Season to date 27-26 (51%) 
Will start with a few stats from just after the halfway mark of the season.....
Winning favourites = 71% (up 6% on recent averages)
Home winners = 71% (up from just 50% last season)
Winning dogs when offered +30 points or more = 12 of 17 @ 70.5%
Teams covering their lines +/-
Adelaide 8 from 12 @ 67%
Western Bulldogs 8 from 12 @ 67%
Kangaroos 8 from 13 @ 62%
Port Adelaide 8 from 13 @ 62%
Collingwood 7 from 13 @ 54%
Melbourne 7 from 13 @ 54%
St. Kilda 7 from 13 @ 54%
West Coast 6 from 12 @ 50%
Brisbane 6 from 13 @ 46%
Fremantle 6 from 13 @ 46%
Geelong 6 from 13 @ 46%
Sydney 6 from 13 @ 46%
Essendon 5 from 13 @ 38%
Richmond 5 from 13 @ 38%
Hawthorn 4 from 12 @ 33%
Carlton 4 from 13 @ 31%
*note* lines are from the one book that I use which generally favours the dogs.
Leans for this round:
Geelong -10.5 v West Coast . Geelong have won the last four between these sides by an average margin of 60 points!!!! Remembering also that the Eagles have only won once away from home this season and that was by a single point in the last few seconds against Carlton. Consider a few on the Over 39.5 accordingly
Sydney +12.5 v Hawthorn. Sydney have won 5 of the last 7 against the Hawks and I expect the euphoria of having a new coach at the helm not to fade just yet. Will probably win straight up so points are a bonus.
Western Bulldogs +10.5 v Essendon . The Doggies have one of the better records against the recently dominant team of the last few years, going 4-4 in the last 8 meetings. James Hird is expected to return for the Bombers bringing his fractured skull and bike helmet with him!! I don't expect he'll be going in too hard Essendon will miss Fletcher from their backline who is out for 2 weeks because of suspension for striking. That has to be worth 4-5 goals to the bulldogs.
My pawamech system is at 16-9 for the season and selects two eligible teams in Carlton -7.5 v Richmond and Sydney +12.5 v Hawthorn
Will look for a treble or quad that incorporates these two with one or more of the above for some nice value.
Back later....
Will start with a few stats from just after the halfway mark of the season.....
Winning favourites = 71% (up 6% on recent averages)
Home winners = 71% (up from just 50% last season)
Winning dogs when offered +30 points or more = 12 of 17 @ 70.5%
Teams covering their lines +/-
Adelaide 8 from 12 @ 67%
Western Bulldogs 8 from 12 @ 67%
Kangaroos 8 from 13 @ 62%
Port Adelaide 8 from 13 @ 62%
Collingwood 7 from 13 @ 54%
Melbourne 7 from 13 @ 54%
St. Kilda 7 from 13 @ 54%
West Coast 6 from 12 @ 50%
Brisbane 6 from 13 @ 46%
Fremantle 6 from 13 @ 46%
Geelong 6 from 13 @ 46%
Sydney 6 from 13 @ 46%
Essendon 5 from 13 @ 38%
Richmond 5 from 13 @ 38%
Hawthorn 4 from 12 @ 33%
Carlton 4 from 13 @ 31%
*note* lines are from the one book that I use which generally favours the dogs.
Leans for this round:
Geelong -10.5 v West Coast . Geelong have won the last four between these sides by an average margin of 60 points!!!! Remembering also that the Eagles have only won once away from home this season and that was by a single point in the last few seconds against Carlton. Consider a few on the Over 39.5 accordingly
Sydney +12.5 v Hawthorn. Sydney have won 5 of the last 7 against the Hawks and I expect the euphoria of having a new coach at the helm not to fade just yet. Will probably win straight up so points are a bonus.
Western Bulldogs +10.5 v Essendon . The Doggies have one of the better records against the recently dominant team of the last few years, going 4-4 in the last 8 meetings. James Hird is expected to return for the Bombers bringing his fractured skull and bike helmet with him!! I don't expect he'll be going in too hard
Essendon will miss Fletcher from their backline who is out for 2 weeks because of suspension for striking. That has to be worth 4-5 goals to the bulldogs.My pawamech system is at 16-9 for the season and selects two eligible teams in Carlton -7.5 v Richmond and Sydney +12.5 v Hawthorn
Will look for a treble or quad that incorporates these two with one or more of the above for some nice value.
Back later....
