball 🏐 ?Wilson? I?m on island by myself
GL Bason, like we say one of us is holding winning ticket 🎫 :0008
 

forthetide2

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 21, 2011
412
7
0
Alabama
Looks like I may be talking to my volleyball 🏐 ?Wilson? I?m on island by myself
GL Bason, like we say one of us is holding winning ticket 🎫 :0008

I'm with you on this one, been watching it all week and finally pulled the trigger on +3. Thought the movement would go the other way.
 
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ManofWar

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 16, 2010
259
19
18
Auburn -3 @ Florida


My two favorite things when it comes to football gambling, value and #3. I get them both here, plus Game Day is in the Swamp.
FPI rankings list these numbers.
Overall ?O? ?D? Special-teams
Auburn 9 28 6 6
Florida 8 25 4 12
I know Strength of schedule for Auburn, has been tougher & have bye.
FPI gives Auburn 53.2% chance of outright win. That percentage equates a money line to -115.
Most gambling sites are offering Auburn at as much as -150(fan duel):shrug: So what gives?
I?ll tell you, this is where value comes in. Because of Auburn?s comeback win over Oregon and blowout victory versus Mississippi State, Or buddies in the desert know they can put a higher number on Auburn because the last thing we remember seeing was how well Auburn looked and we can?t remember Florida even playing a game but both are 5-0. :SIB
Auburn ?O? line has allowed 31 TFL (88th), they Have put the ball on the ground 12 times allowing five sacks and two interceptions. Nix Is completing 57% of his passes, And they jumped out to 14-0/21-0 leads versus A&M & Miss. St. I do not expect them to jump out on Florida like that. :nono:
Florida is getting healthy at the perfect time Coach Mullen says they?re going to be 100%, Henderson will be starting at corner. Trask is an upgrade at QB, Completing 77% of his passes.
Defensively Florida has 45 TFL?s and have picked or deflected 29 passes in five games. With LSU on deck the gators know they have to win this one in the swamp. TD?s Should be hard to come by, barring any major mishaps.:0002
Gators 🐊 go to 6-0 in the swamp. They haven?t played each other since 2011.



GATORS +3 (16-13) :firing::firing::mj23::mj23:

Iowa at Michigan -4



Wolverines -4. :firing::firing::0070:0070:0070:0070:0070x34:x34:x34:


Good Job BO

2-0
 
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