AFL Systems week #5

[PAWAQATSI]

Mech = 2 - 3 @ 40%.......Hybrid = 2 - 1 @ 66%.......Overall >> 4 - 4 @ 50%

Bankroll @ 73%


A record number of system selections this week with 6 of the 8 games eligible!!. Hope its like this time last season when the elevator started going straight up.

It all kicks off tonight when my Kangaroos take on the Bombers at the Dome. The first of four 'Hybrid' selections.....
Kangaroos Over 15.5pts versus Essendon @ $2.55
Now given that I know my team pretty well, I aint confident that we can beat anyone by 16 or more! I will play it a little safer considering the dollars at stake and take my boys straight up on the ML @ $1.90 for 15%
We have knocked off the Bombers the last five encounters tho only twice by more than 15pts.
I will be heading out to watch it and Coops, wherever you are mate.....be thankful you won't be!!

Second up is another 'Hybrid' on Saturday arvo when the Magpies and Blues clash.
Collingwood Over 15.5pts versus Carlton* @ $1.90 for 7.5%

Third up same day just an hour behind is the next 'Hybrid' played over in Adelaide.
Port Adelaide Over 15.5pts versus Richmond* @ $1.22 for 7.5%
Richmond were a disgrace last week getting thrashed by 150 odd points and will be out to make amends. They will be better but will struggle to hold Port back by more than 2 & a half goals!!

*Now as these last two games are on at the same time I will split my standard 15% play into two x 7.5% plays.

Will post the rest of my card sometime tomorrow. Too tired and can't be stuffed finishing....

 

[sardius]

like your call Pawa!!! Going big on Kangaroos...

Additional info for this fixture:

from AFL:

The Kangaroos face Essendon at Telstra Dome on Friday night - their only 2007 appearance on the big stage of Friday night football - on the back of three straight wins and a five-year, five-game unbeaten run against the Bombers. "It's a great opportunity, it's our only one for the year, so we were the inventors of it perhaps, so it's good to get back there," Laidley said.
MID-WEEK QUESTION MARKS:
Are the Bombers capable of performing without Matthew Lloyd, clearly the most important player to their team, who could be out for another two to three weeks after suffering a hamstring injury?
The Kangaroos have been super impressive in toppling the much-hyped trio of Brisbane, Geelong and Sydney, but how will they handle the pressure of going into a match as favourites - and the public expectation that goes with it?

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Thx, Pawa. Good luck this week.

Send me a tab. I'll cover your first round of beers.

"Fosters...Australian for beer."

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Cheers Chucky :toast:

........but anything but Fosters!!! That's just the shit beer that we export out of here! :142smilie


Gunna be a big weekend :firing:

 

[PAWAQATSI]

.....continued

Last 'hybrid' is played on Saturday night....
Brisbane Over 15.5pts versus Adelaide* @ $2.30
(may play it safe and just take the ML here depending on how the earlier games have gone. Adelaide scare me.Will wait and see)

The first 'mech' selection is on sunday too...
Sydney ML versus St.Kilda* @ $1.95

Overlapping games once again so will split my stake back to 7.5% each.


Last up is another 'mech' selection played on Sunday when the Hawks travel west....
Hawthorn +16.5pts versus Fremantle @ $1.91
This one opened at +15.5 so hoping for +17/18 come Sunday.

Yeah....a BIG weekend on the cards so....

Let's roll out this big fat MOFO :burnout :burnout :burnout

 

[bombercoops]

Hahaha! You're a funny man paw! I hope we clip you guys by a point tonight! lol! I remember the roos/dons game we went to at the dome a couple of years back when we looked home and hosed and and you guys ran over the top of us. Hoping we can reverse our trend against you guys tonight without Lloydy in the team. All the best with your bets this week mate!

 

[bombercoops]

Phuck!!!!!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Kangaroos 117 defeated Essendon 95 :00hour

Sorry Coops but ya knew it was coming brother!!

Roos bag their fourth win on the trot. Top 8 here we come!!

Now if the systems can just bag four on the trot too........hmmm

 

[sardius]

Pawa, any tips on Magpies- Blues??? :mj03:

 

[PAWAQATSI]

sardius.....

Check my first post mate. The second 'hybrid' covers the Coll / Blues game. It points to a >15pt win for the Magpies.

GL to us

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Have taken Collingwood -13.5pts which is readily available @ $1.91 to shave the extra couple of points.

Clement is out for the magpies who is their best backman so stopping big Fev for the Blues could be harder.

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Who let the dogs out!

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Pawa:

I took the Brisbane ML -140 at TheGreek. Hope that works.

 

[InSpades]

The Magpies (what in the universe is a Magpie?) need to have a strong finish for us.

IS

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Collingwood 119 defeated Carlton 95 :brows:

As you requested IS.....a 13 goal to 6 second half comeback by the magpies (an annoying black & white crow sized bird!) sees Collingwood get home by enough.

Port Adelaide 115 defeated Richmond 74 :yawn:

This game really was just a formality. Now it's off to find the best Sydney & Brisbane value for tonights games.

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Adelaide 100 defeated Brisbane 69:shrug:
St.Kilda 97 defeated Sydney 71:com:

Well tonights picks stunk it up big time!!

Not too keen on the Hawks tomorrow but let's see what happens.

 

[InSpades]

Pawa:

Does the system seem to do better picking either favorites or underdogs?

IS

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Did Brisbane not get the memo that they had achieved esteemed "Pawa hybrid" status?

Hey, Pawa, I did hit a nice Kanga/Colling parlay. Thx, bro.

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Fremantle 96 defeated Hawthorn 80 :mj02:

Scores level with about 8 mins to go then the Hawks fall apart and lose by 16. I friggin well caught +15.5 pts when i jumped on this morning!! Should have got on to it last night instead of getting busy elsewhere :142hump:

Man that sucks. My dick has cost me about 28%!!!

Mech = 2 - 5 @ 28.5%.......Hybrid = 5 - 2 @ 71.4%.......Overall >> 7 - 7 @ 50%

Bankroll @ 68.75%


On to next week......

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

It depends, Pawa.

I got the +16.5 on Hawthorn. But I think I'd trade-off w/ you.

Thanks for posting, bro. You earned me some nice coin this weekend.