84 Lumber Classic

Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5pts):

Chris DiMarco to win 25/1 e.w. @ Bet365 and BlueSq
If any U.S. player came out of the Ryder Cup with any credit it was DiMarco. He was the leading American points scorer with 2.5pts from 4 games and with his only defeat being in the foursomes with Jay Haas, it meant that he was unbeaten when he had his own ball in his hand. If he can carry his form of the last two months into this event, he could certainly profit from what should be a soul-searching first PGA Tour event after last week's one-sided match. He should have the motivation after winning in the inaugural year of this event (2000) and finished in the top-10 on this course last year.

Shigeki Maruyama to win 40/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Maruyama finished alongside DiMarco in the top-10 last year and while there have been course modifications, primarily on the greens, course experience is always beneficial. He is more than capable of winning in this company and wasn't too far from doing so in his last outing, the Deutsche Bank Championship. If there is a fallout from last week, he should go even closer.

Craig Barlow to win 200/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
I don't normally look this far down the odds lists and it is certainly not because Bart Bryant won last week. Rather I find it very strange that Barlow is more than half these odds and if he keeps on getting himself into contention, he might drawn enough lessons from the experiences and finish the job very soon. In the Canadian Open two weeks ago, he was 4th heading into the weekend, in the Reno-Tahoe Open and the Buick Open last month, he was 12th after three rounds and 8th after two respectively. His tee-to-green game has been particularly good over the last month and on returning to a course on which he shot every round in the 60s and finished 8th last year, he could contend once again.
 

veride

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Win Only :

Shigeki Maruyama --> 40/1 Olympic
Zach Johnson --> 50/1 Unibet
Rory Sabbatini --> 50/1 Bet365

EW 1/4 1-5 :

Tim Herron --> 80/1 William Hill
J.L.Lewis --> 80/1 Sportingbet
Bo Van Pelt --> 80/1 Victor Chandler
Heath Slocum --> 150/1 William Hill
 

veride

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EW 1/4 1-5 :

Robert Damron --> 125/1 Victor Chandler
Steve Lowery --> 125/1 Victor Chandler
Brent Geiberger --> 150/1 Victor Chandler
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Daly's Shirt Classic

Daly's Shirt Classic

Mike Weir OV/Scott Verplank-1.35 2 Units
Bo Van Pelt OV/Justin Rose-1.05 2 Units
Mike Weir WINS 84 LUMBER CLASSI+20.00 1.5 Units

Going with the Mike Outright and Matchup. Just think he'll have his head on straight, not clouded with the Falldown. Bo needs a good showing, both Players have been strong of late but going with Bo.

Thanks for Posting your Plays. I feel like adding a few more, just waiting for The Man to weigh in.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Aaron Baddeley to beat David Duval -135 @ Olympic
Picked Badds in this matchup two weeks ago and lost, but I'm yet to be convinced that Duval is back in any sense of the word. Just need the Australian to make the cut and he should win this time around.

Vijay Singh to beat Stewart Cink -2.5 shots -115 @ Olympic [3pts]
With a 2.5 shot handicap in each event, this match would be evenly balanced in 2004. But this is not a typical week on the PGA Tour. Cink had been the form player for the U.S. team heading into last week, but looked ragged and out of confidence, whereas Vijay has taken a well-earned breather. Singh tends to play extremely well at this time of the year when motivation is very important and it is that which should be a major problem for Cink this week. Vijay has, after all, won four of his last five events.

Vijay Singh to beat Chris DiMarco -2.5 shots -130 @ Olympic
Similar story here, though obviously I don't expect as much of a Ryder Cup fallout from my outright selection as for Cink.

Vijay Singh to beat Mike Weir -1.5 shots -130 @ Olympic
Even with the 1.5 shot handicap, Singh would have finished ahead of Weir in 10 of 16 common events this year. And while this is a replay of the playoff for the Canadian Open two weeks ago, Weir is juts not consistent enough to challenge the World No.1 in this match each week.

Fredrik Jacobson to beat John Daly -120 @ William Hill and Easybets
Daly's form is clearly not at the same level as it was at the start of the season and while he does have links to this event via his sponsors and the event organiser, I can't see him being competitive this week. Jacobson has finished ahead of him in each of their last six common events and that makes these odds rather generous.

Rory Sabbatini to beat John Daly -114 @ Expekt
Daly has failed to finish ahead of Sabbatini in any event since the Bay Hill Invitational in March. That's a clear indication of how his form has dipped! With Sabbatini finishing in the top-10 last year, he should extend the run around this course.
(also available at Paddy Power)
 

lostinamerica

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OUTRIGHTS:

I could well be more judicious than to go against the wave Vijay is riding. But if I'm inclined to spend some house money this week, there really is no second guessing of my conclusion that my chances lie with confining my eyes and guts to taking flyers with "Old Guard" plays (all e.w. @ Bet365):

Justin Rose(50/1)
Jerry Kelly(33/1)
Scott Verplank (35/1)
Duffy Waldorf(80/1)
Mike Weir(20/1)

GL

**************************************

All credit to the European Ryder Cup team - I feared a dismal result, but I misunderestimated the rout smoothly orchestrated by Bernhard Langer, like masterfully endearing the fans to their side during the practice rounds.

Ole! Ole! Ole! Ole! :
http://www.sportinglife.com/golf/ry...r?STORY_NAME=golf/04/09/20/manual_123217.html
 

Trampled Underfoot

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Its so difficult to get involved with Vijay just dominating this tour but i'll take a flyer on Sabbatini.

RSabbatini 50-1 1u ew

Double time............
CDiMarco 22-1 & NO'Hern 25-1
1/4u ew
 

lal2000

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Outrights (? unit ew ? ? odds 1st 5)

V Taylor ? 150/1 @ Sporting Odds
C Barlow ? 150/1 @ Paddy Power
J Byrd ? 100/1 @ Sporting Odds
R Mediate ? 125/1 @ Tote
J Daly - 50/1 @ Tote
D Duval ? 100/1 @ Sporting Odds

J Rose - 66/1 @ Tote - 2 units

Also interested in Lowery & Hamilton.

Good Luck!
 

Stanley

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Post-rd2 outright play (1.5pts):

Lay Chris DiMarco 7.8 @ Betfair [alternative: 'Field wins 84 Lumber Classic' vs Chris DiMarco -980 @ Five Dimes]
Opposing the yesterday's low round as it is always difficult to follow - the 2nd best score was 67, compared to DiMarco's 65. He will need the same score again to catch Vijay and that is a tall ask and even if he does, he will surely be too mentally tired on Sunday after such a draining week at Oakland Hills. Had hoped that Vijay would not get off to such a flyer, but now that he has, it is best to close out the win part of the each-way play on DiMarco for a profit and hope that he still manages to get placed.


3rd round play (1.5pts):

Joey Sindelar to beat J.P. Hayes +100 @ SkyBet, BetInternet, Victor Chandler and Ladbrokes
Hayes' game started to fall apart yesterday with just seven of eighteen greens hit in regulation, but it was saved by taking just 22 putts. He can't putt as well again, so siding with Sindelar who was a surprise winner of the Wachovia Championship in May, but has also been playing particularly well for the last month.
 

Stanley

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4th round play (1.5pts):

John Rollins to beat Frank Lickliter -110 @ Five Dimes
Siding with the player who is playing much better from tee to green and has been in much better form of late. It is also of note that Lickliter is not a good Sunday player - he yet to shoot a lower score than Rollins on any Sunday this year.
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +1.08pts

DiMarco 3rd
Maruyama 20th
Barlow mc

DiMarco did get close to Vijay in the 3rd round, but once again he failed to deliver in the final round. A share of a place win was increased with the lay at the mid-point.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-5-0; -6.14pts

Baddeley/Duval LOST by 6
Singh/Cink LOST by 1.5
Singh/DiMarco WON by 0.5
Singh/Weir WON by 13.5
Jacobson/Daly LOST by 7
Sabbatini/Daly LOST by 5
Sindelar/Hayes WON by 1
Rollins/Lickliter LOST by 2

Not a good week on the matchups, but should have still ensured a small profit with three plays on Singh who won the event. Thought that would be enough, but it wasn't with the handicap and Cink finishing a very strong 2nd.

PGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 17-92; +17.62pts
Matchups: 122-99; +10.01pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 76-305; +248.63pts
Matchups: 350-273; +65.31pts
 
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