ACE Group Classic

Stanley

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Outright plays (2pts):

Gil Morgan to win 20/1 e.w. @ SIA
Finishes of 9th and 3rd in the two events of the season suggest that the ageing process has not yet caught up with Morgan and his competitiveness on this Tour. And having won this event twice (1998 and 2001) on two different courses and finished 11th and 4th in the last two years at TwinEagles, there is plenty of reason to expect him to be at much shorter odds than 20/1.

Jim Thorpe to win 20/1 e.w. @ SkyBet and Paddy Power
Thorpe's form has been almost as good: 9th and 5th in the two events so far this season. And having not played well on this previous venues for this event, Thorpe seems to be liking the setup at TwinEagles. In the last two years here, he has finished 3rd and 7th so again, 20/1 looks more than a fair price, particularly as there are now five places on offer.

Dana Quigley to win 25/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Neither player can match Quigley's form at the moment. He has been the runner-up by a single shot in both events this year and it has only been some very impressive play over the final few holes by Fuzzy Zoeller and Bruce Fleisher that has denied him victory. He has a good record in this event, with finishes of 6th, 2nd and 5th from 2000 to 2002 and it was only an opening 76 that ended his tournament last year. In this form and with a good history at TwinEagles, this is another player who would typically be at lower odds on the Champions Tour.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (2 units):

Vicente Fernandez to beat John Jacobs -122 @ Five Dimes
Both players have started the season in good form, but quite a contrast in course form. Fernandez is the defending champion while Jacobs has finished 60th and 49th in the two years here. Have to favour Fernandez on a course that favours accuracy off the tee rather than length.

Larry Nelson to beat Bob Gilder -133 @ Centrebet
Gilder's form on this course has also been below his usual standards: 31st and 39th. And with him not having finished ahead of Nelson in either of the two events this year, there seems good reason to beat Nelson who has finished 12th in each of the last two years here.

1st round plays (2 units unless stated):

Gil Morgan to beat Tom Kite -113 @ Five Dimes
Vicente Fernandez to beat John Jacobs -115 @ Five Dimes [4 units]
 

Stanley

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1st round update: 1-1; -2.60 units

Morgan/Kite WON by 5
Fernandez/Jacobs LOST by 2

2nd round plays (2 units):

Tom Jenkins to beat Morris Hatalsky -120 @ Five Dimes
Don Pooley to beat Jack Nicklaus -115 @ Five Dimes
Wayne Levi to beat John Bland -125 @ Five Dimes
 

Stanley

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2nd round update: 1-2-0; -2.70 pts

Jenkins/Hatalsky LOST by 6
Pooley/Nicklaus LOST by 1
Levi/Bland WON by 3

3rd round plays (2 pts):

Gil Morgan to beat Larry Nelson -128 @ Five Dimes
Wayne Levi to beat Don Pooley -118 @ Five Dimes
Allan Doyle to beat Des Smyth -142 @ Five Dimes
 

Stanley

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3rd round update: 0-3-0; -7.76 pts

Morgan/Nelson LOST by 2
Levi/Pooley LOST by 1
Doyle/Smyth LOST by 2

Outrights - Final update: 1-2; -3.00 pts

Morgan 4th
Thorpe 24th
Quigley 47th

Another near miss. Morgan failed to birdie the easy par-5 17th hole and it cost him. He finished one shot out of the playoff and with Larry Nelson also sharing 4th place, it meant only a small profit on the play. Did expect more from Thorpe but his scores got higher every round.

Matchups - Final update: 1-1-0; -0.44 pts

Fernandez/Jacobs LOST by 9
Nelson/Gilder WON by 11

Just an ugly week.

Champions Tour ytd
Matchups: 5-3; +6.96 pts
18-holes: 9-11; -13.60 pts
Outrights: 2-7; -7.75 pts
 

He Hate Me

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John Jacobs has better driving ACCURACY then Fernandez.;) Only place Fernandez does have an edge is on the green. Fernandez is longer than you think, and Jacobs more accurate than most think.
 

Stanley

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I disagree ... I don't take too much notice of Tour stats at this stage of the season (3 Champions Tour events).

In every previous year that they have both been full members of this Tour (1996 onwards), Jacobs has finished well ahead of Fernandez in the driving distance stats and well behind him in the driving accuracy stats. Fernandez always made his score around the greens, whereas Jacobs has much more of a cavalier attitude to golf course management, which is why I oppose him so much;)
 
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