Good luck tonight guys...
..I've been concentrating on the NFLX for the week...but 3 plays, with an option on a 4th!
Sydney +16.5
Sydney have lost only 3 games this season by more than this...@ West Coast, Freo and Port.
Melbourne only beaten Sydney twice in last 10 meetings by more than 15. (Going back to 1998)
Should be a very close game either way.
Adelaide -18.5
Adelaide av. 55 inside 50's @ home and allow 44!!..As usual their problem is that they can't score. They scored 100+ only 5 times this year...and when they have they have won the game. Since Rd. 9, Richmond have only not allowed 100+ points, and that was to Freo in Melbourne. Crows kicked 134 points and won by 75 last game v. Richmond.
Richmond give up 8 more inside 50's a game, and now with Johnson out they just won't have enough of the ball forward to kick a score.
Adelaide have won the last 6 meetings by and av. of 32 points.
Richmond have lost their last 8 games @ Adelaide (inc. Port) by an av. of 39 points.
St. Kilda -22.5
Saints average 20 more inside 50's than their opponents at the Dome!!!! Beside's the Brisbane game, their lowest winning margin has been 34 points v. Essendon in Rd. 2.
Penny, Hudgton and Knobel are all big in's for the Saints, while Leigh Brown is a BIG out for the Kanga's...They will have no hope of manning up the Saints forward line.....Wll leave Watt on Gehrig and Urch!! (or McKernan I guess) on Riewoldt!! (Assuming Archer takes Hamill), and that still leaves Goddard.
Also thinking seriously of West Coast -37.5, but will hold tight for the minute.