AFC-NFC Over Trend (76%)

[Senor Capper]

Including Sunday's results, there have been 45 non-conference matchups (AFC vs. NFC) this season and the ?over? has gone 34-11 (76%) in those games, which includes a 10-0 record the past three weeks.


In Week 10, the first three matchups saw the 'over' cash.


Oakland at N.Y. Giants ? OVER

St. Louis at Indianapolis -- OVER

Houston at Arizona - OVER

The last AFC-NFC matchup takes place on Monday when Tampa Bay hosts Miami. OVER



You just don't see 76% streaks this often, especially with a sample size of nearly 50 games.


Everybody is well aware of the mess in Miami since it?s been well documented. Personally, I take emotion out of handicapping. It?s a no-win situation and I can offer up plenty of examples of how it works or doesn?t work. For instance, many believed the Vikings would rally around Vikings running back Adrian Peterson after his son died in September while plenty of others thought the tragedy would hurt the team. I don?t like to play that angle either way and try to base my opinion on other factors.

If I had to play this total I would lean ?over? for a couple reasons. For starters, the Buccaneers have seen the ?over? cash in four straight games and the defense, which was thought to be solid, has been anything but lately. I?m also aware of the Seattle-Trend this season and how teams have played in their next game. More importantly, the defensive units have been shredded.

I?m fully aware that Miami isn?t great offensively or defensively but both units have shown the ability to make plays. Based on their last seven games, the Dolphins have seen at least 40-plus combined points scored in all of them.

Two issues that could keep this game ?under? would be the Buccaneers inability to score at home this season and the ?under? has cashed the last four weeks on MNF.

 

[Senor Capper]

Overwhelming


As we alluded to here last week, OVER players have been taking down the cash in non-conference games this season.

After yet another unassailable 4-0 performance last week, non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC) are now 35-11 OVER this season, including a bookie busting 11-0 the last three weeks. :0074

This week?s potential non-conference OVERS look to be:

Detroit at Pittsburgh
Baltimore at Chicago
Arizona at Jacksonville
New England at Carolina (MNF)

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Overwhelming


As we alluded to here last week, OVER players have been taking down the cash in non-conference games this season.

After yet another unassailable 4-0 performance last week, non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC) are now 35-11 OVER this season, including a bookie busting 11-0 the last three weeks. :0074

This week?s potential non-conference OVERS look to be:

Detroit at Pittsburgh
Baltimore at Chicago
Arizona at Jacksonville
New England at Carolina (MNF)

Viable info that needs to be shared each wk with everyone, well doen Senor!! :0008

 

[barmeezee]

wow if those numbers r definitely accurate that is a great find.. well done

 

[BigGaycapper]

Great thread and info...keep these fresh for Sunday

 

[Senor Capper]

overwhelming


as we alluded to here last week, over players have been taking down the cash in non-conference games this season.

After yet another unassailable 4-0 performance last week, non-conference games (afc vs. Nfc) are now 35-11 over this season, including a bookie busting 11-0 the last three weeks. :0074

this week?s potential non-conference overs look to be:

Detroit at pittsburgh winnah - over hit in 2nd quarter
baltimore at chicago winnah by 2.5
arizona at jacksonville winnah over by a half
new england at carolina (mnf) pending

38-11
that's 14-0 the last 3 weeks !! :0074


Money Train

 

[RAYMOND]

Senior for president :0074

 

[azbob]

Well done...you take the 40 which was posted early in the week for the AZ game and call it a winner when, at the same time, you ignore the 47 posted for Chicago and call that a winner too when the line moved below 43 on Saturday.

I think I understand your record now.

 

[Bama15]

Won a 4 pick parlay. Thanks!

 

[Senor Capper]

not my plays or numbers... SourPuss LOL

taken directly from VegasInsider

nice try :0008

 

[dunclock]

I took all 4 of them last night and 3-0 now with tomorrow pending

low class shot

 

[Senor Capper]

glad to hear Dunclock :0074 I did also :toast:

I'm used to the shots.

Try to help a little outside my forum and this is what I get ...

Takes all kinds and this site has them all :mj07:

 

[Senor Capper]

Hmmm....


ARIZONA CARDINALS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
419 ARI ? -9 7 7 10 3 27 Cover: 4
420 JAC 40.5 14 0 0 0 14 Over: 41



BALTIMORE RAVENS @ CHICAGO BEARS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 5 T ATS
413 BAL 40.5 10 7 0 3 0 20 Cover: 0
414 CHI ? -3 0 13 0 7 3 23 Over: 43






I think I understand your IQ now :facepalm:

 

[Senor Capper]

Won a 4 pick parlay. Thanks!

very nice :toast:

 

[yyz]

Very insightful stuff, Lanny!


I remember when the site was littered with good info like this years ago. Now, it's mostly, "Take the home team tonight in a romp".

:toast:

 

[aztec warrior]

Par pending as well.good info.mahalos.

 

[Senor Capper]

thanks YYZ I remember too




Aztec yes CAR Over pending

 

[snh5601]

Purely based on numbers.. if the 76% is to continue, then the under should come in tonight bringing this weeks NFC/AFC over percentage to 75% for the week. :shrug:
Just a theory, plus, two top ten defenses going against each other w/ the worst of the two coming off a bye week.

 

[T]

Excellent

Excellent

Information... thanks

 

[Senor Capper]

updated...

AFC-NFC Over Trend (77%)



Including Sunday's results, there have been 49 non-conference matchups (AFC vs. NFC) this season and the ?over? has gone 38-11 (77%) in those games, which includes a 14-0 record the past three weeks.

In Week 11, the first three matchups saw the 'over' cash.

Detroit 27 at Pittsburgh 37 ? Over 45,5

Baltimore 20 at Chicago 23 -- Over 41

Arizona 27 at Jacksonville 14 - Over 40.5


The last AFC-NFC matchup takes place on Monday when Carolina hosts New England.

The total opened at 44 and has been pushed up to 47.

Carolina (5-3-1) and New England (5-4) have both leaned to the 'under' this season.

Prior to last week's 'over' result between Tampa Bay and Miami, the 'under' had cashed in four straight games on Monday. The 'over' has gone 6-5 on Monday Night Football this season.

"Like I said last Monday, I'm amazed that this total trend continues to cash. I'm a little hesitant to bet against the trend right now but I do believe it should be part of your handicapping for the rest of the season."

"Similar to the Chiefs-Broncos matchup, this game pits offense versus defense. Denver captured a 27-17 win and the 'under' (49) cashed as the game slowed down in the second-half. The Patriots offense (26 PPG) haven?t been as explosive as past seasons but they can still score and it seems like they're getting healthy. On the other side, the Panthers defense (12.8 PPG) has been lights out albeit against offensive units that have struggled."

"I did find a solid angle on New England for this matchup and it involves rest. The Patriots are coming off their bye week and bettors should be aware that the team is 9-1 in its last 10 regular season games with rest. During this span, the Patriots have been held under 20 points once and they put up 27 or more points six times."

"Also, New England is 3-0 both straight up and against the spread versus the NFC South this season, defeating Tampa Bay (23-3), Atlanta (30-23) and New Orleans (30-27). The ?over? went 2-1 in those games. This will be Carolina's second game agaisnt the AFC East this season as it lost at Buffalo (24-23) on Sept. 15 in a game they collapsed down the stretch."