AFL Systems week #14

[PAWAQATSI]

Mech = 5 - 8 @ 38.4%.......Hybrid = 9 - 4 @ 69.2%.......Overall >> 14 - 12 @ 53.8%

Bankroll @ 82%

Three eligible system picks for this week.

First up is a 'hybrid' played Saturday arvo....

Adelaide over 15.5pts versus Fremantle @ $1.80
Concerned with this pick because Freo's coach quit after last weeks loss to the rampaging Kangaroos!! A new 'caretaker' coach could cause the freo players to pull their collective fingers out and actually 'turn up to play'!! I should probably have played it safer and gone for half my usual stake only. Too late....I'm on for 15%



The second pick is played Saturday night over in the west......

Sydney +6.5 versus West Coast Eagles @ $1.88
The last two Grand final winners meet once again. Last four games decided by a measly total 5 pts!! Last six by a combined 13pts!! This is close shit in the high scoring world of AFL!! No reason it won't go down to the wire again so getting a goal start is cool with me.
The smart play would be 'either team under 15.5pts' @ $3 or 'either team under 24.5pts' @ $2
:mj03: ........In fact I think I will throw 7.5% at both those options instead.


Last pick is another 'hybrid' played Sunday arvo up north.

Brisbane over 15.5pts versus Carlton @ $1.35
This young Carlton team has 'thrown in the towel' and should go up there, roll on their backs and surrender to the Lions.

Good luck boys & girls

Now let's quietly roll this little mofo out......:burnout

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Fremantle 126 upset Adelaide 101

New coach, new attitude, bloody straight kicking too. Just knew this one was doomed.
New systems rule......"don't bet against side with new coach". Forking forget it and move on!!



What to do with tonight's Eagles v Sydney game? After taking a hit today I will play it safer and lay my 15% on 'either team under 24.5pts' @ $2
If it's another close one as history suggests, I'll collect more than taking the Swans line. Sydney by more than four goals is the only thing that can shit me! If the Eagles run amok, I was gone anyway.

A low scoring affair will suit me.

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

tailing u on brisbane pawa :thumb: gl to us!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

West Coast 112 defeated Sydney 100

Sydney hit back hard in the last quarter and make this another close game. System misses by a straight kick......but I double my money as history repeats! :grins:


Tomorrow playing 10% on the Brisbane over15.5 & 5% on the -28.5 line. They win, they cover has been this season.

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Just found $1.45 for Brissie ov 15.5 .......& $1.60 for ov 24.5 which skims another straight kick off the line.

:director: Go Lions

 

[MrChristo]

Yeah, nice choice with the Swannies game PAWA.

I had Sydney +24.5 @ 1.45 which I thought was huge!!...Didn't look so big with 15 to play that's for sure! :mj07:

I guess you know by now that Black is out...shouldn't matter.
Go Lions by a lot! :00hour

...(and go Kangas or else! :scared )

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Brisbane 163 hammered Carlton 46 :spotting:
The Blues roll over as expected.


Mech = 5 - 9 @ 35.7%.......Hybrid = 10 - 5 @ 66.6%.......Overall >> 15 - 14 @ 51.7%

Bankroll @ 87.1%


Made 5% on the 1-2 weekend. Systems are crawling along. Hybrid continues to cover the spread when it is right.

Weeks are starting to run out......

 

[bombercoops]

Nice easy hit paw! Brisbane and saints making a late charge towards the finals. I reckon there's only spot open outside of the top 6 and sydney, so it should be a good sweat the next 6 weeks to see who squeezes in there. I know it won't be my boys that's for sure. Hope you can hit some winners over the last 6 weeks weeks mate.