AFL Rd. 10.

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
18-16 (+0.36)

Well, doesn't this look like the crapiest week ever...

Depending on the weather of course, Adelaide should be able to beat Essendon by 50+ without to many worries..
Just not entirely confident of the Crows winning by big numbers.

Collingwood 1.17?! Are you kidding me? One good win and this? Eagles have been terrible tho of course, esp. on the road...although they did win their last meeting at the dome...back in 2006...with really only Judd now missing!
Collingwood had Tarrant kick 4, Buckley 2...
May well be tempted by the points...26 or 27?

Not sure the Doggies.. but I do tend to think they're a show.
Dunno, finding to hard to reconcile our form atm...Have been way down in last 3...have played just 3 teams inside the 8...won 2 of course, but a bit lucky in both?...
I've been saying all year tho that I think the Hawks are a good match up for the Dogs...Kangaroos showed, Richmond showed, even Essendon showed that tight 1-1 teams do well against us...I think we have the foot skills and like to use the middle enough to be able to pick apart this Hawthorn zone...plus the Swans game proved a lack of I50's is no real worry.
Hawthorn defense is a disaster when the ball gets that far.
Shoot-out, but not sure the Doggies can get over the line...

Yeah, guess Brisbane are 1.25 shots v. North. 2nd best midfield numbers in last 4 (Behind Hawks) +14 I50's per game...plus score freely at home. Kangas have done sfa so far, and got belted last interstate trip.
Spread doesn't really interest me tho...

...now, are Carlton really 6.25 pops?? Head to head numbers are a disaster...Cats won last 4 (all at the dome) by 78, 65, 70 and 57...
but what have you done for me lately? A big loss last week. Played 1 quarter of football against Brisbane, Sydney and Richmond...should have lost to Freo. Match stats-wise by St. Kilda...
Carlton were pretty good last week against a Freo team that had been troubling some of the better teams in the comp. Only 3 less shots than Brisbane the week before...
Having said that, they've only beaten the bottom 3 teams, and arsed Collingwood...
Still, form since that win hasn't been too bad at all...
Just don't know. Not that brave.

Sydney too good at home for Tigers...price looks about right.

Bit disappointed with Melbourne at only 3.25 too. Melbourne have had the draw from hell, although they did get pumped by Carlton I guess!
Saints much better in the dome, but they are so up and down. Lucky v. Richmond, unlucky v. Collingwood and Geelong...

You'd think Port, but not sure as favs...Won both meetings last year, one in Perth...have had a very tough draw themselves, but Freo have pushed some decent teams at home.
2 fragile teams. Both quite willing to slow the game down for no reason...
...probably best left alone.

Can't see anything worth laying the $ on this week. Nasty!!

Oh well, going to the Dogs/Hawks game so will be able to d some uncompromised yelling! :00hour
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
Taken a few...(must have been depressed not wanting a bet this week!! )...and all against the masses it seems...

I got the Eagles @ +27. Can't see Collingwod being physically able to lay 80+ tackles again. Big mental drop off game for them.
Eagles been so much better last couple of games with the young guys playing. Renewed enthusiasm...scoring had been the problem, but 23 shots v. Kangas in a close loss away, and 27 shots in a big win at home v. a quality side...McKinley, Kennedy...
You gunna tell me a Centre line of Kerr, Priddis, Braun, Fletcher, Stenglein, Ebert, Cox...can't match what the hell ever Collingwood have to offer?!
Clearly the key match ups are Brown and Wilkes @ CHB...but history will say Rocca/Cloke won't have two good ones...
...Eagles big shot for the upset imho...

Melbourne +25.5. How about Melbourne's draw?? Played 7 games outta 9 against the top 8...beat Freo, and lost to Carlton...but interesting numbers from that game.
Just 3 less shots...18 MORE contested possessions...realistically nothing in Carlton/Saints stat-wise...if anything Saints' lack of pace will hurt them all the more here.
Davey big out admittedly, but Melbourne huge live dog...

Sydney -24.5.

Right...Why??...No, why? Richmond. Has Terry hypmotised backers...I know his excuses sound great at the time...lol...
...Beat Ess...great...-25...TWENTY FIVE!!! I50's (and 10 shots) v. Geelong...yeah, should have beaten Saints but they suck...-24...TWENTY FOUR!!! I50's and 17 less shots v. Hawthorn...
...-5 I50's and shots v. Dogs...
...pumped by Collingwood and the Kangaroos, and same shots as Carlton way back in Rd. 1...
Up against Sydney...who have lost just 2 of their last 10 at the SCG...every win by 28 or more...and have won the 2 previous meetings by 66 and 48.

Won't be any rain down here guys...I'll be the guy holding a pink balloon to see what the wind actually does do in this cursed stadium!! Har for me to believe the Hawks are into 1.80 or so...nice work for the early 3.00 Doggies, but still not convinced.

Meeting up with a few of the boys afterwards, so will be sure to post a pic of my signed boob if we get up...:mj07:
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
Waite missing, but Thornton back...Geelong forward line non-existant lately. Ottens wont be the big, white hope...Chapman is a bigger out than most give credit for...
I'm pretty sure Murphy, Stevens, Carrazzo, Simpson, Bentick, can absolutely match Selwood (probably Stevens' minder), Corey, Bartel...but possibly not Ablett! :scared

I'm a big non-believer in the "bounce back" rule...if there are problems, then far chance there are problems...with the line climbing ever higher, I reckon I'll give the Blues a show @ +40 or so.

Carlton +40.5
 

bombercoops

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Mar 17, 2003
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Yep, not much on this weekend ay! Port to take care of an under performing freo on sunday for mine. The rest of the weekend will be used for spectate only purposes. Good effort by my boys last night. Happy to see some hard efforts all night- as long as they try, you can't complain too much in a rebuilding stage I guess.

Port PK x 1 unit
 

bombercoops

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Mar 17, 2003
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Nice win by your dogs yesterday christo! They have blitzed most expectations but are playing some solid consistent footy.
Port start slow and then roll to a comfortable win.

YTD: 9-7 = +3 units
 

PAWAQATSI

Kangaroos
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Dec 8, 2001
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the land of confusion
Yeah nice win C. Good for you to see it live. Don't want to see a pic of your boob tho!! :mj07:

Nice hit Coops. Call me this week and we can sort my visit. :SIB
 
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