- Aug 22, 2009
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Obviously nobody is going to tail the new guy but I gotta establish a little credit somehow. You guys are all very helpful so let's hope I can give a little back to the Mad Jackers.
White Sox/ Red Sox UNDER 9.5 (+100) [Garcia/Lester]: Home Run
Boston should have to score at least 7 runs to get this to go over, as I expect Lester to completely dominate, as he has been particularly of late. Both pitchers have the advantage of James Hoye behind the plate who works a fast game with a pitcher-friendly strike zone. I've seen him quite a bit and if it's borderline, it's a strike. Boston games have gone over the past 5 games mainly due to typical Yankee/Red Sox offensive explosions, but the last one to come close to going under was in fact Lester's last start, in which Boston won 8-1 and the total was 8.5. I expect a similar outcome here.
Giants -118 [Haren/Cain]: Single
Will be interesting to see how the Giants respond to losing the way they did last night. Some people are saying that was the Giants season right there, but I think this game might be it. They can either roll over and concede, or punch back and try to make one last push at the NL West/ Wild Card. They send one of their aces to the mound to combat Dan Haren who is tradiontally junk after the all-star break, and has been so lately allowing 5+ runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The only start in which he was strong was the lone home start of the four. Dbacks have hit just .219 as a team the past 10 games, and could be without Reynolds and/or Drew tonight (as well as Upton obviously). Good price here for a home team that has won almost 2/3 on the season at home.
Phillies -168 [Blanton/Olendorf]: Single
This one should actually be a pretty good pitchers duel. Olendorf has pitched well lately, and is pretty solid at home. However, Blanton has been stellar lately. The last time he failed to notch a quality start was June 30th! He has only allowed more than 3 ER in a start one time since the third week of May. He dominated in his 1 start this year vs the Pirates, meanwhile Olendorf had a little trouble in his start vs. Philly. Phillies obviously have the better lineup, and better bullpen, and when you add that they are 41-20 on the road, the Pirates lose home field advantage as well.
Dodgers/ Rockies OVER 9.5 -120 [Kershaw/Hammel]: Double
The Rockies can smell blood in the water as they find themselves within striking distance of first place in the West. They have been quite hot as of late and face a pitcher who is shaky to say the least. In Kershaw's two starts in Colorado this season have lasted on average about 5 innings a piece, surrending 9 runs and 3 runs in each. His walks matched his K's in each start. I expect something similiar here and see no reason the Rockies should not be able to touch him up for 3-5 runs in his 5 innings of work. Countering is Jason Hammel who has been outright terrible at Coors this season allowing base runners to reach at a 40% clip which is definitely not favorable for a guy who has surrendered 8 gopher balls in 50 innings at home. Both bullpens should enter this game by the 6th inning. The Rockies pen will be obviously tired from a long night last night which could lead to a few runs.On the other side with so much on the line I expect their bats to give quality ABs all night against the Dodgers pen until the final out.
Good luck to all..:mj06:
White Sox/ Red Sox UNDER 9.5 (+100) [Garcia/Lester]: Home Run
Boston should have to score at least 7 runs to get this to go over, as I expect Lester to completely dominate, as he has been particularly of late. Both pitchers have the advantage of James Hoye behind the plate who works a fast game with a pitcher-friendly strike zone. I've seen him quite a bit and if it's borderline, it's a strike. Boston games have gone over the past 5 games mainly due to typical Yankee/Red Sox offensive explosions, but the last one to come close to going under was in fact Lester's last start, in which Boston won 8-1 and the total was 8.5. I expect a similar outcome here.
Giants -118 [Haren/Cain]: Single
Will be interesting to see how the Giants respond to losing the way they did last night. Some people are saying that was the Giants season right there, but I think this game might be it. They can either roll over and concede, or punch back and try to make one last push at the NL West/ Wild Card. They send one of their aces to the mound to combat Dan Haren who is tradiontally junk after the all-star break, and has been so lately allowing 5+ runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The only start in which he was strong was the lone home start of the four. Dbacks have hit just .219 as a team the past 10 games, and could be without Reynolds and/or Drew tonight (as well as Upton obviously). Good price here for a home team that has won almost 2/3 on the season at home.
Phillies -168 [Blanton/Olendorf]: Single
This one should actually be a pretty good pitchers duel. Olendorf has pitched well lately, and is pretty solid at home. However, Blanton has been stellar lately. The last time he failed to notch a quality start was June 30th! He has only allowed more than 3 ER in a start one time since the third week of May. He dominated in his 1 start this year vs the Pirates, meanwhile Olendorf had a little trouble in his start vs. Philly. Phillies obviously have the better lineup, and better bullpen, and when you add that they are 41-20 on the road, the Pirates lose home field advantage as well.
Dodgers/ Rockies OVER 9.5 -120 [Kershaw/Hammel]: Double
The Rockies can smell blood in the water as they find themselves within striking distance of first place in the West. They have been quite hot as of late and face a pitcher who is shaky to say the least. In Kershaw's two starts in Colorado this season have lasted on average about 5 innings a piece, surrending 9 runs and 3 runs in each. His walks matched his K's in each start. I expect something similiar here and see no reason the Rockies should not be able to touch him up for 3-5 runs in his 5 innings of work. Countering is Jason Hammel who has been outright terrible at Coors this season allowing base runners to reach at a 40% clip which is definitely not favorable for a guy who has surrendered 8 gopher balls in 50 innings at home. Both bullpens should enter this game by the 6th inning. The Rockies pen will be obviously tired from a long night last night which could lead to a few runs.On the other side with so much on the line I expect their bats to give quality ABs all night against the Dodgers pen until the final out.
Good luck to all..:mj06:
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