Sydney -20.5
Kangaroos still seem to be rated, despite being 2-7...It's their "home" game, and they have a perceived advantage at Canberra, but they are just 5-5 in their last 10, and have lost their last 2 there as underdogs by 36 to Melbourne last year, and 24 to the poor travelling West Coast this season.
Sydney are flying right now, winning their last 5 games, all by more than 21 points, and should have just too many guns for a pretty ordinary Kangaroos team.
(Any team that brings Jade Rawlings in has big problems, ay Pawa??!! :mj07: )
Collingwood -15.5
Brisbane are being very over-rated here due to their last 3 weeks...big wins, but all against ordinary teams.
Collingwood are 7-2, with the 2 losses being against the 2 best teams in the AFL.
There is a lot of talk about their high scoring (Av. nearly 120 ppg), but what is being over-looked is their backline. They have the second best defense in the AFL (behind Adelaide), allowing a shot at goal just every 2.25 entries to their 50...
...and while Brisbane have scored 100+ in their 4 wins (Jonathon Brown has kicked 25 goals in those 4 games!), when they have scored <100, they have lost all 5 games by an av. of nearly 44 points.
Brisbane have a strong head-to-head record, but they haven't been paying more than evens in the last 10 meetings, have been very short favs in the last 3.
The tables are turned here, and I think Collingwood is a much better team, esp. at home.
