Well, last week wasn't so much AFL info...more Foot Shooting 101. :cursin:
In a week full of big (with good reason!) favs, I chased 3 spastic dogs...
...so, on to this week, where I'll only be chasing 2 of them! :00hour
...actually think there are 3 very live dogs this week...
Carlton @ 6.50?! Crazy...I was hoping for somewhere around the +17 mark...but 6 goals?
I know I was a little high on them last week, but it's certainly no shame to be pumped by Geelong inside the dome where they are pretty good defensively...
...sure 3 of their 'victims' have a total of 4 wins...
...but Port aren't any better. Still being rated as 'best team outside 8'...most likely to get in 8...etc. etc...
...3 of their 4 wins have been the bottom 3 with a win over a Saints team who are useless outside Victoria, by just 21 points at home.
More than 50 I50's just once all season (Ess)...were pumped last week in the midfield, 38-51!!
Travelling not such a big factor for the Blues with a big win in Perth already this season, and match-ups seemingly no problem either...met 5 times in the last 3 years for a Carlton win (Dome as 2.02 dogs)) a draw (AAMI @ 3.75) and 3 losses by 14, 34 and 23 last year @ AAMI as 7.50 dogs!
I'll probably take the soft option, but very tempted by the 6.50 on offer...given I was after +17, +36.5 seems a gift.
Carlton +36.5 (1.93)
Eagles...again 4.00 looks big here. 2 teams that are totally different home/away...
...Swans av. just 42 I50's on the road!! Lost to Saints, drew with North, decent sized (if a bit unlucky) loss @ Geelong...small wins @ Brisbane and Port...
Eagles 2-3 at home, losses by 14, 24 and 37 (just 2 less shots), and aren't too bad statistically at all.
Swans won just one game in their last 9 @ West Coast...admittedly all as 'dogs...but still looks to be a decent hurdle.
No better example of Sydney's home/away form this year than the 2 Port meetings already.
Won by 68 at home (+20 I50's), but just 9 away (-8 I50's!!)...
They also beat WC by 62 at home, but just 7 more shots and +6 I50's...
Every chance this is a 'traditional' WC/Swannies game...low scoring and close.
Eagles have to be a real shot here imo, and +24.5 looks enticing.
WC +23.5 (1.99)
Tiges?!...Anyone? Was hoping for +21ish...and now looks like I've missed all the 2.50s...so might just leave it alone $-wise, but likely still tip them.
Crows another team really struggling away from home. Just 1-3 on the road, a win against Carlton with 5 more shots, butt were gifted 2 as the Blues tried to run down the clock at one stage.
Also had a pretty easy draw. Beaten just one team in the top 8 (Kangaroos 8th...and one of the worst travelling teams), scraped by Port (6)...have beaten the bottom 3 four times!
Yeah, Tigers are pretty rubbish, but actually won their last meeting in Melbourne (2006) by 3 points at the Dome as 6.25 'dogs...
...and lost by just 9 @ AAMI last year as 7.50 'dogs!!
Another factor is Burton missing. The Crows' forward line has been much better this year with him firing...but when he doesn't...
...he's kicked 2 goals or less in 4 games this year...a 6 point win over Port, a 5 point win over Ess last week, and pumped by Hawthorn and West Coast, both on the road.
imho, all 3 doggies are well over the odds.
[Richmond coming right in now. 2.40 and +8.5 or so...will leave them alone, but certainly wouldn't be banking on Adelaide to win!!]
On the flip side, can't see Geelong, Hawthorn, Brisbane or Collingwood losing...but all at very skinny odds...
...Doggies look like winning again, but no Murphy worries me slightly...
Good luck guys. :toast:
In a week full of big (with good reason!) favs, I chased 3 spastic dogs...
...so, on to this week, where I'll only be chasing 2 of them! :00hour
...actually think there are 3 very live dogs this week...
Carlton @ 6.50?! Crazy...I was hoping for somewhere around the +17 mark...but 6 goals?
I know I was a little high on them last week, but it's certainly no shame to be pumped by Geelong inside the dome where they are pretty good defensively...
...sure 3 of their 'victims' have a total of 4 wins...
...but Port aren't any better. Still being rated as 'best team outside 8'...most likely to get in 8...etc. etc...
...3 of their 4 wins have been the bottom 3 with a win over a Saints team who are useless outside Victoria, by just 21 points at home.
More than 50 I50's just once all season (Ess)...were pumped last week in the midfield, 38-51!!
Travelling not such a big factor for the Blues with a big win in Perth already this season, and match-ups seemingly no problem either...met 5 times in the last 3 years for a Carlton win (Dome as 2.02 dogs)) a draw (AAMI @ 3.75) and 3 losses by 14, 34 and 23 last year @ AAMI as 7.50 dogs!
I'll probably take the soft option, but very tempted by the 6.50 on offer...given I was after +17, +36.5 seems a gift.
Carlton +36.5 (1.93)
Eagles...again 4.00 looks big here. 2 teams that are totally different home/away...
...Swans av. just 42 I50's on the road!! Lost to Saints, drew with North, decent sized (if a bit unlucky) loss @ Geelong...small wins @ Brisbane and Port...
Eagles 2-3 at home, losses by 14, 24 and 37 (just 2 less shots), and aren't too bad statistically at all.
Swans won just one game in their last 9 @ West Coast...admittedly all as 'dogs...but still looks to be a decent hurdle.
No better example of Sydney's home/away form this year than the 2 Port meetings already.
Won by 68 at home (+20 I50's), but just 9 away (-8 I50's!!)...
They also beat WC by 62 at home, but just 7 more shots and +6 I50's...
Every chance this is a 'traditional' WC/Swannies game...low scoring and close.
Eagles have to be a real shot here imo, and +24.5 looks enticing.
WC +23.5 (1.99)
Tiges?!...Anyone? Was hoping for +21ish...and now looks like I've missed all the 2.50s...so might just leave it alone $-wise, but likely still tip them.
Crows another team really struggling away from home. Just 1-3 on the road, a win against Carlton with 5 more shots, butt were gifted 2 as the Blues tried to run down the clock at one stage.
Also had a pretty easy draw. Beaten just one team in the top 8 (Kangaroos 8th...and one of the worst travelling teams), scraped by Port (6)...have beaten the bottom 3 four times!
Yeah, Tigers are pretty rubbish, but actually won their last meeting in Melbourne (2006) by 3 points at the Dome as 6.25 'dogs...
...and lost by just 9 @ AAMI last year as 7.50 'dogs!!
Another factor is Burton missing. The Crows' forward line has been much better this year with him firing...but when he doesn't...
...he's kicked 2 goals or less in 4 games this year...a 6 point win over Port, a 5 point win over Ess last week, and pumped by Hawthorn and West Coast, both on the road.
imho, all 3 doggies are well over the odds.
[Richmond coming right in now. 2.40 and +8.5 or so...will leave them alone, but certainly wouldn't be banking on Adelaide to win!!]
On the flip side, can't see Geelong, Hawthorn, Brisbane or Collingwood losing...but all at very skinny odds...
...Doggies look like winning again, but no Murphy worries me slightly...
Good luck guys. :toast:
