PAWA...like I said, pretty surprised to see that you'll be on Port.
All year I've thought they've been very over-rated...they won me over a little bit, but I'm still not convinced they are GF material...but more importantly I guess, I'm certainly not convinved they are 3 goals better than the Kangas!
Not sure how many weeks it's pertinent to go back...so I'll start at the end...
Snuck by West Coast last game at home, with no Kerr...Judd at about 30% playing out of FF, no Hanson, Embly about 60% and then Cousins leaves the game in the 2nd.
Basically WC were lucky to be 50% and Port won by just 3 points!!
Rd. 22. Beat Freo by 22. Freo had no less than 8 senior players out. (Maybe more)
Rd. 21. A good win @ Geelong (5 points). BUT...Ling out, Bartel out and G. Ablett goes down early.
Same amount of shots, 3 less I50s.
Rd. 20. Beat Hawthorn by 5 points. How good were the Hawks in the end?
Rd. 19. Only beat Carlton at home by 23.
Rd. 18. PUMPED by Adelaide everywhere except the scoreboard. Still an 8 point loss...and how good were the Crows in the end?
DO big wins over Melbourne or Richmond count?...another big win over the Eagles, who were officially at about 25% for that game!!
Beaten by the Bulldogs...again, smashed everywhere bar the score-board @ Brisbane, but scrape in for a 7 point win...
Basically, the list of teams Port have beaten by more than 18 points is: St. Kilda, Essendon, Carlton, Richmond, Melbourne, Freo...(West Coast.)
Not one of those teams finished in the 8. In fact 5 of the bottom 6 teams in there.
Yeah, the 'Roos lost by 18 @ Port in rd. 2, but they also lost by 21 to Hawthorn the following week.
I don't think Port's defense is good enough to win by big margins...I've seen 'experts' saying how well they played v. the Eagles, but like I said, when your main forward weapon is Judd hobbling out of the goal square things aren't looking great for a start.
They won all home games by an av. of 19 points this season...and the last 5 coming into the finals they av'd just 46 I50's per game and 26 shots...Their D isn't good enough to hold the Kangas to less than 24.
Oh, and now Ebert hasn't been training with a "bruised knee"...so there goes a fair bit of forward potency of their own.
Anyway...I'll be on the Kangaroos +19.5, and won't be at all surprised to see them win. :shrug:
All year I've thought they've been very over-rated...they won me over a little bit, but I'm still not convinced they are GF material...but more importantly I guess, I'm certainly not convinved they are 3 goals better than the Kangas!
Not sure how many weeks it's pertinent to go back...so I'll start at the end...
Snuck by West Coast last game at home, with no Kerr...Judd at about 30% playing out of FF, no Hanson, Embly about 60% and then Cousins leaves the game in the 2nd.
Basically WC were lucky to be 50% and Port won by just 3 points!!
Rd. 22. Beat Freo by 22. Freo had no less than 8 senior players out. (Maybe more)
Rd. 21. A good win @ Geelong (5 points). BUT...Ling out, Bartel out and G. Ablett goes down early.
Same amount of shots, 3 less I50s.
Rd. 20. Beat Hawthorn by 5 points. How good were the Hawks in the end?
Rd. 19. Only beat Carlton at home by 23.
Rd. 18. PUMPED by Adelaide everywhere except the scoreboard. Still an 8 point loss...and how good were the Crows in the end?
DO big wins over Melbourne or Richmond count?...another big win over the Eagles, who were officially at about 25% for that game!!
Beaten by the Bulldogs...again, smashed everywhere bar the score-board @ Brisbane, but scrape in for a 7 point win...
Basically, the list of teams Port have beaten by more than 18 points is: St. Kilda, Essendon, Carlton, Richmond, Melbourne, Freo...(West Coast.)
Not one of those teams finished in the 8. In fact 5 of the bottom 6 teams in there.
Yeah, the 'Roos lost by 18 @ Port in rd. 2, but they also lost by 21 to Hawthorn the following week.
I don't think Port's defense is good enough to win by big margins...I've seen 'experts' saying how well they played v. the Eagles, but like I said, when your main forward weapon is Judd hobbling out of the goal square things aren't looking great for a start.
They won all home games by an av. of 19 points this season...and the last 5 coming into the finals they av'd just 46 I50's per game and 26 shots...Their D isn't good enough to hold the Kangas to less than 24.
Oh, and now Ebert hasn't been training with a "bruised knee"...so there goes a fair bit of forward potency of their own.
Anyway...I'll be on the Kangaroos +19.5, and won't be at all surprised to see them win. :shrug:
