ADT Championship

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1.5 units unless stated):

Annika Sorenstam to win 6/4 @ BetandWin, Expekt and Sean Graham [3 units]
Se Ri Pak to win 8/1 @ Sean Graham
Not a strategy for getting rich quick, but one based on generating a profit on the event given recent history. Between them, Sorenstam and Pak have won the last six LPGA strokeplay events! Their run would have been extended to eight consecutive wins as Pak won the Betsy King Classic in August, but she finished 2nd to Meunier-Lebouc the following week. Last year, Webb won the event (Sorenstam was 2nd; Pak didn't play) by finishing top of the greens in regulation statistics that week. This year, Sorenstam and Pak have a considerable lead in this stat category over the rest of the Tour. With there being no event last week, bar the Hyundai Matches, there should be no fatigue effect from the Asian leg of the LPGA Tour and if either player is anywhere near their game, they should win this event.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Danielle Ammaccapane to beat Patricia Meunier-Lebouc -118 @ Expekt
Impressive run of five top-10 finishes in her last nine events is ample evidence that Ammaccapane is playing better than Meunier-Lebouc who did win the State Farm Classic in September, but who has failed to record another top-10 in the past fourteen months.

Beth Daniel to beat Michelle Ellis -111 @ BetandWin
Daniel should be much fresher than Ellis as she did not go to the Tour stops in South Korea and Japan. Ellis must have wished she had away as well - she finished 60th and 45th in limited-field events - and it is three months since she secured those back-to-back 2nd place finishes. With only Daniel having the course experience prior to this week, she should prevail as she has done all year: 7-3-0.

Se Ri Pak to beat Karrie Webb -111 @ BetandWin
Since Webb won the Women's British Open in August, she has finished inside the top-5 just once in five strokeplay events. In the same period, Pak has finished outside the top-5 just once in eight strokeplay events and has won three times. The gulf in form is more than capable of making up the deficit in terms of course experience, particularly as Webb has the pressure of being defending champion.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Just got back from parents yesterday and got to watch the ladies today and a couple of things to note.1st a gorgeous course with waterfall behind par 3 --and speaking of par 3's Ammanncepanne carries an 11 wood and hit it on 157 yard par 3??????
They reported Pak has had toothache and not ate anything solid in 2 weeks and about did not play.Got to be obvious exaggeration. If not, pull that sucker and get on with life.

Annika looks tough Stan. Hit the ball great and missed MANY 10 to 15 foot putts. Lots of water on this course If I can get in running @ even will take a look tomorrow.

 

[Stanley]

Final update:

Matchups: 0-3; -5.10 units

Ammaccapane/Meunier-Lebouc LOST by 18
Daniel/Ellis LOST by 4
Pak/Webb LOST by 4

Outrights: 1-1; +3.00 units

Sorenstam 1st
Pak 7th

At least the strategy on the outrights bore fruit, though I would not have sided with Pak had I known before Thursday evening that she was suffering with such dental problems. Lost out twice with Se Ri and not a very pleasing way to finish the LPGA season on the matchups, but still a decent profit overall.

LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 18-20; +1.25 units
Outrights: 15-53; +50.13 units

All Tours ytd
Matchups: 242-206; +1.53 units
Outrights: 87-302; +174.45 units