ADT Championship
- Thread starter pharlap
- Start date
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Karrie Webb to win 15/1 e.w. @ Expekt ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
Making all three plays in the 'w/o Sorenstam' market as these three selections finished ahead of Sorenstam six times between them in 45 events in total over the past year. And only three of those have been in events in North America. Throw in Sorenstam's 2nd, 1st, 2nd and 1st record on this course and there is a lot to be said for lower odds, but an enhanced chance of winning, plus an extra place which is important in itself in a field of just 30 players (assuming Sorenstam finishes in the top-4). For Webb, there should be a 'feel good' effect from being inducted into the Golf Hall of Fame last week and as the youngest member. She did beat Annika on this course to win in 2001 and her record of 3rd, 10th and 3rd since then is particularly impressive. With decent current form as well, she should certainly finish in the top-5.
Jeong Jang to win 16/1 e.w. @ SkyBet ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
And so should Jang. Last week was only the second time since July (nine starts) that she has failed to finish in the top-6 and she did threaten to keep that record going last week, but faltered towards the end. With a top-10 finish last year to boost her belief that she can compete on this course, the Tour's most consistent player (bar Sorenstam) should certainly be in line for another leaderboard finish.
Carin Koch to win 20/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and Paddy Power ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
Koch looked as though she might finish in the places last week, but stuttered after a fast start to her finish round and eventually finished 7th. After finishing 2nd in South Korea in her previous events, there are no concerns about her form and if her course form is anything to go by - finishes of 16th, 7th and then 3rd last year - she should also be very much in contention for a place finish this week as well.
Karrie Webb to win 15/1 e.w. @ Expekt ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
Making all three plays in the 'w/o Sorenstam' market as these three selections finished ahead of Sorenstam six times between them in 45 events in total over the past year. And only three of those have been in events in North America. Throw in Sorenstam's 2nd, 1st, 2nd and 1st record on this course and there is a lot to be said for lower odds, but an enhanced chance of winning, plus an extra place which is important in itself in a field of just 30 players (assuming Sorenstam finishes in the top-4). For Webb, there should be a 'feel good' effect from being inducted into the Golf Hall of Fame last week and as the youngest member. She did beat Annika on this course to win in 2001 and her record of 3rd, 10th and 3rd since then is particularly impressive. With decent current form as well, she should certainly finish in the top-5.
Jeong Jang to win 16/1 e.w. @ SkyBet ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
And so should Jang. Last week was only the second time since July (nine starts) that she has failed to finish in the top-6 and she did threaten to keep that record going last week, but faltered towards the end. With a top-10 finish last year to boost her belief that she can compete on this course, the Tour's most consistent player (bar Sorenstam) should certainly be in line for another leaderboard finish.
Carin Koch to win 20/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and Paddy Power ['w/o Sorenstam' market]
Koch looked as though she might finish in the places last week, but stuttered after a fast start to her finish round and eventually finished 7th. After finishing 2nd in South Korea in her previous events, there are no concerns about her form and if her course form is anything to go by - finishes of 16th, 7th and then 3rd last year - she should also be very much in contention for a place finish this week as well.
Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):
Karrie Webb to beat Sophie Gustafson -130 @ Centrebet [3pts]
Not a lot to add other than Webb is 14-0-0 h2h against Gustafson in strokeplay events in North America this year. Oh, and she's finished ahead of her on the two occasions that Gustafson has played on this course.
Carin Koch to beat Sophie Gustafson -114 @ Expekt [3pts]
Gustafson needed a final round 66 to finish one shot ahead of Koch last week and that was the first time that she had done so since August. With Koch having the better course form as well, I'll back the outright selection to make amends this week.
(also available at William Hill)
Carin Koch to beat Christina Kim -138 @ Five Dimes
Kim also finished ahead of Koch last week, but that was only the fourth time that she has done so in strokeplay events in the past year (21 common events). Kim played this course very poorly last year and a post-win hangover is a real possibility. She withdrew after the 1st round of her next event after her only previous LPGA Tour win.
Jennifer Rosales to beat Meena Lee -114 @ Expekt
A one-shot loss last week was the first time in their last four common events that Rosales has finished behind Lee. Her wrist injury concerns of the summer appear to be over and she did finish 2nd in Japan two weeks ago. On a course where she finished 5th last year, she should be too good for Lee whose is making her debut this week.
Karrie Webb to beat Sophie Gustafson -130 @ Centrebet [3pts]
Not a lot to add other than Webb is 14-0-0 h2h against Gustafson in strokeplay events in North America this year. Oh, and she's finished ahead of her on the two occasions that Gustafson has played on this course.
Carin Koch to beat Sophie Gustafson -114 @ Expekt [3pts]
Gustafson needed a final round 66 to finish one shot ahead of Koch last week and that was the first time that she had done so since August. With Koch having the better course form as well, I'll back the outright selection to make amends this week.
(also available at William Hill)
Carin Koch to beat Christina Kim -138 @ Five Dimes
Kim also finished ahead of Koch last week, but that was only the fourth time that she has done so in strokeplay events in the past year (21 common events). Kim played this course very poorly last year and a post-win hangover is a real possibility. She withdrew after the 1st round of her next event after her only previous LPGA Tour win.
Jennifer Rosales to beat Meena Lee -114 @ Expekt
A one-shot loss last week was the first time in their last four common events that Rosales has finished behind Lee. Her wrist injury concerns of the summer appear to be over and she did finish 2nd in Japan two weeks ago. On a course where she finished 5th last year, she should be too good for Lee whose is making her debut this week.
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts
Webb 21st
Jang 8th
Koch 21st
Pitiful!
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 0-4; -11.10pts
Webb/Gustafson LOST by 2
Koch/Gustafson LOST by 2
Koch/Kim LOST by 7
Rosales/Lee LOST by 3
Hardly the ideal way to end the season! Disappointing.
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 16-63; -3.98pts
Matchups: 47-26; +53.54pts
All Tours final ytd
Outrights: 89-375; +150.68pts
Matchups: 122-83; +109.73pts
Webb 21st
Jang 8th
Koch 21st
Pitiful!
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 0-4; -11.10pts
Webb/Gustafson LOST by 2
Koch/Gustafson LOST by 2
Koch/Kim LOST by 7
Rosales/Lee LOST by 3
Hardly the ideal way to end the season! Disappointing.
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 16-63; -3.98pts
Matchups: 47-26; +53.54pts
All Tours final ytd
Outrights: 89-375; +150.68pts
Matchups: 122-83; +109.73pts
