Adelaide +21.5
West Coast are simply not a very good side. The line is way too high, simply based on the Adelaide/Carlton result last week.
I have 3 sets of stats: overall, last 5 and home/away. The most I show in any category is West Coast giving 7 points.
The Crows have actually played some of their best footy of the year away from AAMI?do they feel the pressure there??
Adelaide haven?t been beaten by more than this number in 6 meetings going back to 2000?losing one game at Subi by 18 and winning another by 24.
They were beaten by Freo in Rd. 3 @ Subi by 9 points, but actually had one more inside 50 and one more scoring shot?.and I think it?s safe to say that Freo are a better side than West Coast atm.
Also rain and ?strong winds? forecast for late Saturday, always handy for keeping a game nice and tight.
Essendon +12.5.
Ha!! No great insights here guys....just think this is a mistake by Canbet?.Ess will be +5.5 @ Centrebet.
Ess won by 8 points at the dome last year, in a game where Lynch kicked 4.
While I?m not exactly sold on Essendon?s form, I don?t think Brisbane are really travelling all that well either, esp. away from home. Expecting a close game either way.
In the course of doing my stats, I've noticed a bit of a relationship between clearances and clangers....teams that play well in certain games seem to tend to have a high clearance to clanger ratio...anyway, I've decided to track it for the rest of the year, see what happens!
Basically, clearances/clangers = 'efficiency' rating. The higher the better.
A couple of interesting ones jumped out this week (purely coincidental to my selections.).
Adelaide have a very low rating against...esp. away. (Showing the opposition have a lot more clangers than clearances). 0.67 to be exact.....and 0.99 for.
West Coast allow 1.08 @ home....and have 1.02 for.
This could well be the biggest load of shit you'll ever see posted
...but I'll keep an eye on it just in case!!
