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Haven't posted here in a while so thought I'd give it a try.
Purdue +1.5 -108 4 units
Purdue returns 8 starters on offense and 9 starters on a defense that ranked 1st in the Big Ten last season allowing 317 ypg. They have a lot of experience back and talent especially on the front 7. Wake Forest relies on the run and I think this Purdue defense can shut them down as they held a good rushing team in Bowling Green to just 1.2 ypr. WF had their way with NC St and BC but both those teams had a lot of new faces on their defenses as they only had about 4 or 5 starters back from last season so it could be expected for them to struggle early on. Purdue has good size and speed and Wake Forest has become one of the public's favorite teams. Purdue has top 20 talent and I expect them to bounce back after a disappointing loss at home.
Arkansas +13.5 -110 4 units
Think this Texas team is a little overrated. Their OL had some problems last year and they didn't look real good in their 1st game against NMS. I know they scored 66 points but it wasn't because of a crisp offense as Mock was just 7 for 15 and Benson had just 40 yards on 12 carries. The Longhorns had 4 returns for TDs and forced 5 TOs in that game as NMS was overmatched athletically. NMS runs the ball a lot as Arkansas does and were fairly effective as their running QB had 72 yards on 17 carries while their RB had 82 yards on 11 carries. This Arkansas team is pretty good as they have 17 starters back. They have a great running game with Jones and Cobbs and a huge OL with 4 starters back so I think they can move the ball. The Razorbacks shouldn't have the same problems with turnovers or on special teams as a smaller school like New Mexico St. and I think they will keep this one close and possibly pull the upset. Public is all over the Longhorns in this one. I would like to get 14 but I don't think the line will move or it may possibly move in the opposite direction so taking it now.
New Mexico +2.5 -108, 3 units
Line was at 3 and is now down to 2 at some books so gonna get on it now. I'm glad that lost to Texas Tech last week because I think this team is a lot better than people realize. They got down 21-0 to the Raiders last week and ended up losing 42-28. I think they will come out of the gates a lot better being at home and facing their former defensive coordinator. New Mexico got to the Las Vegas Bowl last season where they lost to UCLA and they have 10 starters back on offense and 7 on defense. They have two very good running backs who have over 400 yards and 8 TDs the 1st 2 games and Kelly is efficient at QB. The Lobos won 20-16 at BYU last year and may actually be better this season so I like their chances at home.
Oregon -11.5 -110 2 units
Watched the Arizona/LSU game this weekend and this Arizona team is about as bad as any I've seen. Their QBs have absolutely no ability and were running for their lives the entire game. They also have very little running game. On the other side LSU was picking up big chunks of yards every time they ran the ball and always had good field position due to the Cats' inability to move the ball. Oregon has way too much offense and I think they win this by around 20.
Penn St. +10 -110, 2 units
Although the Huskers' defense appears to have improved this year I still don't think they have the offense to cover 10 against a quality team. Their OL still is not the dominant line we used to see and we all know Lord can't throw. Penn St. has a few more playmakers with guys like Mills, Robinson, and Johnson and I think they will score around 17-20 points which should be enough to get the cover.
Tulane +3 -108, 2 units
Not even sure why MSU is favored on the road. Tulane's defense was among the leaders in the nation in terms of forcing turnovers last season, and turnovers have been a big problem for MSU. The Bulldogs OL is still pretty bad and the Waves' defense should be able to get some pressure on Fant and possibly force a few TO's. Waves have a good RB in Moore and Losman is among the top QBs in the nation. He has a very strong arm and good mobility so I look for him to make some plays against an MSU secondary who is prone to blown coverages and gives up a lot of big plays. Going with the home dog.
Haven't posted here in a while so thought I'd give it a try.
Purdue +1.5 -108 4 units
Purdue returns 8 starters on offense and 9 starters on a defense that ranked 1st in the Big Ten last season allowing 317 ypg. They have a lot of experience back and talent especially on the front 7. Wake Forest relies on the run and I think this Purdue defense can shut them down as they held a good rushing team in Bowling Green to just 1.2 ypr. WF had their way with NC St and BC but both those teams had a lot of new faces on their defenses as they only had about 4 or 5 starters back from last season so it could be expected for them to struggle early on. Purdue has good size and speed and Wake Forest has become one of the public's favorite teams. Purdue has top 20 talent and I expect them to bounce back after a disappointing loss at home.
Arkansas +13.5 -110 4 units
Think this Texas team is a little overrated. Their OL had some problems last year and they didn't look real good in their 1st game against NMS. I know they scored 66 points but it wasn't because of a crisp offense as Mock was just 7 for 15 and Benson had just 40 yards on 12 carries. The Longhorns had 4 returns for TDs and forced 5 TOs in that game as NMS was overmatched athletically. NMS runs the ball a lot as Arkansas does and were fairly effective as their running QB had 72 yards on 17 carries while their RB had 82 yards on 11 carries. This Arkansas team is pretty good as they have 17 starters back. They have a great running game with Jones and Cobbs and a huge OL with 4 starters back so I think they can move the ball. The Razorbacks shouldn't have the same problems with turnovers or on special teams as a smaller school like New Mexico St. and I think they will keep this one close and possibly pull the upset. Public is all over the Longhorns in this one. I would like to get 14 but I don't think the line will move or it may possibly move in the opposite direction so taking it now.
New Mexico +2.5 -108, 3 units
Line was at 3 and is now down to 2 at some books so gonna get on it now. I'm glad that lost to Texas Tech last week because I think this team is a lot better than people realize. They got down 21-0 to the Raiders last week and ended up losing 42-28. I think they will come out of the gates a lot better being at home and facing their former defensive coordinator. New Mexico got to the Las Vegas Bowl last season where they lost to UCLA and they have 10 starters back on offense and 7 on defense. They have two very good running backs who have over 400 yards and 8 TDs the 1st 2 games and Kelly is efficient at QB. The Lobos won 20-16 at BYU last year and may actually be better this season so I like their chances at home.
Oregon -11.5 -110 2 units
Watched the Arizona/LSU game this weekend and this Arizona team is about as bad as any I've seen. Their QBs have absolutely no ability and were running for their lives the entire game. They also have very little running game. On the other side LSU was picking up big chunks of yards every time they ran the ball and always had good field position due to the Cats' inability to move the ball. Oregon has way too much offense and I think they win this by around 20.
Penn St. +10 -110, 2 units
Although the Huskers' defense appears to have improved this year I still don't think they have the offense to cover 10 against a quality team. Their OL still is not the dominant line we used to see and we all know Lord can't throw. Penn St. has a few more playmakers with guys like Mills, Robinson, and Johnson and I think they will score around 17-20 points which should be enough to get the cover.
Tulane +3 -108, 2 units
Not even sure why MSU is favored on the road. Tulane's defense was among the leaders in the nation in terms of forcing turnovers last season, and turnovers have been a big problem for MSU. The Bulldogs OL is still pretty bad and the Waves' defense should be able to get some pressure on Fant and possibly force a few TO's. Waves have a good RB in Moore and Losman is among the top QBs in the nation. He has a very strong arm and good mobility so I look for him to make some plays against an MSU secondary who is prone to blown coverages and gives up a lot of big plays. Going with the home dog.
Good luck on your picks. They look solid.
