Aa St Omer Open

Stanley

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Outright plays (1pt):

Peter Hanson to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Almost three years since he made a big impression on the main Tour with three successive top-10 finishes so he has competed at a high level and he has regained his main Tour card by finishing 5th on the Challenge Tour Money list last year. That was partly a result of finishing 4th in this event last year and in respectable form at the moment, he deserves to be near the top of the market.

Henrik Nystrom to win 33/1 e.w. @ SkyBet and Victor Chandler
In this field, it is difficult to argue against a player who finished in the top-20 on the main Tour last week. Still has a lot of work to do if he is to regain full playing privileges on the main Tour, but he has finished 7th and 20th in his last two Challenge Tour starts so he does have experience in these types of events. Should be very focussed on maintaining his good form from last week as he is getting a little old for a full-time return to the Challenge Tour.

Chris Kelly to win 150/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Much more speculative here. His does have course form having played in this event three years ago and he does have three starts on the main Tour, the last two being in the last three weeks. In the first, the Volvo PGA Championship, he was in the top-20 with just one round to go and in the second, the Diageo Championship, he was in the top-10 early in the event. He had been playing on the EuroPro Tour where he had finished in the top-5 in both of his appearances this year, both of them in May. So having already played the course and in promising form, he should be much less than 150/1.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1pt unless stated):

Ian Garbutt to beat Jean Hugo -103 @ Five Dimes [2pts]
Don't see why Hugo should be the favourite in this match. Since last June, these two players have competed in twelve common events and Hugo has finished ahead of Garbutt on only one occasion. He has also missed four of six cuts on the Challenge Tour this year, so while he does have the advantage of course experience, he does not seem to be playing well enough to take advantage of it.

Peter Hanson to beat Jean-Francois Lucquin -125 @ Five Dimes
Both should finish highly in this event, but have Hanson with an edge. He leads his opponent in the h2h standings for this year across all events and he beat him when they both competed in 2001 - they have both had top-5 finishes in different years since. Another angle is that Hanson has made the weekend in eight of nine starts in France, whereas Lucquin has managed only five of ten (all but three were Challenge Tour events) in his homeland. Enough for me to side with Hanson in a tight match.

Henrik Nystrom to beat Leif Westerberg -114 @ Expekt
There is no denying Westerberg's form at the moment. Three consecutive top-5 finishes on the Challenge Tour is impressive, but he has missed the cut in both his main Tour events recently unlike Nystrom who finished 17ht at Gleneagles last week. Another factor is there head-to-head record. Across all tours, Nystrom holds a 13-1-0 lead in their last 14 common events.
 

lal2000

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Outrights (? unit ew ? ? odds 1st 5 unless indicated)

G Hutcheon 80/1 @ Chandlers
S Little 125/1 @ Chandlers
S Branger 150/1 @ Chandlers
S Walker 66-1 @ Sporting Odds
S Delagrange 125/1 @ Chandlers
C Kelly 150/1 @ Wiliam Hills (1/5 odds 1st 5)
S Jeppsen 80/1 @ William Hill (1/5 odds 1st 5)

Good Luck!
 

Stanley

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Outrights - Final update: 0-2; -2.00pts

Hansen VOID (dns)
Nystrom 63rd
Kelly mc

Poor event and poor performance from the outrights.

Matchups - Final update: 1-1-0; +0.86pts

Garbutt/Hugo WON by 4
Hanson/Lucquin VOID (Hanson dns)
Nystrom/Westerberg LOST by 8

Very nearly a sweep to finish in profit for the event. Westerberg looked like missing on Friday until he eagled the last hole to make the cut on the line. A nine-shot swing on the last day made it look like an easy win for Westerberg.

European Tour ytd
Outrights: 9-27; -6.04pts
Matchups: 27-26; -3.42pts
 
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